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Article
Publication date: 25 September 2020

The impact of foreign capital shifts on economic activities and asset prices: a threshold VAR approach

Boubekeur Baba and Güven Sevil

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of foreign capital shifts on economic activities and asset prices in South Korea.

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of foreign capital shifts on economic activities and asset prices in South Korea.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors in this paper apply the Bayesian threshold vector autoregressive (TVAR) model to estimate the regimes of large and low inflows of foreign capital. Then, structural impulse-response analysis is used to check whether the responses of the variables differ across the estimated regimes. The model is estimated using quarterly data of foreign capital inflows, gross domestic product (GDP), consumer price index, credit to the private non-financial sector, real effective exchange rate (REER), stock returns and house prices.

Findings

The main findings suggest that large inflows of gross foreign capital, foreign direct investments (FDI) and foreign portfolio investments (FPI) are ineffective to boost economic growth, but large inflows of other foreign investments (OFIs) significantly contribute to GDP. The decreases in the foreign capital inflows are associated with larger depreciation of REER. The large inflows of gross foreign capital, FDI and OFIs are associated with further expansion of credit supply to private non-financial sectors.

Research limitations/implications

The policy implications of foreign capital inflows are of particular importance to all the emerging markets alike. However, the empirical analysis is limited to the case of South Korea due to various reasons. The experience with international capital inflows among emerging markets is heterogeneous. Therefore, it would be better to take each case of emerging market individually. In addition, TVAR analysis requires a long data sample, which unfortunately is not available for most of the emerging markets.

Originality/value

The foreign capital inflows are shown to be procyclical and notoriously volatile in many studies. Nevertheless, this topic has commonly been studied using linear VAR models, which do not properly deal with the cyclical characteristics of foreign capital inflows. This study attempts to resolve these methodological limitations by examining a non-linear VAR model that is capable of capturing the structural breaks associated with the cyclical behaviors of foreign capital inflows.

Details

Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, vol. 4 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEB-06-2020-0013
ISSN: 2615-9821

Keywords

  • Foreign capital inflows
  • Regime shifts
  • Economic growth
  • Credit expansion
  • Asset prices
  • Bayesian threshold VAR
  • South Korea
  • F21
  • F32
  • F36
  • F41
  • G12

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Book part
Publication date: 13 November 2014

Environmental Impact of Foreign vs. Domestic Capital Investment in China ☆

Reprinted from Yang, Brosig, and Chen (2013). John Wiley & Sons, with kind permission from the publisher.

Boqiong Yang, Stephan Brosig and Jianguo Chen

We compare environmental impacts associated with incoming foreign direct investment versus domestic capital in China. We use aggregate data on Chinese provinces’ economic…

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We compare environmental impacts associated with incoming foreign direct investment versus domestic capital in China. We use aggregate data on Chinese provinces’ economic and pollution indicators to explore the effects of the financial origin of fixed capital. Our simultaneous models consider three prime channels through which these effects work: economic scale, sectoral composition, and pollution intensity. Results show that emissions associated with foreign financed capital are lower than with domestically financed capital for some but not all of the considered types of pollution.

Details

Globalization and the Environment of China
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S1574-871520140000014003
ISBN: 978-1-78441-179-4

Keywords

  • Domestic capital
  • foreign direct investment (FDI)
  • environmental impacts
  • pollution emission
  • F2
  • Q56
  • Q58

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Book part
Publication date: 1 April 2006

Chapter 4 Does Foreign Aid Impede Foreign Investment?

Hamid Beladi and Reza Oladi

This paper investigates the impact of foreign aid on foreign investment when foreign aid is used to finance a public consumption good. By formulating and analyzing a…

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This paper investigates the impact of foreign aid on foreign investment when foreign aid is used to finance a public consumption good. By formulating and analyzing a three-good general equilibrium model, we show that such foreign aid could crowd out foreign investment, given a factor intensity condition.

Details

Theory and Practice of Foreign Aid
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-8715(06)01004-9
ISBN: 978-0-444-52765-3

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Article
Publication date: 8 August 2016

Productive contribution of local and foreign workers in Singapore manufacturing industries

Shandre Mugan Thangavelu

The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of large inflow of foreign workers on the Singapore manufacturing productivity using a panel data at the disaggregated…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of large inflow of foreign workers on the Singapore manufacturing productivity using a panel data at the disaggregated industry level from 1998 to 2008. The results indicate that foreign workers do make productive contribution to manufacturing productivity, but it is much lower as compared to local workers. However, the author observe the declining capital-labour ratio with the increase in the flow of foreign workers. This is expected to have direct impact on the competitiveness of the manufacturing in the export market. Since new technologies are embodied in new capital investment, the declining capital-labour ratio indicates that workers might be producing output with less technology-intensive capital. Conversely, local workers are more productive with high capital investment, indicating that local workers are more skilled and hence there is more complementarity between capital investments and local human capital.

