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Ramaphosa’s government faces social relief dilemmas

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SOUTH AFRICA

The pandemic has sharpened questions about the role of South Africa's extensive social grants system in wider economic policy. In particular, emergency provisions have focused…

South Africa faces uncertain post-election future

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SOUTH AFRICA

A national coalition government may therefore be necessary, although whether this will be between the ANC and several smaller parties, or whether the ANC will need to forge an…

Unions could complicate Ramaphosa’s social compact

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SOUTH AFRICA

While details are scant, the 'social compact' reportedly includes clearer deliverables than previous recovery plans. However, fears persist over government capacity to deliver and…

South Africa faces long-term threats to stability

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SOUTH AFRICA

This reflects concerns over systemic corruption, high-level impunity, ruling party dysfunction, growing criminality and violence and infrastructure failures, among other…

South African government faces public-sector showdown

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SOUTH AFRICA

The negotiations follow the government’s refusal last year to pay the final annual tranche of a previous three-year deal. Containing the public-sector wage bill is seen as key for…

South Africa’s opposition dynamics will evolve further

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SOUTH AFRICA

One week later, MK appointed Shivambu as its national organiser. The episode injects an element of tension into the relationship between the two opposition parties, which agreed…

South Africa mining slump hurts ANC election campaign

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SOUTH AFRICA

The timing is disastrous for the ruling ANC party, which faces elections in May with its support already crumbling, in part due to its poor performance on economic issues. Major…

Prospects for South Africa in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Yet market sentiment remains sceptical of Pretoria’s ability to deliver on the package, implement steep and politically contentious expenditure cuts and boost growth. Meanwhile, a…

South African Reserve Bank will reaffirm independence

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SOUTH AFRICA

Although the bank has acted on various fronts to support the economy, including a limited bond-buying programme, it continues to resist calls for full-blown quantitative easing…

Prospects for South Africa in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

The party faces both extreme internal divisions -- which helped spark the July uprising -- and increasing voter disaffection, raising questions about its longevity as the ruling…