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Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

Location:

MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

High US government debt does not itself raise risks

Location:

UNITED STATES

Some economists are suggesting that, over the longer term, this could cause financial markets to stop buying US debt and charge prohibitively high rates, and cause the dollar to…

Prospects for the United Kingdom to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for the United Kingdom to end-2018.

Lower rates will return, amplify and raise challenges

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INTERNATIONAL

The identification of the impact of wars and pandemics on interest rates has been difficult for lack of data. Recent research efforts have overcome this. Pandemics tend to push…

Wagner leader poses a threat to Putin’s Russia

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RUSSIA

On the back of his mercenaries’ success in Ukraine, he has used social media to berate the defence ministry, the general staff and Putin himself, albeit indirectly, as a doddery…

Kurz will have much leverage over new Austrian leader

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AUSTRIA

Despite stepping down, Kurz will remain leader of the centre-right Austrian People’s Party (OVP) and the party’s parliamentary group leader. The Greens, which had threatened to…

Glencore share price rise belies global copper woes

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INTERNATIONAL

The clawback has helped it partially recover losses after a 29% crash on September 28, bringing total losses to around 70% this year. Yet doubts over CEO Ivan Glasenberg's…

Carillion collapse may transform public-private deals

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INTERNATIONAL

Last month Carillion, the United Kingdom’s second-largest construction and outsourcing firm, went into liquidation. It employed 43,000 people and had 2017 revenues of 5.2 billion…

Economic growth will boost Portugal’s government

Location:

PORTUGAL

Portugal is set for the best five-year period of growth since the turn of the millennium, unemployment is falling and public finances are showing positive signs. The upswing is…

UK Conservatives to move right on EU unity worries

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Most senior cabinet ministers have continued in office. This continuity masks what is likely to be a shift in the balance of policy in several areas compared with the previous…