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We compare methods to measure comovement in business cycle data using multi-level dynamic factor models. To do so, we employ a Monte Carlo procedure to evaluate model performance for different specifications of factor models across three different estimation procedures. We consider three general factor model specifications used in applied work. The first is a single-factor model, the second a two-level factor model, and the third a three-level factor model. Our estimation procedures are the Bayesian approach of Otrok and Whiteman (1998), the Bayesian state-space approach of Kim and Nelson (1998) and a frequentist principal components approach. The latter serves as a benchmark to measure any potential gains from the more computationally intensive Bayesian procedures. We then apply the three methods to a novel new dataset on house prices in advanced and emerging markets from Cesa-Bianchi, Cespedes, and Rebucci (2015) and interpret the empirical results in light of the Monte Carlo results.

This chapter proposes a measure of systemic default interconnectedness between banks, non-banks, housing finance companies in India and globally systemically important banks based on variance decompositions associated with a multiple variable vector autoregression of probability of default of the institutions. We call it the “vulnerability spillover index” (VSI). The vulnerability indices capture all the major macro and financial stress events in the Indian and global economy explaining the interconnections between sectors and underlying reasons for spillovers and potential for a systemic crisis. Thresholds of VSI are calculated which may enable prediction of financial stress events.

This paper examines the effects of union change in Britain on changes in earnings dispersion 1983–1995. We investigate not only the decline in union density but also the greater wage compression among unionised workers, as well as changes in union density across skill groups. For the private sector, we find that deunionisation accounts for little of the increase in earnings dispersion. What unions have lost on the swings (lower density), they have gained on the roundabouts (greater wage compression). But for the public sector we find strong effects, because unions are increasingly organising the more skilled. This change in the character of public sector unions means that they no longer reduce earnings variation nearly as much as they once did.

This study examines transmission of U.S. equity markets returns and volatility into Brazilian equity and labor markets. Monthly closing prices of U.S. S&P500 and Bovespa indexes are used to proxy U.S. and Brazilian equity market returns. Brazilian monthly unemployment rates and the average wage index are used to measure U.S. equity market spillovers on foreign labor markets. Using a vector autoregression (VAR) model, a unidirectional return and volatility transmission from the U.S. to Brazil is found. The evidence also indicates that there is a weaker but significant lagged spillover of U.S. stock returns and volatility to the Brazilian labor market.

This chapter model the factors behind the instability of exchange rate by using exchange market pressure (EMP) index. The authors focus first to construct the EMP and then secondly, test the interrelationship between EMP, real gross domestic product, money supply (M2), consumer price index, trade openness and share price using quarterly data in selected East Asian countries. The empirical results of this study explicitly indicate that EMP is determined by the states of other variables in most of the studied countries. Planning on the macrolevel is essential when managing and ensuring continuous monitoring of the exchange rate condition. This would translate into positive macroeconomic welfare and economic growth sustainability.

The contrast of multilevel and comparative research may seem counterintuitive at first. After all, one might argue that comparative research on organizations by necessity spans several levels of analysis (Rokkan, 1966). Yet, multilevel and comparative research on organizations present rather distinct traditions in organization studies, each with its own epistemological assumptions and associated methods. Accordingly, an approach that aims to incorporate both multilevel and comparative ideas needs to start with taking inventory of these prior literatures to situate itself. In the following, we thus turn to the literatures on multilevel and comparative research as different traditions with surprisingly little overlap.