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1 – 10 of over 46000Abdul Rahman and Prabina Rajib
The purpose of this paper is to test the long-term effects of price and volume with the help of Downward Sloping Demand Curve (DSDC) hypothesis, and also the short-term price and…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to test the long-term effects of price and volume with the help of Downward Sloping Demand Curve (DSDC) hypothesis, and also the short-term price and volume effects with the help of Price Pressure Hypothesis (PPH) for the index revisions on the S&P CNX Nifty 50 index.
Design/methodology/approach
In order to report the long-term and short-term effects, the current study reviews two testable hypotheses, namely, DSDC hypothesis and PPH. The study has used the event study approach by including GARCH (1, 1) conditional variance in the market model.
Findings
The results report that, the added stocks experienced a significant increase in price and volume on the effective date; whereas the deleted stocks experienced significant volume levels and insignificant price levels on the effective date. Accordingly, the study finds support in favor of PPH.
Research limitations/implications
The study could not find evidence to support the most studied DSDC hypothesis.
Practical implications
Index reorganization presumably affects the fund managers, domestic as well as international investors. As a result, studying the effect of index changes is a subject of attention to academicians and investors alike.
Originality/value
The study contributes to the body of knowledge on index inclusion and exclusion effects by providing Indian evidence on long-term and short-term price and volume effects, and also documenting contrary results to the previous Indian and global research works.
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Mei Qiu and John Pinfold
US studies show significant price effects when shares enter or leave an index during index revisions. Studies on other markets generally yield similar results with smaller price…
Abstract
Purpose
US studies show significant price effects when shares enter or leave an index during index revisions. Studies on other markets generally yield similar results with smaller price reactions. This study aims to examine the price effects resulting from revisions to the Australian S&P/ASX 100 and 300 indices.
Design/methodology/approach
The event study methodology is used to examine abnormal price and volume effects around the announcement dates and implementation dates of index revisions.
Findings
In contrast with studies on US index changes, this study shows no abnormal returns for additions to or deletions from the S&P/ASX 100 index and only a weak effect for the S&P/ASX 300, which showed a median abnormal return of + 1.06 per cent on the implementation date for additions and −2.78 per cent for deletions.
Research limitations/implications
These results give a cautionary warning to those who wish to speculate on the changes to index constituents on the Australian market, or other similar markets where the strength of the index effect has not been clearly quantified.
Originality/value
This study adds to the body of knowledge on the index effect by providing Australian evidence.
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Jiexin Wang, Xue Han, Emily J. Huang and Christopher Yost-Bremm
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of factor-based trading strategies on pricing and volume.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of factor-based trading strategies on pricing and volume.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors employ a regression discontinuity approach to identify abnormalities in volume or pricing around expected portfolio changes. In addition, the authors characterize more granular effects on pricing and volume as a result of portfolio re-classification through Fama and Macbeth (1973) regressions.
Findings
The authors find that firms which are predicted to transfer among the factor portfolios of Fama and French (1993) exhibit strong and statistically significant short-term variation in stock price and volume. Short-term returns around the cutoff values comprising SMB and HML tend to be temporarily high if the firm is predicted to move into a long component of a factor-mimicking portfolio, and temporarily low if moving into a short component. Similar results are apparent when examining movement in and out of the 25 size and book-to-market sorted test asset portfolios.
Practical implications
The use of portfolio strategies formulated on the basis of sorting procedures, while once upon a time a niche market in the portfolio management industry, is now ubiquitous. The results of this study raise interesting methodological questions about the pricing implications arising from these common methodologies.
Originality/value
This study makes a number of contributions. First, it contributes to the idea that the publication or dissemination of trading strategies or – more generally – common portfolio sorting methods, leads to effects on pricing and volume through commonly motivated trading pressure. In other words, recipe-like discoveries of advantageous trading strategies lead to a synthetic creation of demand. Second, by noting that a lot of factor-focused trading activity begins around July and August of each year, the study relates to existing literature which documents seasonal variation in stock returns and volume. The findings raise questions about what guides institutional investors’ portfolio allocation decisions and whether these are optimal in aggregate.
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Hideki Hanaeda and Toshio Serita
This paper examines stock price and volume effects associated with a change in the composition of the Nikkei 225 index in Japan in April 2000. Our results include the following…
Abstract
This paper examines stock price and volume effects associated with a change in the composition of the Nikkei 225 index in Japan in April 2000. Our results include the following: first, we show that newly added firms experience significant positive excess returns of 19% in the five-day period after the announcement of the change; in contrast, deleted and remaining firms’ returns are negatively affected, −36 and −14%, respectively; second, volume tests show significant increase in trading activity after the announcement for both added and deleted firms; third, cross-sectional analysis provides evidence that higher arbitrage risk and demand shocks increase the absolute value of excess returns.
