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Article
Publication date: 1 April 2021

Tooraj Karimi and Arvin Hojati

The purpose of this paper is to design an inference engine to measure the level of readiness of each bank before starting the corporate sustainability auditing process. Based on…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to design an inference engine to measure the level of readiness of each bank before starting the corporate sustainability auditing process. Based on the output of the designed inference engine, the audition team can decide about the audition resources and the auditing process.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, the hybrid rough and grey set theory are used to design and create a rule model system to measure the sustainability level of banks. First, 16 rule models are extracted using rough set theory (RST), and the cross-validation of each model is done. Then, the grey clustering is used to combine the same condition attributes and improve the validity of the final model. A total of 16 new rule models are extracted based on the decreased condition attributes, and the best model is selected based on the cross-validation results.

Findings

By comparing the accuracy of rough-gray’s rule models and as a result of decreasing the condition attributes, a proper increase in the accuracy of all models is obtained. Finally, the Naive/Genetic/object-related reducts model with 95.6% accuracy is selected as an inference engine to measure new banks’ readiness level.

Originality/value

Sustainability measurement of banks based on RST is a new approach in the field of corporate sustainability. Furthermore, using the grey clustering for combining the condition attributes is a novel solution for improving the accuracy of the rule models.

Article
Publication date: 3 December 2021

Tooraj Karimi and Yalda Yahyazade

Risk management is one of the most influential parts of project management that has a major impact on the success or failure of projects. Due to the increasing use of information…

Abstract

Purpose

Risk management is one of the most influential parts of project management that has a major impact on the success or failure of projects. Due to the increasing use of information technology in all fields and the high failure rate of software development projects, it is essential to predict the risk level of each project effectively before starting. Therefore, the main purpose of this paper is proposing an expert system to infer about the risk of new banking software development project.

Design/methodology/approach

In this research, the risk of software developing projects is considered from four dimensions including risk of cost deviation, time deviation, quality deviation and scope deviation, which is examined by rough set theory (RST). The most important variables affecting the cost, time, quality and scope of projects are identified as condition attributes and four initial decision systems are constructed. Grey system theory is used to cluster the condition attributes and after data discretizing, eight rule models for each dimension of risk as a decision attribute are extracted using RST. The most validated model for each decision attribute is selected as an inference engine of the expert system, and finally a simple user interface is designed in order to predict the risk level of any new project by inserting the data of project attributes

Findings

In this paper, a high accuracy expert system is designed based on the combination of the grey clustering method and rough set modeling to predict the risks of each project before starting. Cross-validation of different rule models shows that the best model for determining cost deviation is Manual/Jonson/ORR model, and the most validated models for predicting the risk of time, quality and scope of projects are Entropy/Genetic/ORR, Manual/Genetic/FOR and Entropy/Genetic/ORR models; all of which are more than 90% accurate

Research limitations/implications

It is essential to gather data of previous cases to design a validated expert system. Since data documentation in the field of software development projects is not complete enough, grey set theory (GST) and RST are combined to improve the validity of the rule model. The proposed expert system can be used for risk assessment of new banking software projects

Originality/value

The risk assessment of software developing projects based on RST is a new approach in the field of risk management. Furthermore, using the grey clustering for combining the condition attributes is a novel solution for improving the accuracy of the rule models.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 12 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 18 June 2020

Tooraj Karimi and Arvin Hojati

In this study, a hybrid rough and grey set-based rule model is designed for diagnosis of one type of blood cancer called multiple myeloma (MM). The grey clustering method is used…

Abstract

Purpose

In this study, a hybrid rough and grey set-based rule model is designed for diagnosis of one type of blood cancer called multiple myeloma (MM). The grey clustering method is used to combine the same condition attributes and to improve the validity of the final model.

Design/methodology/approach

Some tools of the rough set theory (RST) and grey incidence analysis (GIA) are used in this research to analyze the serum protein electrophoresis (SPE) test results. An RST-based rule model is extracted based on the laboratory SPE test results of patients. Also, one decision attribute and 15 condition attributes are used to extract the rules. About four rule models are constructed due to the different algorithms of data complement, discretization, reduction and rule generation. In the following phases, the condition attributes are clustered into seven clusters by using a grey clustering method, the value set of the decision attribute is decreased by using manual discretizing and the number of observations is increased in order to improve the accuracy of the model. Cross-validation is used for evaluation of the model results and finally, the best model is chosen with 5,216 rules and 98% accuracy.

