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The UK’s trade bill will rise sharply outside the EU

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The likelihood of hard Brexit has risen and if WTO rules are adopted, the cost of UK goods and services trade will rise

China-US intellectual property tension will intensify

Location:

INT

The United States and China are at opposite ends of the intellectual property spectrum -- setting the scene for friction

The EU will be anxious to strike a UK trade agreement

Location:

EUROPE

National interests will play a leading role in the EU-UK Brexit future relationship negotiation

Trade shifting from multilateralism to smaller groups

Location:

INT

The WTO meeting may struggle to reach agreement on fishing and farming, let alone on dispute resolution or digital trade

EU-Australia-New Zealand trade deals have promise

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EU/AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND

Brussels, Canberra and Wellington are beginning free trade deal negotiations, but talks could falter

US-UK trade deal comes with risks and benefits

Location:

US/UK

US-UK trade ties are already strong; while a trade deal could help build these further, there is no guarantee

EU dominates Ukraine’s trade despite Russian comeback

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UKRAINE/RUSSIA

Russia is Ukraine’s largest single-country trade partner but is consistently outstripped by the EU as a bloc

Procedure and politics may block US TPP ratification

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UNITED STATES

Election-year considerations may encourage Congress to reject the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade pact in 2016

ASEAN infrastructure imbalances will spur competition

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ASEAN

Uneven trade-related infrastructure across ASEAN implies investment possibilities and geopolitical competition

India will not eclipse China in Latin America

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

India’s trade and investment ties with Latin America remain relatively modest, although there is scope for growth