The option pricing model of Black and Scholes (1973) shows that an option contract is redundant in a complete market as it can be completely replicated by its underlying assets and…
Abstract
The option pricing model of Black and Scholes (1973) shows that an option contract is redundant in a complete market as it can be completely replicated by its underlying assets and risk free assets. However, in a real world of incomplete markets, many studies have shown that option contracts are not redundant and can affect prices and trade volume of underlying assets as they contribute to the market completeness. Thus, this paper examines whether this holds for ELWs (Equity-Linked Warrants) in Korean stock market, which are well known to have the same function as option contracts. To do this, we analyze the effects of ELW listings on underlying stocks’ prices, trade volume, and volatilities, and test whether ELWs contribute to market completeness. Using the daily trading data of 5,799 ELWs on individual stocks from December 2005 to September 2011, we find that underlying stocks show significantly positive cumulative abnormal returns (CAARs) and abnormal trade volume after ELW listing dates, implying that the ELW listing affects significantly positive effects on prices and trade volume of underlying stocks. The volatility of underlying stocks is significantly decreasing after the ELW listing. The systematic risk measured as beta, however, does not change over the event window. This result indicates that the decrease in volatility of underlying stocks comes from the decrease of unsystematic risks, and the correlations between returns of market index and underlying stocks are increasing after the ELW listing. The result that ELW listing can have significant effects on the underlying market implies that current stock market is incomplete, and thus, it is natural to ask whether ELWs can contribute to market completeness. Using the method suggested by Buraschi and Jackwerth (2001), we examine whether ELWs are necessary to replicate the pricing kernel used in asset pricing. We select risk-free asset, underlying stock and ELW as reference assets to replicate the pricing kernel, and find that the pricing kernel cannot be replicated completely without ELWs. This result implies that ELWs are not redundant financial assets and are necessary to increase the market completeness in Korean stock market.
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Using S&P 500 additions, the purpose of this paper is to test the permanence of abnormal returns around the index inclusion announcement and effective implementation dates to…
Abstract
Purpose
Using S&P 500 additions, the purpose of this paper is to test the permanence of abnormal returns around the index inclusion announcement and effective implementation dates to differentiate among competing explanations for the index inclusion premia puzzle.
Design/methodology/approach
The event study methodology is used to examine abnormal returns and volume effects around the announcement dates (ADs) and implementation dates of index additions.
Findings
This study documents a twofold increase in trading volume and significant permanent abnormal returns at the ADs that are correlated with subsequent decreases in bid‐ask spreads. There is a fivefold increase in trading volume, but only temporary abnormal returns, around the effective dates (EDs). Taken collectively, the evidence indicates that the permanent return at announcement is best explained by liquidity/information cost explanation, but the temporary return and large trading increases at the ED can best be attributed to the price pressure hypothesis.
Research limitations/implications
These results do not support the well documented long‐run downward‐sloping demand curve as the primary explanation for the abnormal returns observed on these dates.
Originality/value
This study contributes to the body of literature on the index inclusion effect by providing supporting evidence for the liquidity/information cost explanation, and by extending the previously analyzed index additions with an additional five‐year period from 2000‐2004.
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Chiraz Labidi, Dorra Laribi and Loredana Ureche-Rangau
This study explores the price and trading volume effects around the quarterly Dow Jones Islamic Market-GCC index (DJIM-GCC) revisions and investigates whether these reactions are…
Abstract
Purpose
This study explores the price and trading volume effects around the quarterly Dow Jones Islamic Market-GCC index (DJIM-GCC) revisions and investigates whether these reactions are driven by firms' fundamentals or by investors' perception of ethical screening.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors adopt an event study methodology to analyze the price and volume effects of Islamic indices redefinitions.
Findings
The results exhibit a positive (negative) price reaction for added (deleted) stocks. The authors also document an asymmetric volume response for index additions and deletions. The multivariate analysis of the cumulative abnormal returns reveals that the documented market reaction around Islamic index revisions is mainly related to the compliance attribution (withdrawal).