Design/methodology/approach

The author implement a panel estimation of disaggregated industry level data of Singapore manufacturing from 1998 to 2008. The author use GMM estimation to control for any endogeneity issues in the estimation.

Findings

The results indicate that foreign workers do make productive contribution to manufacturing productivity; but it is much lower as compared to local workers. However; the author observe the declining capital-labour ratio with the increase in the flow of foreign workers.

Research limitations/implications

The data for foreign workers at the disaggregated level is not publically available and this is given for this research purpose. The data for foreign workers is limited as it does not have by educational levels.

Practical implications

This is the first paper to study impact of foreign workers on manufacturing sector at a disaggregated panel data. There are important policy implications for managing foreign workers and achieving sustainable growth for the Singapore economy.

Social implications

The welfare and social impacts of foreign workers on the Singapore economy is discussed. There is also the issue of policy calibration to balance the flow of foreign workers in the Singapore economy.

Originality/value

This is the first paper to study impact of foreign workers on manufacturing sector at a disaggregated panel data.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. 43 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JES-11-2014-0191
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

  • Growth
  • Export
  • Productivity
  • Foreign workers

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 2003

MNEs, globalisation and digital economy: legal and economic aspects

Georgios I. Zekos

Aim of the present monograph is the economic analysis of the role of MNEs regarding globalisation and digital economy and in parallel there is a reference and examination…

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Aim of the present monograph is the economic analysis of the role of MNEs regarding globalisation and digital economy and in parallel there is a reference and examination of some legal aspects concerning MNEs, cyberspace and e‐commerce as the means of expression of the digital economy. The whole effort of the author is focused on the examination of various aspects of MNEs and their impact upon globalisation and vice versa and how and if we are moving towards a global digital economy.

Details

Managerial Law, vol. 45 no. 1/2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/03090550310770875
ISSN: 0309-0558

Keywords

  • Globalization
  • Digital marketing
  • Electronic commerce

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Article
Publication date: 9 January 2017

Mergers and acquisitions in Brazilian industry: a study of spillover effects

Nádia Campos Pereira Bruhn, Cristina Lelis Leal Calegário, Francisval de Melo Carvalho, Renato Silvério Campos and Antônio Carlos dos Santos

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of different kinds of merger and acquisitions (M&As) on domestic industries’ productivity in the form of…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of different kinds of merger and acquisitions (M&As) on domestic industries’ productivity in the form of technological change (TC) and efficiency change (EC) in the Brazilian extracting and processing industries.

Design/methodology/approach

Panel data analysis is employed to test the impact of different kinds of M&As spillovers on each component of productivity growth. The database contains data collected from 2007 to 2011 referring to the Brazilian industries. The estimation procedure involves two stages. The first stage decomposes TFP growth into EC and TC using a input-based Malmquist Productivity Index. In the second step, EC and TC indexes are used interchangeably as a dependent variable in panel data regressions on the M&As-spillover variables.

Findings

The results indicate a positive relationship between TC and M&As made by Brazilian majority capital acquiring foreign-held capital from a company established abroad, which is consistent with reverse spillover theory. They also suggest an inverse relationship between TC and M&A operations made by companies with foreign majority capital acquiring both Brazilian-held capital and foreign-held capital from a company established in Brazil. Only the sectors that are capable of increasing their productivity via TC are able to benefit from technology transfer.

Research limitations/implications

This study is limited by the extent of data aggregation applied, which did not identify M&A transaction effects at the firm level. The available data do not allow isolating the effects of M&A processes on industry performance, given the co-occurrence of several factors that affect the performance of the industry. The study results imply that public managers must remain cognizant of the critical need to preserve and maximize competition between foreign and domestic firms while promoting a competitive environment that encourages the development of domestic technological capacities and skilled human capital.

Practical implications

M&A processes raise important issues with respect to organizational decisions and industrial policy. Studies of M&A transactions may be of fundamental importance to the expansion of healthy companies as they evolve through successive stages of growth and development. Liberalizing regulations to promote M&A transactions, and corporate market control is only justified if it promotes social welfare and economic development. Understanding the complexity and dynamics of this phenomenon and appreciating the heterogeneity of possible outcomes can lead to more relevant discussion regarding their contributions.

