Search results

One of the biggest problems in an R&D process is the acquisition of information about the structure dynamic loads, which are needed to reliably prove the structure's durability. This paper aims to present an innovative method for simulating stationary Gaussian random processes, which is based on the conditional probability density function (PDF) approach.

The basic information on the structure dynamic loads is first obtained by short‐duration measurements on prototypes or the structure itself. These data are then used to simulate the expected structure load states during operations. A theoretical background is presented first, which is followed by the application of the method.

The results show that the spectral characteristics of the original and simulated Gaussian random processes are very similar, if the influential range of the conditional PDF is properly chosen.

The method can be applied for simulating random loads of structures, and excitations of dynamic systems, for example.

The innovative simulation approach could be helpful to engineers in the early phases of the new product development process.

The purpose of this paper is to expose computational methods as applied to engineering systems and evolutionary processes with randomness in external actions and inherent parameters.

In total, two approaches are distinguished that rely on solvers from deterministic algorithms. Probabilistic analysis is referred to as the approximation of the response by a Taylor series expansion about the mean input. Alternatively, stochastic simulation implies random sampling of the input and statistical evaluation of the output.

Beyond the characterization of random response, methods of reliability assessment are discussed. Concepts of design improvement are presented. Optimization for robustness diminishes the sensitivity of the system to fluctuating parameters.

Deterministic algorithms available for the primary problem are utilized for stochastic analysis by statistical Monte Carlo sampling. The computational effort for the repeated solution of the primary problem depends on the variability of the system and is usually high. Alternatively, the analytic Taylor series expansion requires extension of the primary solver to the computation of derivatives of the response with respect to the random input. The method is restricted to the computation of output mean values and variances/covariances, with the effort determined by the amount of the random input. The results of the two methods are comparable within the domain of applicability.

The present account addresses the main issues related to the presence of randomness in engineering systems and processes. They comprise the analysis of stochastic systems, reliability, design improvement, optimization and robustness against randomness of the data. The analytical Taylor approach is contrasted to the statistical Monte Carlo sampling throughout. In both cases, algorithms known from the primary, deterministic problem are the starting point of stochastic treatment. The reader benefits from the comprehensive presentation of the matter in a concise manner.

A novel frequency domain approach, which combines the pseudo excitation method modified by the authors and multi-domain Fourier transform (PEM-FT), is proposed for analyzing nonstationary random vibration in this paper.

For a structure subjected to a nonstationary random excitation, the closed-form solution of evolutionary power spectral density of the response is derived in frequency domain.

The deterministic process and random process in an evolutionary spectrum are separated effectively using this method during the analysis of nonstationary random vibration of a linear damped system, only modulation function of the system needs to be estimated, which brings about a large saving in computational time.

The method is general and highly flexible as it can deal with various damping types and nonstationary random excitations with different modulation functions.

The commitment to statistical process control programmes is becoming commonplace in US industry. However, some companies are experiencing failure of these programmes, particularly in multi‐strata (population) production processes. Even if such a process is in a state of statistical control, there is a high likelihood that one or more strata could drift away from the target owing to an assignable cause. The success of a QC programme depends on the ability of a quality control practitioner to detect this shift with a greater statistical power (sensitivity) and take corrective actions. Addresses the problem faced by the multi‐strata production process of a local manufacturing company in detecting a single stratum shift from the target with a high level of sensitivity. Proposes the selection of an appropriate sampling method (stratified or random) to have a strong bearing on the relative sensitivity of detecting the above shift in a single stratum. Develops power curves for the above mentioned process under stratified and random sampling scenarios, when a shift occurs in a single stratum. Examines the relationship of sample size to the threshold level of the stratum shift and the preferred sampling method.

The purpose of this paper is to focus on an optimizing maintenance policy with repair limit time for a new type of aircraft component, in which the lifetime is assumed to be an uncertain variable due to no historical operation data, and the repair time is a random variable that can be described by the experimental data.

To describe this repair limit time policy over an infinite time horizon, an extended uncertain random renewal reward theorem is firstly proposed based on chance theory, involves uncertain random interarrival times and stochastic rewards. Accordingly, the uncertain random programming model, which minimized the expected maintenance cost rate, is formulated to find the optimal repair limit time.

A numerical example with sensitivity analysis is provided to illustrate the utility of the proposed policy. It provides a useful reference and guidance for aircraft optimization. For maintainers, it plays an important guiding role in engineering practice.

The proposed uncertain random renewal reward process proved useful for the optimization of maintenance strategy with maintenance limited time for a new type of aircraft components, which provides scientific support for aircraft maintenance decision-making for civil aviation enterprises.

