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Article
Publication date: 2 May 2017

The optimal LTV-ratio, mortgage market variability and monetary policy regimes: A demand-side perspective

Trond Arne Borgersen

The purpose of this paper is twofold: first, it derives the optimal loan-to-value (LTV)-ratio for a mortgagor that maximizes the return to home equity when considering the…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is twofold: first, it derives the optimal loan-to-value (LTV)-ratio for a mortgagor that maximizes the return to home equity when considering the capital structure of housing investment. Second, it analyses the demand-side contribution to mortgage market variability across monetary policy regimes.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper endogenizes both the relation between the LTV ratio and the mortgage rate and the relation between LTV and the rate of appreciation. When we consider LTV-variance and the demand-side contribution to mortgage market variability, three stylized regimes is considered.

Findings

The paper finds an intuitive ranking of the optimal LTV-ratios across regimes, and the optimal LTV-ratio peaks during a housing boom. When, however, monetary policy ignores asset inflation the demand-side contribution to market variability is highest during normal market conditions. Hence, there is a potentially hump-shaped relation between the risk exposure of individual mortgagors and the demand-side contribution to mortgage market variability.

Originality/value

The paper finds a potentially hump-shaped relation between the risk exposure of individual mortgagors and the demand-side contribution to mortgage market variability, which, to the best of our knowledge, is novel. The paper shows how macro-prudential and monetary policy are complementary tolls for preserving financial stability.

Details

Journal of Financial Economic Policy, vol. 9 no. 02
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-06-2016-0044
ISSN: 1757-6385

Keywords

  • Monetary policy
  • Housing supply and markets
  • Mortgage market variability and monetary policy strategy
  • LTV-ratio
  • Housing appreciation
  • Mortgage rates
  • C32
  • G15
  • F3

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Article
Publication date: 27 May 2014

Equity induced up-trading and the housing market structure: Implications for price-to-income (PTI) and macroprudential interventions

Trond-Arne Borgersen

The purpose of this paper is to highlight the importance of home equity and the interplay between market segments for housing market developments. The intention is to show…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to highlight the importance of home equity and the interplay between market segments for housing market developments. The intention is to show that it is not only the aggregate equity gain but also the distribution of equity gains between segments that matter for how shocks to income impact house prices.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper sets out a linear housing market model with three segments. Households trade up a housing ladder and link the three segments for owner-occupied housing. The up-trading is equity-induced. An expression for the house price index, which is related to the market segment prices both directly through the segment size and indirectly through a segment position on the housing ladder is derived. The author considers the price effects of shocks to income in four housing market regimes.

Findings

The heterogeneous housing market model shows how the interplay between segments impacts housing markets. When considering shocks to income, short-run deviations in the price-to-income (PTI) ratio compared to their long-run equilibrium due to equity-induced up-trading were found. The extent of PTI overshooting is related to the intensity of equity-induced up-trading between different segments. The market structure necessary to eliminate such overshooting is contingent on the distribution of equity gains between segments. Finally, the paper shows how the price effects of macroprudential interventions might be non-negligible when indirect effects are taken into account.

Originality/value

The linear housing market model with three market segments introduces a framework where the intensity of equity-induced up-trading in different market segments can be analyzed. This distributional aspect is, to the best of the author's knowledge, novel. The context-specific relation between housing market structure, equity-induced up-trading and short-run deviations in the PTI ratio provides a foundation for future research.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. 7 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJHMA-06-2012-0024
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

  • Housing
  • Housing prices
  • Housing market analysis

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Article
Publication date: 13 July 2010

Can housing rights be applied to modern housing systems?

Padraic Kenna

The purpose of this paper is to outline and examine the growing corpus of housing rights and assess their relevance and applicability to complex contemporary housing…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to outline and examine the growing corpus of housing rights and assess their relevance and applicability to complex contemporary housing systems across the world.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper sets out the principal instruments and commentaries on housing rights developed by the United Nations, regional and other bodies. It assesses their relevance in the context of contemporary analysis of housing systems, organized and directed by networks of legal and other professionals within particular domains.

Findings

Housing rights instruments are accepted by all States across the world at the level of international law, national constitutions and laws. The findings suggest that there are significant gaps in the international law conception and framework of housing rights, and indeed, human rights generally, which create major obstacles for the effective implementation of these rights. There is a preoccupation with one element of housing systems, that of subsidized or social housing. However, effective housing rights implementation requires application at meso‐, micro‐ and macro‐levels of modern, dynamic housing systems as a whole. Epistemic communities of professionals develop and shape housing law and policy within these domains. The housing rights paradigm must be further fashioned for effective translation into contemporary housing systems.

