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Harold Delfín Angulo Bustinza, Bruno de Souza and Roberto De la Cruz Rojas
Blessing Katuka, Calvin Mudzingiri and Peterson K. Ozili
This study aims to examine the impact of fiscal space and governance quality on inclusive growth in African countries.
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to examine the impact of fiscal space and governance quality on inclusive growth in African countries.
Design/methodology/approach
In total, 28 African countries were analyzed from 2000 to 2020 using the generalized method of moment regression method. An inclusive growth index was developed using the principal component analysis (PCA) method. The PCA-derived index incorporates factors such as poverty, income inequality, economic participation and per capita income.
Findings
The main findings suggest that fiscal space availability (de facto fiscal space and fiscal balance) promotes inclusive growth. The study also showed that lagged inclusive growth, digitalization and governance indicators positively influence inclusive growth. The study concludes that fiscal space availability fosters inclusive growth, but this effect is mediated by governance quality in Africa.
Originality/value
Several studies examined the role of fiscal policy on inclusive growth. However, it is crucial to assess the fiscal space, that is, the financial capacity of the government to implement its fiscal policy without harming its financial stability. This paper, therefore, contributes to the existing literature by using de facto fiscal space indicator to comprehend fiscal dynamics contributing to inclusive growth. In addition, the paper uniquely constructs an inclusive growth index by including poverty severity, which considers both the incidence and depth of poverty and inequality in society.
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Khadijah Iddrisu, Joshua Yindenaba Abor and Thadious Kannyiri Banyen
The purpose of this study is to assess the extent to which the nexus between foreign bank presence (FBP) and inclusive growth is being impacted by the financial development.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this study is to assess the extent to which the nexus between foreign bank presence (FBP) and inclusive growth is being impacted by the financial development.
Design/methodology/approach
The study used a two-stage system generalized method of moment (GMM), using 28 African countries from the period 2000 to 2018.
Findings
The study found a positive effect of FBP on inclusive growth. While financial development magnifies the positive effect of FBP, inclusive growth nexus, it has a direct effect on inclusive growth.
Practical implications
For Africa to ascertain the positive effect of FBP on inclusive growth, financial system must be developed to reduce the cream-skim behavior of foreign banks.
Originality/value
This paper assess the extent to which developing economy's developed financial system form synergies with FBP to further enhance the inclusiveness of growth.
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The relationship between economic growth performance and achieving inclusive growth, especially concerning poverty rate, is a subject of continuous argument in economic…
Abstract
Purpose
The relationship between economic growth performance and achieving inclusive growth, especially concerning poverty rate, is a subject of continuous argument in economic literature. Although some argue that this relationship is deterministic, i.e. achieving economic growth will definitely reduce poverty and enhance inclusive growth, others believe that the relationship between growth and poverty is conditional, depends mainly on the status of income distribution in this country, i.e. if the growth is combined with a significant improve in distribution then it will reduce poverty.
Design/methodology/approach
Africa is a clear example of the nexus between economic growth and poverty reduction. Although many African countries manage to achieve relatively high growth rates, hit two digits in some cases, during the last decades, poverty still widely spread in those countries. Of the 30 poorest countries in the world, 24 are African countries. And about 50% of African people still live under the poverty line. Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA), which could be considered as one of the fastest growing regions in Africa, is not an exception; although the region achieves relatively high growth rates, poverty and inequality are still among the region’s main development challenges.
Findings
This paper found that the economic growth rate achieved in COMESA countries could not be considered as inclusive growth as it does not combine with adequate enhancement in inclusiveness indicators. And that the structural characteristics of those countries economy and its inelasticity are the main reasons behind this inefficiency.
Originality/value
In this context, this paper aims to evaluate the effectiveness of economic growth achieved in COMESA countries in achieving inclusive growth and to identify the main factors affecting this relationship by using two steps data envelopment analysis. Although this method is originally developed to evaluate the relative economic efficiencies, the main contribution of this paper is the adaptation of data envelopment analysis to evaluate the efficiency of economic growth achieved in COMESA countries in enhancing inclusive growth dimensions such as poverty rate, inequality, unemployment, education, health, and then to identify in its second step the main indicators that could be used to explain the variation in efficiency scores.
