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Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Russia will employ new military unit across Africa

Location:

RUSSIA

Unlike the Wagner private military company (PMC), it is subordinated to the Russian state. The first confirmed deployment of African Corps forces is to Burkina Faso, where it will…

Libyan west faces rising insecurity and judicial risks

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: West faces insecurity and judicial risks

Threats of instability in Libya abound in 2024

Location:

LIBYA

While a 2020 ceasefire still holds, in the absence of new elections, the political landscape is significantly undermined by institutional rivalry. The country's fragmentation…

Libyan energy ambitions will likely fall short

Location:

LIBYA

Earlier, on January 7, NOC was forced to declare force majeure at Sharara oil field, the country’s largest, after protests shut it down. Oil and gas usually account for more than…

Syrian drug traffickers could shift routes to Libya

Location:

LIBYA

Still, the narcotics trade provides a lucrative alternative revenue stream for government-aligned actors in Syria. These external pressures are therefore instead likely to prompt…

Turkey will prioritise naval power

Location:

TURKEY

Anadolu is the biggest warship ever commissioned by the navy. It showcases Turkey’s geopolitical ambitions, which are closely associated with President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and…

Poor basic infrastructure will plague Libya for years

Location:

LIBYA

Libya’s water and electricity infrastructure has endured years of neglect, mismanagement and sabotage, resulting in precarious or erratic supplies. This has prompted public…

Security threats will challenge Libya’s uranium safety

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Security threats will challenge uranium safety

Turkey is adopting a more statesmanlike pose abroad

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey has brokered an agreement between Russia and Ukraine for resuming grain shipments through the Black Sea which, if it sticks, will be a substantial diplomatic win for Ankara…