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US inversion risk may mean long-term political trouble

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UNITED STATES

US political enfranchisement and voter behaviour.

US yield inversion signals recession within 1-2 years

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UNITED STATES

Predicting recessions.

Pharma and biotech M&A is set to slow globally in 2016

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INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for healthcare and pharmaceutical M&A.

‘America First’ trade unravels as market risks mount

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UNITED STATES

Outlook for US financial markets.

Financial market volatility will rise as risks pile up

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INT

Surging energy prices, and the prospect of sharply higher food prices if grain exports from Russia and Ukraine are curtailed, are stoking fears that inflation will run far higher…

Mixed bond market moves raise policy-tightening risks

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INTERNATIONAL

Its two-year equivalent, which is more sensitive to US monetary policy, has risen faster, as expectations have increased that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise rates at…

Prospects for the US economy in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for the US economy in 2020.

Panama leak to boost global fight against tax evasion

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INTERNATIONAL

The 'Panama papers' disclosures brought attention to the weak harmonisation of corporate tax policies, creating loopholes that can be exploited to avoid and evade tax. The…

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

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INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

Obstacles to US tax reform could curb Biden’s spending

Location:

UNITED STATES

With Congress in the legislative endgame over President Joe Biden's proposed USD4tn spending on infrastructure, education, research and clean energy, changes to the US tax code to…