Findings

In this paper, a new rule model with high accuracy is extracted based on the combination of the grey clustering method and RST modeling for diagnosis of the MM disease. Also, four primary rule models and four improved rule models have been extracted from different decision tables in order to define the result of SPE test of patients. The maximum average accuracy of improved models is equal to 95% and related to the gamma globulins percentage attribute/object-related reducts (GA/ORR) model.

Research limitations/implications

The total number of observations for rule extraction is 115 and the results can be improved by further samples. To make the designed expert system handy in the laboratory, new computer software is under construction to import data automatically from the electrophoresis machine into the resultant rule model system.

Originality/value

The main originality of this paper is to use the RST and GST together to design and create a hybrid rule model to diagnose MM. Although many studies have been carried out on designing expert systems in medicine and cancer diagnosis, no studies have been found in designing systems to diagnose MM. On the other hand, using the grey clustering method for combining the condition attributes is a novel solution for improving the accuracy of the rule model.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 10 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 10 July 2024

Tooraj Karimi, Mohamad Ahmadian and Meisam Shahbazi

As some data to evaluate the efficiency of bank branches is qualitative or uncertain, only grey numbers should be used to calculate the efficiency interval. The combination of…

Abstract

Purpose

As some data to evaluate the efficiency of bank branches is qualitative or uncertain, only grey numbers should be used to calculate the efficiency interval. The combination of multi-stage models and grey data can lead to a more accurate and realistic evaluation to assess the performance of bank branches. This study aims to compute the efficiency of each branch of the bank as a grey number and to group all branches into four grey efficiency areas.

Design/methodology/approach

The key performance indicators are identified based on the balanced scorecard and previous research studies. They are included in the two-stage grey data envelopment analysis (DEA) model. The model is run using the GAMS program. The grey efficiencies are calculated and bank branches have been grouped based on efficiency kernel number and efficiency greyness degree.

Findings

As policies and management approaches for branches with less uncertainty in efficiency are different from branches with more uncertainty, considering the uncertainty of efficiency values of branches may be helpful for the policy-making of managers. The grey efficiency of branches of one bank is examined in this study using the two-stage grey DEA throughout one year. The branches are grouped based on kernel and greyness value of efficiency, and the findings show that considering the uncertainty of data makes the results more consistent with the real situation.

Originality/value

The performance of bank branches is modeled as a two-stage grey DEA, in which the efficiency value of each branch is obtained as a grey number. The main originality of this paper is to group the bank branches based on two grey indexes named “kernel number” and “greyness degree” of grey efficiency value.

Details

Journal of Modelling in Management, vol. 19 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1746-5664

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 August 2016

Tooraj Karimi and Jeffrey Yi-Lin Forrest

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the energy audit reports in order to define the most favorable factors affecting energy consumption of buildings. Since energy audit of…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the energy audit reports in order to define the most favorable factors affecting energy consumption of buildings. Since energy audit of buildings includes assessment of occupants comfort level in addition to the technical data of buildings so some rules are extracted to model the employees thermal comfort level in organization.

Design/methodology/approach

Some tools of RST and GIA are used in this research to analyze the energy consumption of official buildings. “Average energy consumption of building per year” is selected as a system characteristic in GIA and as a decision attribute in RST to show the behavior of buildings energy consumption. Ten technical sequences of buildings are chosen as relevant factors of behavior and conditional attributes in GIA and RST. In order to model the employees thermal comfort level in organization by RST, ten technical attributes of buildings are selected as condition attributes and thermal comfort level of employees is selected as decision attribute. Due to the different algorithms of data complement, discretization, reduction, and rule generation, four rule models are constructed. Cross-validation is used for evaluation of the model results and the best model is chosen with 62 rules and 99.8 percent of accuracy.

Findings

According to the results of GIA and RST, “Uncontrolled area of the building” has been diagnosed as the most important factor between other relevant factors/attributes and it has the greatest effect on energy consumption of building. Four rule models have been extracted from deferent decision tables in order to describe the thermal comfort level of employees in organization. The maximum number of rules relates to the conditional combination/GA model with 1263 rules and average accuracy of 99.7 percent and the minimum number relates to the conditional combination/Janson model with 62 rules and average accuracy of 99.8 percent.

Research limitations/implications

The total observations for rule extraction is 81 and the results can be improved by further samples.

Originality/value

It shows that “Uncontrolled area of the building” is the most important factor/attribute to define the consumption of buildings and thermal comfort level of employees in organization.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 45 no. 7
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 24 January 2018

Tooraj Karimi, Mohammad Reza Sadeghi Moghadam and Amirhosein Mardani

This paper aims to design an expert system that gets data from researchers and determines their maturity level. This system can be used for determining researchers’ support…

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to design an expert system that gets data from researchers and determines their maturity level. This system can be used for determining researchers’ support programs as well as a tool for researchers in research-based organizations.