Research limitations/implications

The development of housing rights precedents, both within international and national law, is leading to a wide and diffuse corpus of legislation and case law. More research is needed on specific examples of effective coupling between housing rights and elements of housing systems.

Originality/value

This paper offers housing policy makers and lawyers an avenue into the extensive jurisprudence and writings on housing rights, which will inevitably become part of the lexicon of housing law across the world. It also highlights the limitations of housing rights implementation, but offers some new perspectives on more effective application of these rights.

Details

International Journal of Law in the Built Environment, vol. 2 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17561451011058762
ISSN: 1756-1450

Keywords

  • Housing legislation
  • Human rights (law)
  • International law

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Article
Publication date: 3 May 2016

Modeling property bubble dynamics in Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain

Philipp Klotz, Tsoyu Calvin Lin and Shih-Hsun Hsu

Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain have been in the spotlight of the recent economic crisis in Europe. With their economy strongly reliant on the construction industry…

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Abstract

Purpose

Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain have been in the spotlight of the recent economic crisis in Europe. With their economy strongly reliant on the construction industry, these countries have become widely exposed to the downturn in the property sector. This paper aims to examine residential property bubble dynamics in the period from 2003 to 2014 and investigate the role of financing conditions in the formation of these bubbles.

Design/methodology/approach

Building on the present value model in conjunction with the rational bubble assumption, the study applies the discounted cash flow (DCF) approach and applies weighted average cost of capital (WACC) to capture real estate bubble dynamics in the four countries. Reduced form vector autoregression models are used to examine the relationship between financing conditions and the bubble indicator.

Findings

The bubble indicator suggests that Spain and Ireland experienced a large rise in the bubble relative to moderate increases in Portugal and Greece in the period from 2003 up to the collapse in 2008. Our findings from the empirical analysis indicate that central bank policy shifts that impact interest rates and lending volumes on the domestic level have a significant and leading effect on the formation of residential property bubbles.

Originality/value

Only little research on real estate bubbles takes financial leverage into account. This paper bridges this gap by applying the WACC in the DCF model to identify real estate bubbles. While using a distinct bubble indicator, this analysis provides new insights into the linkage between financing conditions and real estate bubbles.

Details

Journal of European Real Estate Research, vol. 9 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JERER-11-2014-0038
ISSN: 1753-9269

Keywords

  • VAR
  • WACC
  • DCF
  • Financing conditions
  • Property bubbles

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Article
Publication date: 7 October 2019

The Two Million Housing Drive in Korea: A supply solution for affordable housing in the developing world

Christopher Feather

Emerging states confront staggering shortages in adequate housing stock. In response, governments have sought various supply-based solutions to mitigate growing housing…

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Abstract

Purpose

Emerging states confront staggering shortages in adequate housing stock. In response, governments have sought various supply-based solutions to mitigate growing housing deficits. While many of these mass housing efforts have not produced the desired outcome, the Republic of Korea’s Two Million Housing Drive (TMHD) was a comparatively successful intervention with its implementation from 1988 to 1992. The five-year initiative exceeded its objective with the construction of over 2.1 million units – of which two-thirds were built by the private sector. The purpose of this study is to analyse Korea’s relatively effective supply-based affordable housing approach and then extrapolate best practices and lessons learned with applications for real estate markets in the developing world. Comparative understanding of the TMHD can help promote greater access to adequate housing in the developing world, especially for the many who continue to live in impoverished conditions.

Design/methodology/approach

The research uses content-based and quantitative methods to analyze the case of the TMHD in Korea toward informing improvements in corresponding supply-based housing policies and programs in developing states.

Findings

While there were challenges with the TMHD, the program repositioned Korea’s urban housing market with greater access to affordable housing in cities for the lower-income and vulnerable. The TMHD enabled the subsequent effectiveness of demand-based housing policies.

Research limitations/implications

There are research limitations in fully understanding the complex relationships between mass housing programs, economic growth and government policies. The abductive reasoning used in this case study enables in-depth analysis of the TMHD with generalizable inferences for middle-range theories with applications for emerging markets.

Practical implications

The experience of the TMHD can promote policy harmonization by helping optimize corresponding mass housing efforts in the developing world with the potential to similarly close quantitative housing deficits and expand access to adequate housing for lower-income and vulnerable households.

