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Risks will run high along the Libyan-Tunisian border

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Risks will run high along the Tunisian border

Russia will employ new military unit across Africa

Location:

RUSSIA

Unlike the Wagner private military company (PMC), it is subordinated to the Russian state. The first confirmed deployment of African Corps forces is to Burkina Faso, where it will…

UAE will pursue foreign activism despite rising risks

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

UAE forces were vital to the coalition's taking of Aden and southern Yemen from Huthi control in July. The UAE's strong military commitment to the Saudi-led drive to roll back the…

Russia has the edge in managed competition with Turkey

Location:

RUSSIA/TURKEY

They have backed opposing sides in the Syrian and Libyan conflicts and pursued different objectives there and in Nagorno-Karabakh, in the hope that conflict trends would benefit…

Idlib will weaken but not break Turkish-Russian ties

Location:

TURKEY

Tensions have risen since Syrian government shelling killed seven Turkish soldiers and a civilian contractor in north-western Syria on February 3. Although President Recep Tayyip…

Libyan violence will increase despite foreign efforts

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Violence will increase despite foreign efforts

Foreign actors will likely avoid intervention in Libya

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Foreign actors will likely avoid intervention

Haftar will try to hinder Libya’s democratic process

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Haftar will try to hinder democratic process

Jihadists face difficult decisions in Syria’s Idlib

Location:

SYRIA

SYRIA: Jihadists face difficult decisions in Idlib

Western omissions abet foreign meddling in Libya

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Western omissions abet foreign meddling