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Opeoluwa Adeniyi Adeosun, Philip Akanni Olomola, Adebayo Adedokun and Olumide Steven Ayodele
The increasing debate on the viability of broad-based productive employment in stimulating the participatory tendencies of growth makes it instructive to inquire how the African…
Abstract
Purpose
The increasing debate on the viability of broad-based productive employment in stimulating the participatory tendencies of growth makes it instructive to inquire how the African “Big Five” have fared in their quests to ensure growth inclusiveness through public investment-led fiscal policy.
Design/methodology/approach
Time varying structures and nonlinearities in the government investment series are captured through the non-linear autoregressive distributed lag, asymmetric impulse responses and variance decomposition estimation techniques.
Findings
Study findings show that positive investment shocks stimulate growth inclusiveness by enabling access to opportunities through job creation and productive employment for the populace; this result is evident for Morocco and Algeria. However, there is a non-negligible evidence that shocks due to decline in the government investment manifest in insufficient capital stocks and limited investment opportunities, impede access to opportunities by the populace, hinder labour employability and make growth less inclusive. Furthermore, all short-run findings corroborate long-run results regarding the reaction of inclusive growth to positive investment shocks with the exclusion of South Africa; which, unlike its long-run finding, shows that shocks due to increases in investment can foster growth inclusiveness. Also, in respect to short-run negative investment shocks, Nigeria is the only country that does not align its long-run findings.
Practical implications
That public investment shocks make or mar inclusive growth effectiveness shows the need for appropriate fiscal policy consolidation and automatic stabilization guidelines to ensure buffers against shocks and to enhance government investment generation efficiency for a sustainable inclusive growth process that is more participatory in Africa.
Originality/value
This study is the first to accommodate possibilities of shocks in the inclusivity of growth analysis for the five biggest African economies which jointly account for over half of the recorded growth in the continent. As such, there is quantitative evidence that government investment is a potent determinant of growth inclusiveness and it is susceptible to structural changes and time variation of shocks.
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Opeoluwa Adeniyi Adeosun, Philip Akani Olomola, Mosab I. Tabash and Suhaib Anagreh
This paper examined the inclusive growth position of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) through the metrics of poverty-gap, bottom20 and employment. Through these indicators, the study…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper examined the inclusive growth position of sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) through the metrics of poverty-gap, bottom20 and employment. Through these indicators, the study investigated the effects of domestic-investment on inclusive-growth and established the moderating impact of governance in the domestic investment-inclusive growth nexus. It further accounted for potential nonlinearity and investigated the governance threshold that moderates domestic investment-inclusive growth relationships.
Design/methodology/approach
Using a sample of 41-SSA countries, the paper employed the fixed effect (FE) with the Driscoll and Kraay nonparametric consistent covariance matrix estimator, the generalized method of moments (GMM) and the dynamic-panel threshold techniques.
Findings
The poverty-gap metric showed that with increasing GDP-growth, the income of the poor falls below the poverty-line, suggesting that GDP-growth episodes may have widened the poverty-gap and contributed minimally to reducing it. Findings revealed insignificant effects of GDP-growth on the bottom-20 metric while the employment-metric indicated that the “jobless-growth” phenomenon remained valid. The authors essentially established that economic growth has not been inclusive but the complementary roles played by domestic-investments and governance are essential requirements for achieving inclusive growth. The threshold-modeling indicated that countries in the upper-regime of governance gained more in reducing poverty gaps, increasing income shared by the bottom-quintile and improving employment for every percentage increase in investment. The authors confirmed nonlinearity and showed that there exists a governance threshold that respective governments in Africa must reach for domestic-investment to enhance inclusive growth.
Originality/value
The paper accounted for cross-sectional dependence, nonlinearity and the governance threshold needed for domestic-investment to stimulate inclusive growth.
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Wenjing Wang, Taiyi He and Zhenhui Li
This paper aims to explore the impact of digital inclusive finance (DIF) on regional economic growth and innovation-driven development.