Social implications

Deeper understanding of the TMHD can lead to reforms of other mass housing initiatives in emerging markets to make adequate housing more accessible and economical for the benefit of underserved segments of society.

Originality/value

The Korean experience with the TMHD can inform the optimization of other similar large-scale policies and programs seeking to sustainably overcome shortfalls in adequate housing that have become all too common in the developing world.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. 12 no. 5
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJHMA-01-2019-0004
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

  • Korea
  • Construction
  • Developing countries
  • Real estate
  • Public–private partnership
  • Housing deficit

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Article
Publication date: 20 July 2010

Tenurial “competition”, tenure dynamics and the private rented sector: An international reappraisal

Kath Hulse, Colin Jones and Hal Pawson

The purpose of this paper is to re‐appraise the role of the private renting in the housing system drawing on a review of public policies toward the sector in six…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to re‐appraise the role of the private renting in the housing system drawing on a review of public policies toward the sector in six countries. It re‐examines the adequacy of explanations about tenurial “competition” and the dynamics of tenurial change using a cross disciplinary perspective.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper critiques key explanations on the nature and type of competition between housing tenures, notably dual and unitary models, and the role of private renting in explanations of tenure dynamics. The paper also explores some of these ideas empirically by examining the changing role of the private renting relative to other tenures in a number of European countries and in Australia.

Findings

The paper expresses doubts about the potential for unitary markets to develop/continue as integrated markets because of the fundamental problems about ensuring continuing investment in the private rented sector and constraints on the maturation process, particularly where ownership of rental housing is diverse and small‐scale. The analysis suggests that housing tenures are quite fluid and with a general trend towards deregulation of private rents there is a blurring of the distinction between different types of rental systems.

Practical implications

The analysis suggests that it is critical to understand changes in private renting taking into account broader economic conditions, trade‐offs about housing consumption and investment, and public policy settings.

Originality/value

The analysis draws out theoretically, and explores empirically, the process of change in tenure relations by for the first time focusing on the role of private renting in these dynamics.

Details

Journal of European Real Estate Research, vol. 3 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17539261011062619
ISSN: 1753-9269

Keywords

  • Housing
  • Investments
  • Economic conditions
  • Public policy
  • Europe
  • Australia

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Article
Publication date: 11 December 2020

Did the elderly suffer more from housing deprivation? Evidence from Poland

Anna Matel and Jacek Marcinkiewicz

The elderly seem to be more subject to housing problems due to lower income, older age of the housing stock and lower mobility. Nonetheless, housing deprivation (HD) is…

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Abstract

Purpose

The elderly seem to be more subject to housing problems due to lower income, older age of the housing stock and lower mobility. Nonetheless, housing deprivation (HD) is commonly analysed amongst the general population. Less is known about the differences between age clusters, which seems to be a crucial issue in countries like Poland due to population ageing. What is more, the current literature usually analyses only the occurrence of HD, while also an accumulation of its indicators seems to be substantial. The aim of this article is to identify the differences in HD (its occurrence and accumulation) amongst elderly and non-elderly households and to diagnose the risk factors behind those phenomena.

Design/methodology/approach

The HD index was calculated and compared. Next, the multinomial logit models were used to assess risk factors of HD.

Findings

The study showed that, surprisingly, HD in Poland occurs more frequently amongst non-elderly households. The elderly ones suffered more from housing cost overburden, while non-elderly from the overpopulation. In large part, analysed risk factors had a stronger influence on housing conditions of the elderly than non-elderly households.

Social implications

Social policy tools should focus on the situation of single elderly households, especially living in houses, often in villages. This group is particularly affected by problems with the quality of the dwelling and housing cost overburden.

Originality/value

In the paper, the occurrence and accumulation of HD indicators were analysed. The authors applied a methodological framework that is applicable to other European Union (EU) member states based on the EU Survey on Income and Living Conditions (EU-SILC) data. It is possible to continue the research study and compare different economies.

Details

International Journal of Social Economics, vol. 48 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJSE-06-2020-0363
ISSN: 0306-8293

Keywords

  • Housing deprivation
  • Elderly households
  • Population ageing
  • Housing conditions

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Article
Publication date: 9 December 2019

The pathology of housing policies in Iran: a criterion-based analysis

Moslem Zarghamfard, Abolfazl Meshkini, Ahmad Pourahmad and Beniamino Murgante

Housing policy is a key tool in urban development and has multiple functions that directly affect human welfare. This study aims to review housing policies in Iran from a…

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Abstract

Purpose

Housing policy is a key tool in urban development and has multiple functions that directly affect human welfare. This study aims to review housing policies in Iran from a critical perspective. In fact, the study and pathology of housing policies are considered in this research.

