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Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2024

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Executive summary
Publication date: 15 April 2024

RUSSIA: US raises pressure on China over sanctions

Expert briefing
Publication date: 11 April 2024

The authorities do not appear especially concerned about the threat posed by the group, but there is sure to be an overall tightening of security during the general election…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2024

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Executive summary
Publication date: 11 April 2024

JAPAN/US: Defence ties will deepen

Executive summary
Publication date: 27 March 2024

COLOMBIA: Souring Israeli ties could hit military

Expert briefing
Publication date: 6 March 2024

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Executive summary
Publication date: 18 March 2024

NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA: Limited conflict more likely

Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 February 2024

Myanmar’s junta for the first time accepted the invitation to have a ‘non-political’ representative at high-level ASEAN meetings, standing since its exclusion from such events…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 January 2024

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

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