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Article
Publication date: 28 January 2011

Si‐feng Liu, Nai‐ming Xie and Jeffrey Forrest

The purpose of this paper is to solve the problems existing in traditional grey incidence models and advance several new grey incidence models based on visual angle of similarity…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to solve the problems existing in traditional grey incidence models and advance several new grey incidence models based on visual angle of similarity and nearness.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on the definition of traditional grey incidence models, two novel grey incidence models, grey similar incidence model and grey close incidence model, are studied in this paper. The interrelations and influence can be measured by the new models with different visual angle of similarity and/or nearness, respectively. The grey similar incidence model is used mainly to measure the similitude degree of the geometric patterns of sequence curves. The grey close incidence model is used mainly to measure the nearness of the sequence curves in space. The properties of the new models are discussed. It is proved that the proposed models are simplified methods to calculate the similitude degree and the close degree of grey incidence models.

Findings

The results show that the two novel grey incidence models satisfy the grey incidence axiom properly. It is useful to calculate the similitude degree and the close degree of two different sequences, and the process of calculating is easier than with traditional grey incidence models.

Practical implications

The method exposed in the paper can be used to calculate every two sequences. The similitude degree and the close degree of two different sequences can be given out. The method can also be used to rank sequences of more than two.

Originality/value

The paper succeeds in constructing two novel grey incidence models. The properties of novel model are studied and it is undoubtedly a new development in grey systems theory.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 1 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 3 August 2012

Ke Zhang, Wei Ye and Liping Zhao

This paper attempts to extend classic absolute degree of grey incidence so that the extended model can be used for grey number sequences.

Abstract

Purpose

This paper attempts to extend classic absolute degree of grey incidence so that the extended model can be used for grey number sequences.

Design/methodology/approach

The classic absolute degree of grey incidence was extended according to basic principles of grey incidence analysis. First, modelling methods and theories of the classic grey incidences were summarized. Then, the zeroing starting operator in grey incidence was extended for grey sequence. Third, the parameters in classic incidence degree were redefined, and an absolute degree of grey incidence for grey number sequences was proposed. The degree can not only be applied to grey number sequence, but also contains the uncertain information of analysis result. Fourth, two non‐linear programming models were constructed to estimate the grey coverage interval of absolute degree of incidences. Finally, the comparison method of grey numbers was introduced for sorting the different absolute degrees of incidences.

Findings

A theoretically feasible absolute degree of grey incidence was constructed for grey sequence. A case study showed that the proposed incidence degree was an effective method for grey sequence incidence analysis.

Practical implications

The method exposed in the paper can be used for grey sequences clustering, grey decision making, multi‐attribute decision making theory, uncertain target recognition and other related fields.

Originality/value

The paper succeeded in establishing an incidence analysis model for grey sequences which was still a research gap in grey system theory.

Article
Publication date: 9 August 2022

Bingjun Li, Shuhua Zhang, Wenyan Li and Yifan Zhang

Grey modeling technique is an important element of grey system theory, and academic articles applied to agricultural science research have been published since 1985, proving the

Abstract

Purpose

Grey modeling technique is an important element of grey system theory, and academic articles applied to agricultural science research have been published since 1985, proving the broad applicability and effectiveness of the technique from different aspects and providing a new means to solve agricultural science problems. The analysis of the connotation and trend of the application of grey modeling technique in agricultural science research contributes to the enrichment of grey technique and the development of agricultural science in multiple dimensions.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on the relevant literature selected from China National Knowledge Infrastructure, the Web of Science, SpiScholar and other databases in the past 37 years (1985–2021), this paper firstly applied the bibliometric method to quantitatively visualize and systematically analyze the trend of publication, productive author, productive institution, and highly cited literature. Then, the literature is combed by the application of different grey modeling techniques in agricultural science research, and the literature research progress is systematically analyzed.

Findings

The results show that grey model technology has broad prospects in the field of agricultural science research. Agricultural universities and research institutes are the main research forces in the application of grey model technology in agricultural science research, and have certain inheritance. The application of grey model technology in agricultural science research has wide applicability and precise practicability.

Originality/value

By analyzing and summarizing the application trend of grey model technology in agricultural science research, the research hotspot, research frontier and valuable research directions of grey model technology in agricultural science research can be more clearly grasped.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 12 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 10 October 2020

Honghua Wu and Zhongfeng Qu

The paper aims to propose a clustering model for panel data. More specifically, the paper aims to construct a gray incidence model for panel data to solve the classification with…

Abstract

Purpose

The paper aims to propose a clustering model for panel data. More specifically, the paper aims to construct a gray incidence model for panel data to solve the classification with multi-factors and multi-attributes.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper opted for a clustering theory study using gray incidence theory based on dynamic weighted function. The paper presents an example to verify the rationality of the new model, which suggests that the new model can reflect the incidence degree of panel data.

Findings

The paper provides a new gray incidence model based on a dynamic weighted function that can amplify the characteristics of the sample to some extent. The properties of the new incidence model, such as normalization, symmetry and nearness, are all satisfied. The paper also shows that the new incidence model performs very well on cluster discrimination.

