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Property investment risk is traditionally accounted for by valuers in a risk‐adjusted discount rate approach, although this term, popular in mainstream finance, is rarely used. This paper shows that RADR is but one of several risk adjustment techniques that may be employed within an explicit cash flow framework. It explains how a certainty equivalent technique may be used in an objective manner by use of standard deviation analysis, and develops a new technique for use in the UK prime market known as the sliced income approach. The paper goes further by setting risk adjustment (deterministic) techniques within the wider context of risk analysis and compares a simple probabilistic approach and sensitivity analysis with these techniques for use in property investment appraisal. A case study is employed in illustrations.

The primary purpose of this paper is to develop the translation formula between the required return on unlevered and levered equity for the specific case where cash flows have a finite lifetime and the flow to debt is prespecified. The secondary purpose of this paper is to underpin the importance of the type of stochasticity of cash flows for translation formulas. A general derivation of such formulas and the discount rate in the free cash flow approach is shown.

The paper starts with the same assumptions that have been applied by Modigliani and Miller (1963), Miles and Ezzell (1980) and other researchers. Then the paper develops the mathematical foundations to apply a deterministic backward-iterative scheme for valuing cash flows. After stating the valuation formulas for levered and unlevered equity, debt and tax shields, the authors mathematically derive the relationship between the unlevered return and levered return on equity.

Conventional translation formulas apply to very special cases. They can generally not be used for projects with nonconstant leverage and a finite lifetime. In general, translation formulas depend on continuing values, cash flows, leverage, taxation, risk-free rate, etc. In this paper, the translation depends on the structure of the debt in addition to the well-known parameters in conventional formulas. This paper formula contains the Modigliani-Miller translation formula as a special case.

The authors develop a novel formula for the translation of the required return on unlevered to levered equity. With this formula, the authors offer a solution for the consistent valuation of cash flows with a limited lifetime and given debt financing.

In the last 40 years, the UK valuation profession has relied heavily upon the “hardcore” or “layer” method for valuing reversionary properties (under‐ and/or over‐rented). This approach is not used elsewhere in the world and, prior to the rent freeze of the 1970s in the UK, it wasn't a principal method in the UK. However, valuers today, particularly in London, use this method exclusively despite it producing erroneous answers in certain cases (over‐rented; non‐normal cash flows). This paper seeks to address these issues.

This paper undertakes an indicative pilot study of valuation models used in the valuation of reversionary properties in the downturn of 2008‐2012. The study, whilst small, provided an insight into the techniques chosen by valuers to look at properties where the risk of falling rents, voids and prolonged vacancy is relatively high.

The paper looks at approaches, methods and techniques for property valuation. It identifies that the determination of the UK valuation profession to cling to familiar valuation models, no matter how inappropriate, may lead to mis‐valuations. Alternative, more appropriate, implicit and explicit models are suggested.

It is the opinion of this paper that the UK property market is now so different from the market that prevailed when the layer model was introduced that it no longer has a place in the valuers' armoury of methods to use. This paper looks at a number of case study examples and offers other (more appropriate) options for valuing reversionary interests. In particular, the findings from the study will be useful for valuers to be better able to identify the critical points in the expected cash flow and thus be better able to reflect the appropriate risk in the valuation figure provided.

The purpose of this paper is to comment upon the on-going debate about the preferred use of implicit models of valuation vs their explicit counterparts. The last few decades have seen changing complexities in UK leasing structures, and there is a suggestion that the implicit models are incapable of dealing with these complexities. This paper looks to address the issues and concerns with implicit models.

This education briefing is an overview of the pros and cons of both models and collates comments from industry to give an indication of the use of each model.

This paper analyses the appropriateness of implicit models of valuation and the areas in which they prove useful. Although the explicit models prove to be more useful in certain situations, the implicit models are also proved just as useful. The appropriate model needs to be used as appropriate to the property type.

Rather than seeing implicit and explicit models as “rivals”, they should be seen as two sides of the same coin. Both have advantages and disadvantages. The role of the valuer in practice is to choose the correct model for the valuation task in hand.

This is a review of existing models.