Design/methodology/approach

To advance this research, a quantitative (fuzzy TOPSIS and fuzzy AHP) method was used to rank the policies and the qualitative method (interview and literature review) was used for the pathology of housing policies.

Findings

The failure of policies to provide housing in Iran is decisive, but social housing policy has a relative superiority to other policies. Causes of failure of Iranian housing policies are as follows in a pathological perspective: commodification and speculative approach to housing; lake of social and physical sustainability; social stratification and classification; inconsistency with environmental conditions; non-indigenous nature of housing policies; exclusion of local institutions in the decision-making process; and the dominance of a populist perspective on housing.

Originality/value

This study is a comprehensive study because it has been extracted from the dissertation. By reading this study, the reader will be aware of the general conditions of the Iranian housing sector.

Details

International Journal of Housing Markets and Analysis, vol. 13 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJHMA-06-2019-0066
ISSN: 1753-8270

Keywords

  • Urbanization
  • Housing policy
  • Housing policy-making
  • Housing planning
  • Housing pathology
  • Iran

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Article
Publication date: 15 June 2015

Integration of stakeholder interests in housing companies’ strategic management: A process model for more sustainable value creation

Stephanie Heitel, Annette Kämpf-Dern and Andreas Pfnür

In addition to financial returns, German housing companies are expected to achieve social and ecological outcomes. This achievement is challenging for management, as…

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Abstract

Purpose

In addition to financial returns, German housing companies are expected to achieve social and ecological outcomes. This achievement is challenging for management, as expectations from different stakeholders are only partly apparent and often conflicting. The paper aims to discuss these issues.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper presents a process model that supports the management of housing companies to systematically explore, evaluate, and integrate stakeholders’ interests into the company’s strategic targets.

Findings

The integrated process model improves sustainable value creation, as stakeholders’ interests are transparent and can thus be better satisfied.

Research limitations/implications

Due to the action research design, further research cycles and empirical testing with other companies are needed before findings can be generalised.

Practical implications

The process enables housing companies to focus on value-generating activities, to react timely to changing needs, and to improve their relationships with stakeholders. Management benefits from increased clarity and legitimacy for strategic decisions as stakeholder demands are made transparent and integrated into the strategic targets.

Originality/value

Compared to common participation approaches, all stakeholder groups are consulted, and their expectations are documented transparently within the suggested process model. This results in a better foundation for sustainable management planning and decisions.

Details

Property Management, vol. 33 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/PM-05-2014-0026
ISSN: 0263-7472

Keywords

  • Participation
  • Value creation
  • Housing
  • Balancing of interests
  • Stakeholder involvement
  • Target setting

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Book part
Publication date: 9 May 2018

Higher Fees, Higher Debts: Unequal Graduate Transitions in England?

Katy Vigurs, Steven Jones, Julia Everitt and Diane Harris

This chapter draws on findings from a comparative, qualitative research project investigating the decision-making of different groups of English higher education students…

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Abstract

This chapter draws on findings from a comparative, qualitative research project investigating the decision-making of different groups of English higher education students in central England as they graduated from a Russell group university (46 interviewees) and a Post-92 university (28 interviewees). Half of the students graduated in 2014 (lower tuition fees regime) and the other half graduated in 2015 (higher tuition fees regime). The students interviewed were sampled by socio-economic background, gender, degree subject/discipline and secondary school type. Semi-structured interviews were used to explore students’ future plans and perceptions of their future job prospects. Despite higher debt levels, the 2015 sample of Russell Group graduates from lower socio-economic backgrounds had a positive view of their labour market prospects and a high proportion had achieved either a graduate job or a place on a postgraduate course prior to graduation. This group had saved money whilst studying. The 2015 sample of Post-1992 University graduates (from both lower and average socio-economic backgrounds) were worried about their level of debt, future finances and labour market prospects. This chapter raises questions about whether a fairer university finance system, involving lower levels of debt for graduates from less advantaged backgrounds, might avoid some graduates’ transitions to adulthood being so strongly influenced by financial anxieties.

Details

Higher Education Funding and Access in International Perspective
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78754-651-620181005
ISBN: 978-1-78754-651-6

Keywords

  • Student finance
  • student debt
  • higher education tuition fees
  • graduate transitions
  • graduate inequality

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