Originality/value

The new model in this paper has supplemented and improved the gray incidence analysis theory for panel data.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 10 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 3 April 2018

Jing Quan, Bo Zeng and LuYun Wang

Equally weighted factors and initial data from behavioural sequences are used for calculating the degree of grey incidence in Deng’s grey incidence analysis. However, certain grey…

Abstract

Purpose

Equally weighted factors and initial data from behavioural sequences are used for calculating the degree of grey incidence in Deng’s grey incidence analysis. However, certain grey information cannot be directly obtained, and the correlation coefficients of each sequence at different times are of different importance to the system. The purpose of this paper is to propose an improved grey incidence model with new grey incidence coefficients and weighted degree of grey incidence. Some grey information can be obtained more easily by using the grey transformation sequences, and the maximum entropy method is used to calculate the weights of new grey incidence coefficients, so the new degree of grey incidence was distinguished more effectively by the proposed model.

Design/methodology/approach

New grey incidence coefficients are defined using transformation sequences of the initial data. To overcome the shortcomings arising from the use of equal weights, the maximum entropy method is proposed for determining the weights of the grey incidence coefficients. The resulting model optimises the classical models and evaluates the influencing factors more effectively. The effectiveness of the model was verified by a numerical example. Furthermore, the model was used for analysing the main influencing factors of the tertiary industry in China.

Findings

The proposed model optimises the classical models, and the application example shows that urbanisation has the greatest effect on employment in the tertiary sector.

Originality/value

An improved grey incidence model is proposed that improves the grey incidence coefficients and their weights, and has better performance than the classical models. The model was successfully used in the analysis of the influence factors of the tertiary industry in China. The results indicate that the model can reflect the significance of incidence coefficients at different time points; therefore, their fluctuation can be effectively controlled.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 8 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 20 August 2018

Wenjie Dong, Sifeng Liu and Zhigeng Fang

The purpose of this paper is to study the modelling mechanisms of several grey incidence analysis models with great influence, including Deng’s grey incidence model, absolute…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to study the modelling mechanisms of several grey incidence analysis models with great influence, including Deng’s grey incidence model, absolute degree of grey incidence model, slope degree of incidence model, similitude degree of incidence model and closeness degree of incidence model; then analyse the problems to be solved in grey incidence analysis models; and clarify the applicable ranges of commonly used grey incidence models.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper comes to conclusions by means of comparable analysis. The authors compare several commonly used grey incidence analysis models, including Deng’s grey incidence model, absolute degree of grey incidence model, slope degree of incidence model, similitude degree of incidence model and closeness degree of incidence model and give several examples to clarify the reasons why quantitative analysis results of different models are not exactly the same.

Findings

As the intension of each kind of incidence model is clear and the extension is relatively obscure, grey incidence orders calculated by different incidence models are often different. When making actual decisions, incompatible results may appear. According to different characteristics of extraction, grey incidence analysis models can be divided into three types: incidence model based on closeness perspective, incidence model based on similarity perspective and incidence model based on comprehensive perspective.

Practical implications

The conclusions obtained in this paper can help people avoid some defects in the process of actual selection and choose the better incidence analysis model.

Originality/value

The conclusions can be used as a reference and basis for the selection of grey incidence analysis models, it can help to overcome the defects and shortcomings of models caused by themselves and screen out more excellent analytical models.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 8 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 18 September 2019

Tawiah Kwatekwei Quartey-Papafio, Sifeng Liu and Sara Javed

The rise in malaria deaths discloses a decline of global malaria eradication that shows that control measures and fund distribution have missed its right of way. Therefore, the

Abstract

Purpose

The rise in malaria deaths discloses a decline of global malaria eradication that shows that control measures and fund distribution have missed its right of way. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to study and evaluate the impact and control of malaria on the independent states of the Sub-Saharan African (SSA) region over the time period of 2010–2017 using Deng’s Grey incidence analysis, absolute degree GIA and second synthetic degree GIA model.

Design/methodology/approach

The purposive data sampling is a secondary data from World Developmental Indicators indicating the incidence of new malaria cases (per 1,000 population at risk) for 45 independent states in SSA. GIA models were applied on array sequences into a single relational grade for ranking to be obtained and analyzed to evaluate trend over a predicted period.

Findings

Grey relational analysis classifies West Africa as the highly infectious region of malaria incidence having Burkina Faso, Sierra Leone, Ghana, Benin, Liberia and Gambia suffering severely. Also, results indicate Southern Africa to be the least of all affected in the African belt that includes Eswatini, Namibia, Botswana, South Africa and Mozambique. But, predictions revealed that the infection rate is expected to fall in West Africa, whereas the least vulnerable countries will experience a rise in malaria incidence through to the next ten years. Therefore, this study draws the attention of all stakeholders and interest groups to adopt effective policies to fight malaria.

