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Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

US defence spending call may have limited impact

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US

The Commission, established by Congress to evaluate the Biden administration’s 2022 NDS, makes several major recommendations. The most significant is that the Pentagon should…

Geopolitical cross-currents test Mongolian diplomacy

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MONGOLIA

While deepening ties with Western and Western-allied powers, Ulaanbaatar has managed to sustain positive relations with Beijing and Moscow and to cultivate good relations with…

China will increase investment in emerging markets

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CHINA

Although its investments in Africa have attracted considerable attention, the vast majority of China's OFDI has gone to Asia, principally Hong Kong and a few financial centres…

Azerbaijan will forge a multi-vector foreign policy

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AZERBAIJAN

Tensions in New Caledonia, which France also blames on Russia, add to bilateral tensions that arose following Baku’s recapture of Nagorno-Karabakh and Paris’s subsequent strong…

Insecurity will rise across Jordan’s border with Syria

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JORDAN

Jordan faces new security challenges including arms and drug smuggling from Syria, while threats from Iranian-aligned militia groups put the kingdom in the crossfire of larger…

Exit of Russian troops signals shift away from Armenia

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ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The visit followed Moscow’s decision to pull out its last remaining troops from Nagorno-Karabakh before the expiration of their peacekeeping mandate. This reflects the Kremlin’s…

India will step up economic diplomacy

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INDIA

He has retained S Jaishankar as his foreign minister, in line with a broad trend of preserving continuity within the cabinet. Although his parliamentary majority is reduced and…

Global AI regulations will diverge

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INT

Despite a strong Chinese push on AI innovation, Beijing’s regulatory approach to AI sharply contrasts with the approaches of Western digital economies, notably the United States…