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Prospects for Western EU in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

In addition to addressing the social and economic impacts of COVID-19, Angela Merkel, who has provided stable leadership in Germany and the EU over the past 15 years, will depart…

Palestinian Authority faces existential threats

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PALESTINIANS

In December, PA President Mahmoud Abbas had dissolved the Legislative Council and called for elections. This comes at a time when the PA is perhaps at its weakest position in its…

Japan’s security partnerships will grow

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JAPAN

The tenure of Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, whose successor as leader of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and thus premier will be decided at the end of this month, has…

Politics will check scope of US retrenchment abroad

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UNITED STATES

President Barack Obama has drawn criticism from traditional US allies over a series of interviews with Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic magazine entitled 'The Obama Doctrine', in…

Israeli settlers may rebel against any annexation move

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ISRAEL

This date passed without announcement, however, amid indecision on the part of the United States, international condemnation and some Israeli pushback, including from…

Myanmar's ethnic troubles will pose security threats

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MYANMAR

Ethnic relations, politics and security in Myanmar.

Gulf states’ internal security crackdown may intensify

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GULF STATES

Saudi Arabia and other Gulf states have in recent months stepped up regulation on cyber issues: Bahrain arrested six people on March 31 over "defamatory" tweets. The wider…

Philippines institutional erosion likely to intensify

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PHILIPPINES

Duterte is a powerful president with strong support among elected Philippine politicians and the public. Nevertheless, his methods are stoking controversy with concerns of an…

EU and US neglect will encourage Bosnia’s nationalists

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BOSNIA

Bosnian Serb representatives are boycotting state institutions over the genocide law imposed by departing High Representative Valentin Inzko. Their leader, Milorad Dodik, is…

Prospects for South-east Asia politics in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for South-east Asia politics in 2018.