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Anti-migrant violence in South Africa will increase

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

South Africa has seen a rise in explicitly anti-migrant rhetoric from a number of political parties and social movements

Africa’s Belt and Road will follow beaten path

Location:

AFRICA-CHINA

Despite the rhetoric, China is not offering Africa a new development model, but its engagement remains unique

Indian regional and global foreign policy aims diverge

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INDIA

Delhi’s core foreign policy theatre is South Asia despite Modi’s rhetoric around the mid-2014 elections

Mexico's AMLO will survive political challenges

Location:

MEXICO

AMLO faces major political hurdles, but his rhetoric seems to resonate and will bolster his support

US-Mexico wall will divide, whether it is built or not

Location:

MEXICO-US

As emotions run high, rhetoric about the border wall suggests that good fences do not necessarily make good neighbours

States of the wider Gulf vary over energy transition

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Despite strong climate rhetoric by some, the pragmatic focus is on maximising medium-term oil and gas output

Minor parties will decide Slovakia’s next government

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SLOVAKIA

The September 30 Slovak elections will likely produce a fragmented parliament, as in every election except 2012

Algeria will maintain an independent foreign policy

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ALGERIA

Algeria’s importance to Europe has risen in light of the disruption to Russian gas supplies

Appeal and influence of Europe’s far right will grow

Location:

WESTERN EUROPE

The support of most far-right parties in Western Europe has increased in recent years

Lack of compromise may perpetuate Congo’s M23 crisis

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

The M23 rebels advance further, while the Congolese government continues to reject negotiations