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to explore the impact of digital inclusive finance (DIF) on regional economic growth and innovation-driven development.
Design/methodology/approach
Based on the panel data of 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) in China from 2011 to 2018, this paper explores the impact of DIF on economic growth and innovative development.
Findings
(1) DIF has a direct positive effect on economic growth and innovative development; (2) there is significant regional heterogeneity in the impact of DIF on economic growth and innovative development. (3) DIF can indirectly affect economic growth and innovative development by increasing residents’ personal disposable income, increasing fiscal expenditure and improving educational level.
Social implications
Exploring the relationship between them and digital inclusive financial development can provide a reference for national productivity construction and development.
Originality/value
Economic growth and innovation-driven development have been one of the main concerns of China’s policymakers. Exploring the relationship between them, digital inclusive financial development can provide a reference for national productivity construction and development.
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The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of fiscal policy and institutional quality on the inclusive growth process of the selected developing Asian countries. Inclusive…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the impact of fiscal policy and institutional quality on the inclusive growth process of the selected developing Asian countries. Inclusive growth is a growth process which ensures that everyone is participating and benefited by growth process.
Design/methodology/approach
This study uses system generalized method of moment to address the problem of endogeneity and omitted variable bias.
Findings
Empirical results showed that both fiscal policy and institutions have positive effects on inclusive growth. Our empirical results confirmed that fiscal policy can work more efficiently in the presence of good quality institutions in the developing Asian countries.
Research limitations/implications
Government should take measures to improve infrastructure, roads and transport system, and main share of government expenditures should be allocated to development, education and health projects. There is a need to transform the tax structure of the countries with the huge emphasis on the progressive tax system and this is likely to benefit the lower segment of the population. There is a need to develop institutions as they serve as a road map for the development of a country. There should be coordination between government policies and institutions. Supervision of fiscal policy through good institutions is needed for the proper allocation and utilization of public resources.
Practical implications
By restructuring the taxation system subject to the provision of quality institutions, government can incentivize entrepreneurs to make significant investments. This creates jobs for lower segment of a society, brings down poverty and increases the income level of a country. This increases the individual and collective welfare of an economy that ensures the inclusive growth within a country.
Originality/value
In this study, proxies used for fiscal policy are government expenditures and tax revenues as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) to examine its impact on the certain measures of inclusive growth such as employment, income inequality and GDP per capita. This study provides useful insights for the policy makers using fiscal policy to achieve the goal of inclusive growth in developing countries.
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Jianghuai Zheng and Chunmiao Shen
The purpose of this paper is to propose policy recommendations that resort to the domestic market to achieve inclusive growth from an open perspective.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to propose policy recommendations that resort to the domestic market to achieve inclusive growth from an open perspective.
Design/methodology/approach
How will economic globalization based on domestic demand affect economic growth and income distribution in an open and large country? With the aim of discussing the mechanism of the impact of expanding domestic demand on the inclusive growth from an open perspective, this paper incorporates the Global Value Chains vs National Value Chains (GVC-NVC) competition, which is triggered by foreign investments attracted by the domestic demand scale into an endogenous growth model with “Schumpeterian Innovation.”
Findings
Theoretical analysis indicates the following findings: although domestic demand-based economic globalization can promote transnational inclusive growth across countries, it is not conducive to national (domestic) inclusive growth; the impacting effect of domestic demand scale on inclusive growth across countries is subject to the moderating effect of the development maturity of the labor market; and the impacting effect of domestic demand scale on national inclusive growth is subject to the joint moderating effect of the development maturity of the labor market and labor skill structure.
Originality/value
First, this paper examines the impact of domestic demand-based economic globalization on the inclusiveness of economic growth from an open perspective, which deepens the existing theory of intra-product specialization and inclusive growth. Second, the paper puts the sequential production process into Schumpeterian growth model and reveals the mechanism that domestic demand affects inclusive growth. Third, the study finds that the enhancement of labor market efficiency, transfer payments to low-skilled labor and the creation of a fair competitive market environment will contribute to the globalization of a domestic demand-oriented economy, which provides a policy-making basis for government sectors.
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