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Trade performance will be key to the recovery of GDP

Location:

INT

GDP contracted across the world in the second quarter and the shape and size of recession varied widely by region

Emirati activism pays COVID-19 dividends in the Gulf

Location:

GULF STATES

Even among the six relatively wealthy Gulf Cooperation Council countries, pandemic performance has been mixed

North Korea's economy will withstand sanctions

Location:

NORTH KOREA

North Korea's economic performance casts doubt on the ability of sanctions to put meaningful pressure on Pyongyang

Prosperity and sustainability show little correlation

Location:

INT

The mismatch between economic prosperity and environmental sustainability impedes national and global climate action

Minor parties will decide Slovakia’s next government

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SLOVAKIA

The September 30 Slovak elections will likely produce a fragmented parliament, as in every election except 2012

Russian failures evident in air campaign

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RUSSIA

Reported losses of the advanced Su-34 are as high as for any aircraft, pointing to problems with its use, not technology

Germany’s exports will continue to struggle

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GERMANY

High energy prices and cooling foreign demand, particularly from China, are hurting Germany’s trade position

AfD surge will impact the German policy agenda

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GERMANY

Support for the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) has doubled since the last federal election in September 2021

US, China on changed GDP growth trajectories

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INT

US GDP has outperformed pre-pandemic expectations, while China and other Asian giants have fallen short

Trade rebound does not match regional demand outlooks

Location:

INT

Estimates see world trade rebounding from sub-1% to 3.5% in 2024, even though all regions are slowing or growing slowly