This chapter has been seminal work of Dr K.S.S. Iyer, which has taken time to develop, for over the last 56 years to be presented here. The method in advance predictive analytics has developed, from his several other applications, in predictive modeling by using the stochastic point process technique. In the chapter on advance predictive analytics, Dr Iyer is collecting his approaches and generalizing it in this chapter. In this chapter, two of the techniques of stochastic point process known as Product Density and Random point process used in modelling problems in High energy particles and cancer, are redefined to suit problems currently in demand in IoT and customer equity in marketing (Iyer, Patil, & Chetlapalli, 2014b). This formulation arises from these techniques being used in different fields like energy requirement in Internet of Things (IoT) devices, growth of cancer cells, cosmic rays’ study, to customer equity and many more approaches.

The purpose of this paper is to develop a condition-based maintenance (CBM) model for those systems subject to the two-stage deterioration including a deterioration pitting initiation process and a deterioration pitting growth process.

Regarding environmental changes as random shocks, the effect of environmental changes on the deterioration process is considered. Then, non-homogeneous Poison process and non-stationary gamma process are introduced to model the deterioration pitting initiation process and the deterioration pitting growth process, respectively. Finally, based on the deterioration model, a CBM policy is put forward to obtain the optimal inspection interval by minimizing the expected maintenance cost rate. Numerical simulations are given to optimize the performance of the deteriorating system. Meanwhile, comparisons between a single-stage deterioration model and a two-stage deterioration model are conducted to demonstrate the application of the proposed approach.

The result of simulation verifies that the deterioration rate is not constant in the life cycle and is affected by the environment. Furthermore, the result shows that the two-stage deterioration model proposed makes up for the shortage of single-stage deterioration models and can effectively reduce system failures and unreasonable maintenance caused by optimistic prediction using single-stage deterioration models.

In practical situations, except for normal deterioration caused by internal factors, many systems are also greatly influenced by the random shocks during operation, which are probably caused by the environmental changes. What is more, most systems have self-protection ability in some extent that protects them to keep running as new ones for some time. Under such circumstances, the two-stage deterioration model proposed can effectively reduce system failures and unreasonable maintenance caused by optimistic prediction using single-stage deterioration models. In the combination with the bootstrap estimation, the paper obtains the life distributions with approximate 95 percent confidence intervals which can provide valuable information for practical system maintenance scheduling.

This paper presents a new CBM model for those systems subject to the two-stage deterioration including a deterioration pitting initiation process and a deterioration pitting growth process. Considering the effect of the environmental change on the system deterioration process, a two-stage deterioration model with environmental change factors is proposed to describe the system deterioration.

Fat‐tailed distributions have been found in many financial and economic variables ranging from forecasting returns on financial assets to modeling recovery distributions in bankruptcies. They have also been found in numerous insurance applications such as catastrophic insurance claims and in value‐at‐risk measures employed by risk managers. Financial applications include:

According to relevant research, non-uniform speed has a significant impact on the vehicle-track systems. Up to now, research work on it is still very limited. In this paper, the PEM is adopted to further transform it into a deterministic process to solve the vehicle’s problem of running at a non-uniform speed.

The multi-body vehicle model has 10 degrees of freedom and the track is regarded as a finite long beam supported by lumped sleepers and ballast blocks. They are connected via linear Hertz springs. The vertical track irregularity is a Gaussian stationary process in the space domain. It is transformed into a uniformly modulated nonstationary random process in the time domain with respect to the non-uniform vehicle speed. By solving the equation of motion of the coupled vehicle-track system with the pseudo-excitation method, the pseudo-response and consequently the power spectral density and the standard deviation of the structural response can be obtained.

Two kinds of vehicle braking programs are taken in the numerical example and some beneficial conclusions are drawn.

The pseudo-excitation method (PEM) was used to perform the random vibration analysis of a coupled non-uniform speed vehicle-track system. Transforming the track irregularity into a uniformly modulated nonstationary random process in time domain with respect to the non-uniform vehicle speed was undertaken. The pseudo-response of the coupled system is solved by applying the Newmark algorithm with constant space integral steps. The random vibration transfer mechanism of the coupled system is fully discussed.

The purpose of this paper is to develop an extensive economic production quantity (EPQ) model on the basis of previous research. Considering an imperfect three‐state production process, this paper makes contributions to an integrated model combining conceptions of quality loss and design of control chart based on EPQ model. The objective is to minimize the total production cost with the determination of EPQ and design parameters of control chart subjected to quality loss and other process costs.

In this paper, imperfect process is defined as a three‐state process, and the quality cost corresponding to each state contributes to the eventual total expected cost formulation. Control chart is used to monitor the shift from the target value within whole process and its control limits are set to be related to the quality cost.

The proposed integrated model conforms more closely to the real situation of production process considering the process shift as a random variable.

Numerical computation and sensitivity analysis through a case study are presented to demonstrate the applications of the model.

Few research efforts investigate an integrated model considering EPQ, control chart and quality loss simultaneously. In particular, compared with the former researches, the process shift, due to which the quality cost incurs, is considered as a random variable in this paper.