Social implications

Results found in this study indicate the need for greater efforts to understand how M&A operations, especially those associated to foreign-held capital, interact with local owned enterprises in developing economies and what benefits can be achieved through public policy. M&A operations need to be well evaluated by considering the kinds and intensities of externalities they might generate, whether and how local firms can potentially internalize those gains, building up absorptive capacities in order to achieve productivity spillover gains.

Originality/value

This study not only offers a more accurate understanding of the diverse nature and effects of M&A operations, but also stimulates a more relevant public policy discussion related to both foreign direct investment and OFDI incentives in Brazil. The growing economic importance of the activities of developing emerging countries’ multinational enterprises is making governments more inclined to re-evaluate their political strategies. Indeed, governments are beginning to recognize that markets need to be created, monitored and nurtured.

Details

International Journal of Productivity and Performance Management, vol. 66 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/IJPPM-11-2014-0179
ISSN: 1741-0401

Keywords

  • Spillovers
  • DEA analysis
  • Industrial policy
  • Malmquist index
  • Processing industry
  • Reverse spillover
  • Brazilian industry

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Book part
Publication date: 2 September 2010

Liability of foreignness: new insights from capital markets

R. Greg Bell, Igor Filatotchev and Abdul A. Rasheed

Liability of foreignness (LOF) has been one of the central constructs in the field of international business and management. Over the past two decades, a significant body…

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Liability of foreignness (LOF) has been one of the central constructs in the field of international business and management. Over the past two decades, a significant body of theoretical and empirical research has accumulated, theorizing on the sources of these LOFs, investigating their magnitude, and prescribing approaches to mitigate these disadvantages. However, much of this research is almost exclusively related to firms expanding their products, services, and operations to other countries as part of their global expansion. The difficulties firms face in foreign product markets is just one dimension of the costs they can face in their attempts to secure resources abroad.

We expand the domain of the LOF construct to include liabilities faced by firms accessing foreign capital markets in light of the increasing integration of capital markets. We identify four sources of LOF in capital markets: regulatory costs, information costs, unfamiliarity costs, and costs arising out of cultural differences. Based on an extensive review of “home bias” in equity markets, we propose four strategies to erase the legitimacy deficits that firms encounter in foreign capital markets: bonding, signaling, adoption of business practices isomorphic with the host country, and certifications and endorsements by third parties. We also offer suggestions for operationalizing and measuring LOF in capital markets as well as several directions for advancing further research on LOF in the context of capital markets.

Details

The Past, Present and Future of International Business & Management
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S1571-5027(2010)00000230019
ISBN: 978-0-85724-085-9

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Book part
Publication date: 25 July 2019

Central Bank Policy Mix

Perry Warjiyo and Solikin M. Juhro

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Details

Central Bank Policy: Theory and Practice
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78973-751-620191021
ISBN: 978-1-78973-751-6

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Book part
Publication date: 25 July 2019

Monetary Policy and Foreign Capital Flows

Perry Warjiyo and Solikin M. Juhro

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Central Bank Policy: Theory and Practice
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78973-751-620191019
ISBN: 978-1-78973-751-6

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Book part
Publication date: 28 September 2020

Global Shock and Foreign Bank Lending: Choice of Home and Local Currency Loans in Indonesia

Yuki Masujima

This chapter investigates a shock transmission path between a home country (a country where globalized banks’ headquarters are located) and a host country (Indonesia as…

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This chapter investigates a shock transmission path between a home country (a country where globalized banks’ headquarters are located) and a host country (Indonesia as the emerging market) through the lending channel of global banks’ local branches (i.e., the internal transfer channel). Using novel data of monthly individual foreign bank’s balance sheet in Indonesia, the author finds the evidence that shocks to a parent bank and a home economy are transmitted to a host economy through the foreign banks’ internal capital market. With the Indonesia banks’ capital injections and their difficulty in financing dollar funds without risk premiums since the 1998s crisis, the foreign banks’ dollar lending in Indonesia is a good showcase of internal capital markets. A change in a home stock market index and industrial production appears to have a negative effect on growth rates in foreign currency loans of foreign banks in the host market. On the other hand, high growth rates in the parent bank’s stock price in the home market lead to an increase in foreign banks’ US dollar lending in the host country. This effect does not appear in local currency lending because limited hedging instruments against foreign exchange risk results in immobility of bank capital in the local currency.

Details

Emerging Market Finance: New Challenges and Opportunities
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/S1569-376720200000021006
ISBN: 978-1-83982-058-8

Keywords

  • Capital mobility
  • crisis
  • currency denomination
  • foreign banks
  • internal capital markets
  • international banking
  • F34
  • F37
  • O16

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