Design/methodology/approach

This study focuses on designing the inference engine as a component of an expert system. To do so, rough set theory is used to design rule models. Various complete, discretizing and reduction algorithms are used in this paper, and different models were run.

Findings

The proposed inference engine has the validity of 99.8 per cent, and the most important attributes to determine the maturity level of researchers in this model are “commitment to research” and “attention to research plan timeline”.

Research limitations/implications

To accurately determine researchers’ maturity model, solely referring to documents and self-reports may reduce the validation. More validation could be reached through using assessment centers for determining capabilities of samples and observations in each maturity level.

Originality/value

The assessment system for the professional maturity of researchers is an appropriate tool for funders to support researchers. This system helps the funders to rank, validate and direct researchers. Furthermore, it is a valid criterion for researchers to evaluate and improve their abilities. There is not any expert system to assess the researches in literature, and all models, frameworks and software are conceptual or self-assessment.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 47 no. 7
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 15 September 2023

Tooraj Karimi and Mohamad Ahmadian

Competition in the banking sector is more complex than in the past, and survival has become more difficult than before. The purpose of this paper is to propose a grey methodology…

Abstract

Purpose

Competition in the banking sector is more complex than in the past, and survival has become more difficult than before. The purpose of this paper is to propose a grey methodology for evaluating, clustering and ranking the performance of bank branches with imprecise and uncertain data in order to determine the relative status of each branch.

Design/methodology/approach

In this study, the two-stage data envelopment analysis model with grey data is applied to assess the efficiency of bank branches in terms of operations. The result of grey two-stage data envelopment analysis model is a grey number as efficiency value of each branch. In the following, the branches are classified into three grey categories of performance by grey clustering method, and the complete grey ranking of branches are performed using “minimax regret-based approach” and “whitening value rating”.

Findings

The results show that after grey clustering of 22 branches based on grey efficiency value obtained from the grey two-stage DEA model, 6 branches are assigned to “excellent” class, 4 branches to “good” class and 12 branches to “poor” class. Moreover, the results of MRA and whitening value rating models are integrated, and a complete ranking of 22 branches are presented.

Practical implications

Grey clustering of branches based on grey efficiency value can facilitate planning and policy-making for branches so that there is no need to plan separately for each branch. The grey ranking helps the branches find their current position compared to other branches, and the results can be a dashboard to find the best practices for benchmarking.

Originality/value

Compared with traditional DEA methods which use deterministic data and consider decision-making units as black boxes, in this research, a grey two-stage DEA model is proposed to evaluate the efficiency of bank branches. Furthermore, grey clustering and grey ranking of efficiency values are used as a novel solution for improving the accuracy of grey two-stage DEA results.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 14 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 28 October 2014

Tooraj Karimi and Jeffrey Forrest

The purpose of this paper is to analyse the results of energy audit reports and defines most favourable characteristics of system, which is energy consumption of buildings, and…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to analyse the results of energy audit reports and defines most favourable characteristics of system, which is energy consumption of buildings, and most favourable factors affecting these characteristics in order to modify and improve them.

Design/methodology/approach

Grey set theory has the advantage of using fewer data to analyse many factors, and it is therefore more appropriate for system study rather than traditional statistical regression which requires massive data, normal distribution in the data and few variant factors. So, in this paper grey clustering and entropy of coefficient vector of grey evaluations are used to analyse energy consumption in buildings of the Oil Ministry in Tehran. Grey clustering in this study has been used for two purposes: First, all the variables of building relate to energy audit cluster in two main groups of indicators and the number of variables is reduced. Second, grey clustering with variable weights has been used to classify all buildings in three categories named “no standard deviation”, “low standard deviation” and “non-standard”. Entropy of coefficient vector of grey evaluations is calculated to investigate greyness of results.

Findings

According to the results of the model, “the real building load coefficient” has been selected as the most important system characteristic and “uncontrolled area of the building” has been diagnosed as the most favourable factor which has the greatest effect on energy consumption of building.

Research limitations/implications

Clustering greyness of 13 buildings is less than 0.5 and average uncertainly of clustering results is 66 per cent.

Practical implications

It shows that among the 38 buildings surveyed in terms of energy consumption, three cases are in standard group, 24 cases are in “low standard deviation” group and 11 buildings are completely non-standard.

Originality/value

In this research, a comprehensive analysis of the audit reports is proposed. This analysis helps the improvement of future audits, and assists in making energy conservation policies by studying the behaviour of system characteristic and related factors.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 4 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

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