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Emerging markets are now more resilient to US tapering

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The rise in yields is stirring memories of the 2013 ‘taper tantrum’, which led to a dramatic decline in emerging market (EM) currencies and local bonds, prompting three years of…

Central Europe external risks still outweigh internal

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Investors are brushing off mounting political risks in Poland despite an erosion of democratic checks and balances under the nationalist Law and Justice (PiS) government. In…

The US Treasury market is vulnerable to stress

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INT

The US Treasuries securities market is the world's largest and most liquid financial market, and is relied on by market participants as a basis to price other risks. However, on…

Central European local investors will hold on to bonds

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

The lira’s collapse is fuelling outflows from Turkey’s local currency government debt market, as foreign investors reduce their purchases of emerging market (EM) domestic debt…

Markets are overreacting to US price and rates risks

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UNITED STATES

The continuation of the modest manufacturing downturn follows the recent report of slower third-quarter GDP growth. Despite slower growth, bond markets are challenging an attempt…

Bolivia’s economy faces challenges and opportunities

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BOLIVIA

Bolivia is currently benefitting from a substantial uptick in exports which, in turn, helps boost fiscal revenues. The government is relying on public investment to raise domestic…

Emerging market assets cushioned by growth outlook

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INTERNATIONAL

The sharp fall in global sovereign bond markets since late September is putting emerging market assets under pressure.

Hungary will be at risk from too-loose monetary policy

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Central Europe’s resilience to EM sell-off.

China supplants Fed as main risk to EMs

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INTERNATIONAL

While futures markets are assigning a 28% probability to a rate hike this month, emerging markets (EMs) are likely to remain under strain regardless of whether the Fed tightens…

Ivorian fiscal consolidation plans face multiple risks

Location:

IVORY COAST

Ivory Coast economic update.