Originality/value

The study is a pioneer to unravel the most vulnerable countries in the SSA region as far as the incidence of new malaria cases is a concern through the use of second synthetic GIA model. The outcome of the study is substantial to direct research funds to control and eliminate malaria.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 9 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 February 2016

Sifeng Liu, Yingjie Yang, Naiming Xie and Jeffrey Forrest

The purpose of this paper is to summarize the progress in grey system research during 2000-2015, so as to present some important new concepts, models, methods and a new framework…

1808

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to summarize the progress in grey system research during 2000-2015, so as to present some important new concepts, models, methods and a new framework of grey system theory.

Design/methodology/approach

The new thinking, new models and new methods of grey system theory and their applications are presented in this paper. It includes algorithm rules of grey numbers based on the “kernel” and the degree of greyness of grey numbers, the concept of general grey numbers, the synthesis axiom of degree of greyness of grey numbers and their operations; the general form of buffer operators of grey sequence operators; the four basic models of grey model GM(1,1), such as even GM, original difference GM, even difference GM, discrete GM and the suitable sequence type of each basic model, and suitable range of most used grey forecasting models; the similarity degree of grey incidences, the closeness degree of grey incidences and the three-dimensional absolute degree of grey incidence of grey incidence analysis models; the grey cluster model based on center-point and end-point mixed triangular whitenization functions; the multi-attribute intelligent grey target decision model, the two stages decision model with grey synthetic measure of grey decision models; grey game models, grey input-output models of grey combined models; and the problems of robust stability for grey stochastic time-delay systems of neutral type, distributed-delay type and neutral distributed-delay type of grey control, etc. And the new framework of grey system theory is given as well.

Findings

The problems which remain for further studying are discussed at the end of each section. The reader could know the general picture of research and developing trend of grey system theory from this paper.

Practical implications

A lot of successful practical applications of the new models to solve various problems have been found in many different areas of natural science, social science and engineering, including spaceflight, civil aviation, information, metallurgy, machinery, petroleum, chemical industry, electrical power, electronics, light industries, energy resources, transportation, medicine, health, agriculture, forestry, geography, hydrology, seismology, meteorology, environment protection, architecture, behavioral science, management science, law, education, military science, etc. These practical applications have brought forward definite and noticeable social and economic benefits. It demonstrates a wide range of applicability of grey system theory, especially in the situation where the available information is incomplete and the collected data are inaccurate.

Originality/value

The reader is given a general picture of grey systems theory as a new model system and a new framework for studying problems where partial information is known; especially for uncertain systems with few data points and poor information. The problems remaining for further studying are identified at the end of each section.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 6 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 August 2016

Qian Li

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate and rank the influence of internet public opinion of China’s Government work in 2015 by weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to evaluate and rank the influence of internet public opinion of China’s Government work in 2015 by weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS.

Design/methodology/approach

This disaggregation method includes four main steps, determine the vector of weights for the factors by analytic hierarchy process, calculate the matrix of consistent effect measure, determine the weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS, rank and evaluate the events.

Findings

We get the ranking of internet public opinion of China’s Government work in 2015 by weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS. The result can be used for evaluating and ranking the influence of internet public opinion in China. The positive weighted absolute degree of grey incidence, the negative weighted absolute degree of grey incidence and the weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS have the same ranking results. The same ranking results show that the method of weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS has good consistency.

Practical implications

The weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS can be easily used for other evaluation.

Originality/value

The weighted absolute degree of grey incidence with TOPSIS is proposed and first used for evaluating and ranking the influence of internet public opinion of China’s Government work.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 6 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 6 September 2018

Dang Luo, Lili Ye, Yanli Zhai, Hanyu Zhu and Qicun Qian

Hazard assessment on drought disaster is of great significance for improving drought risk management. Due to the complexity and uncertainty of the drought disaster, the index…

Abstract

Purpose

Hazard assessment on drought disaster is of great significance for improving drought risk management. Due to the complexity and uncertainty of the drought disaster, the index values have some grey multi-source heterogeneous characteristics. The purpose of this paper is to construct a grey projection incidence model (GPIM) to evaluate the hazard of the drought disaster characterised by the grey heterogeneity information.

Design/methodology/approach

First, the index system of the drought hazard risk is established based on the formation mechanism of the drought disaster. Then, the GPIM for the heterogeneous panel data is constructed to assess drought hazard of five cities in Henan Province. Subsequently, based on the assessment results, the grey clustering model is employed for the regional division.

Findings

The findings demonstrate that five cities in central Henan Province are divided into three categories, which correspond to three different risk grades, respectively. With respect to different drought risk areas, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are proposed.

Practical implications

This paper provides a practical and effective new method for the hazard assessment on drought disaster. Meanwhile, these countermeasures and suggestions can help policy makers to improve the efficiency of drought resistance work and reduce the losses caused by drought disasters in Henan Province.

Originality/value

This paper proposes a new GPIM which resolves the assessment problems of the uncertain systems with grey heterogeneous information, such as real numbers, interval grey numbers and three-parameter interval grey numbers. It not only expands the application scope of the grey incidence model, but also enriches the research of panel data.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 8 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

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