Originality/value
The approach allows to separate the market reaction arising from changes in firms' fundamentals from that induced by investors' perception of the attribution or withdrawal of a compliance certification. Moreover, the focus on the GCC region, where countries share the same cultural traits and perceive Islamic law identically excludes any social effect that would influence the market reaction due to cultural differences between countries.
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This paper investigates the impact on the price volatility of Australian 90 day Bank Accepted Bills (BABs) when the futures contracts written on BABs expire. Using the absolute…
Abstract
This paper investigates the impact on the price volatility of Australian 90 day Bank Accepted Bills (BABs) when the futures contracts written on BABs expire. Using the absolute value of log price changes as a measure of volatility, and appropriate non‐parametric tests, the analysis does not detect any expiration day price effect, nor reversal in volatility between expiration Fridays and the following Mondays for the period 1 November 1979 to 1 November 1993. These findings are consistent with the results of those overseas studies which do not find evidence for expiration day effects.
Susana Yu, Gwendolyn Webb and Kishore Tandon
Prior research on additions to the S & P 500 and the smaller MidCap 400 and SmallCap 600 indexes reach different conclusions regarding the key variables that explain the…
Abstract
Purpose
Prior research on additions to the S & P 500 and the smaller MidCap 400 and SmallCap 600 indexes reach different conclusions regarding the key variables that explain the cross-section of announcement period abnormal returns. Most notable in this regard is that liquidity measures, long thought to be of importance, do not appear to explain abnormal returns of the S & P 500 when other factors are controlled for. By contrast, they do appear to matter for additions to the smaller stock indexes. To explore this difference, the purpose of this paper is to analyze the abnormal returns upon announcement that a stock will be added to the Nasdaq-100 Index in a cross-sectional manner, controlling for several possible alternative factors.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper analyzes abnormal returns upon announcement that a stock will be added to the Nasdaq-100 Index. The authors consider several possible sources of the positive price effects in a multivariate setting that controls simultaneously for measures of liquidity, arbitrage risk, operating performance and investor interest and awareness. The authors then analyze both trading volume and the bid-ask spreads. The authors finally examine analyst and investor interest, focussing on changes in analyst coverage.
Findings
The authors find that only liquidity variables are significant, but that factors representing feedback effects on the firm’s operations and level of managerial effort are not. The authors find that the average bid/ask spreads of stocks added to the Nasdaq-100 index are lower after the addition. The authors also find that the number of analysts following a stock increases significantly after addition, verifying increased analyst interest. Both forms of evidence are consistent with the hypothesis that the additions are associated with enhanced liquidity for the stocks.
Originality/value
The authors conclude that what does happen to a Nasdaq stock when it is announced that it will be added to the Nasdaq-100 Index is that more analysts are drawn to it, and its market liquidity is enhanced. The authors conclude that what does not happen is that there is no evidence of significant effects of enhanced managerial effort or operating performance associated with the inclusion. This difference is noteworthy because it suggests that a certification effect of additions to the S & P indexes associated with S & P’s selection process are unique to it and do not apply to the Nasdaq-100 Index additions based on market cap alone. The results provide indirect evidence on the existence and significance of the certification effect associated with additions to the S & P indexes.
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The purpose of this paper is to examine the short horizon stock behavior following large price shocks in the Indian stock market.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the short horizon stock behavior following large price shocks in the Indian stock market.
Design/methodology/approach
The author followed the methodology developed by Pritamani and Singhal (2001) to the short horizon stock behavior following large price shocks. Multivariate regression has also been used to test the robustness of the evidenced results.
Findings
The abnormal return following large one-day price changes were not found to be important. However, large price one-day changes, conditioned with volume, evidenced significant reversals and momentum over the following 20-day period. Large price changes accompanied by low volume exhibited significant reversals and suggests significant economic profits. The large price changes accompanied by high volume exhibited continuations.
Research limitations/implications
Large price changes accompanied by low volume exhibited significant reversals and suggested significant economic profits. The large price changes with high volume exhibited continuations. The contrarian strategy of buying low-volume one-day losers and selling one-day winners produced significant short horizon economic profits in the Indian stock market directly contradicting the efficient market hypothesis and has behavioral implications.
Practical implications
In this paper, the author has unearthed significant simple profitable trading strategies based on reversals and continuation following large one-day price changes with potential for significant economic profits.
Originality/value
This paper provides a practical framework for profitable trading strategies based on reversals and continuation following large one-day price changes with a potential for significant economic profits. The analysis of short horizon stock behavior following large price shocks conditional on volume based on the chosen methodology has not been attempted so far in the Indian stock market.
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