It is well recognised that the UK commercial property market has traditionally used nominal market benchmarks such as the all‐risk yield based on the assumption that rents are received annually in arrears. Obviously, the reality of the market is that rents are invariably received quarterly in advance and it has been suggested that valuers should move towards valuation techniques that reflect the actual timing of the cash flow. The Investment Property Forum issued a paper in September 1999 promulgating the use of quarterly in advance valuations. Parry’s Tables provides quarterly in advance formulae that reflect the reality of rental income and indicates that an annual effective yield should be used instead of a nominal yield to compensate for the subsequent compounding resulting from an income received quarterly. However, as will be shown, the effective yield formula provided by Parry’s does not reflect quarterly payments that are received in advance so compromising the accurate transition from annually in arrears to quarterly in advance formulae based valuations. Tables produced by the IPF have rectified this problem in part as they correctly work on the premise that capital values will not change as the profession changes to a quarterly approach. It is the yield which will be expressed differently. The use of an all risk yield technique for valuation is actually a comparative method. The way in which the yield is expressed is not the critical issue, it is the multiplier against the rent which will determine value. This paper provides the formula required to accurately transfer annually in arrears data into quarterly in advance data together with the formulae required for contemporary growth explicit discounted cash flows (DCF).

The aim is to present, explain and illustrate an improved method for decomposing an event‐based change in market value into its cash flow and risk elements.

The approach is two‐fold. There is an algebraic comparison of the existing and improved decomposition to prove and delineate the benefits of the new method. There is an event study, using 130 firms, contrasting the results of the existing and improved methods.

The new, alternative method of decomposition is easier to use, provides a cleaner delineation of the components, and results in increased statistical significance in tests.

Researchers now have access to an improved methodology for decomposing market value changes. Explicit limitations reveal when the new method provides benefits over the current method.

Managers considering strategic decisions now have an improved method to understand the main impacts on market value. For example, by decomposing the market's reaction to an acquisition announcement, managers can gauge better whether following through that decision is likely to have intended effects on the firm's cash flow and risk profile.

The value of this paper is the presentation of an improved method for event‐study type research, where delineation of the basis elements of changes in market value is required. Originality lies in the use of implied standard deviation (ISD) as an even more focused way to apply this new method when the target firms regularly trade financial options.

Synthesis of the customer lifetime value and the shareholder value (SHV) approach in order to develop an integrated, marketing‐based method for corporate valuation.

Discusses the limitations and assumptions of existing methods to estimate customer value components and examines the limitations of the SHV concept. By linking the customer equity (CE) and the SHV approach, a formal model to calculate corporate value is developed. The discounted cash flow method is used for modelling the profit streams.

Provides formulas for the estimation of both the individual lifetime value of a customer and CE. Provides a comprehensive model to estimate corporate value based on customer‐related cash flows and traditional financial metrics. Introduces typical cases, in which the use of a customer‐based valuation seems beneficial. Illustrates how our approach can be applied by using a simple case study on M&A in the telecommunication industry. Gives suggestions on how to obtain the necessary data, partially even from publicly available sources.

Advancement of the quantitative techniques for modelling the customer value components would allow for relaxing some restrictive assumptions. The explicit modelling of the future growth of the customer base (the acquisition rate) would increase the applicability of the model. Additionally, taking into account heterogeneity within the customer cohorts is a task for future research. Finally, our model needs to be applied more extensively using real data for the input variables.

A CE‐based valuation approach can guide marketing investments and helps to avoid misallocation of resources. Based on an example in the field of M&A, we demonstrate the usefulness of the approach for obtaining a realistic indicator of firm value. It helps to assess whether an acquisition is economically sensible. We provide evidence for the superiority of a customer‐based approach over traditional financial methods.

While the traditional SHV method considers cash flows at a highly aggregated level, our approach employs disaggregated cash flows on the level of individual customers. Thereby we do incorporate the lifetime values of future customers by considering different cohorts. We do capture customer defection by incorporating retention rates. Our model enables a more detailed and valid estimation of corporate value by accounting for the single customer activities that drive marketing actions. This enables a better forecasting of the free cash flow. Incorporating customer‐related drivers into financial valuation models makes easier to assess the return on marketing investments.

Compiled by K.G.B. Bakewell covering the following journals published by MCB University Press: Facilities Volumes 8‐18; Journal of Property Investment & Finance Volumes 8‐18; Property Management Volumes 8‐18; Structural Survey Volumes 8‐18.

Index by subjects, compiled by K.G.B. Bakewell covering the following journals: Facilities Volumes 8‐18; Journal of Property Investment & Finance Volumes 8‐18; Property Management Volumes 8‐18; Structural Survey Volumes 8‐18.

Compiled by K.G.B. Bakewell covering the following journals published by MCB University Press: Facilities Volumes 8‐18; Journal of Property Investment & Finance Volumes 8‐18; Property Management Volumes 8‐18; Structural Survey Volumes 8‐18.