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China’s military purge will impact efficiency

Location:

CHINA

It does not reveal critical threats to President Xi Jinping’s authority, deficits that demand fundamental reassessments of the PLA’s development trajectory, or alter assessments…

Energy spending plans signpost more market volatility

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

In advanced economies, despite progress on the green transition, insulation from fossil fuel market volatility remains a distant prospect. Limited clean energy investment in the…

The EU’s phase-out of Russian gas is not guaranteed

Location:

EU

This is the trajectory followed by the majority of member states. However, blockages remain in east-central Europe, where Turkey could play a role in maintaining direct or…

Pakistan-US relations are on a downward trajectory

Location:

PAKISTAN/US

Separately, Pakistan is drawing closer to its ‘all-weather’ partner China, a key US rival. Washington’s strategy in the Indo-Pacific increasingly revolves around pushing back on…

Conflict focus will worsen Libya's COVID-19 trajectory

Location:

LIBYA

Long-standing weaknesses in governance and the public health system have left Libya unable to slow or prevent community transmission of COVID-19.

Prospects for China's politics in 2020

Location:

PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for Chinese politics and foreign relations in 2020.

Euro-area potential GDP will stay on low trajectory

Location:

EURO-AREA/INT

Declining potential growth trends.

Egypt’s new capital will not help the housing crisis

Location:

EGYPT

Effects of the new capital.

Election will revive EU-UK tension on Northern Ireland

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

According to the polls, the nationalist Sinn Fein (SF) is on course to overtake the Democratic Unionist Party (DUP) and become Northern Ireland's largest party for the first time…

US Fed’s independence is likely to stay

Location:

UNITED STATES

This comes after a July 19 interview in which President Donald Trump expressed discontent with the Fed’s upward interest rate trajectory and speculated that it could choke the…