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Spending patterns portend permanent economic changes

Location:

INT

Services spending shows little sign of recovering, exacerbating the inflationary imbalances in durable goods and energy

High food costs will strain households well into 2024

Location:

INT

The UNFAO global food price index has fallen for 17 months but food prices remain far higher than 2013-20

Widening global imbalances raise geopolitical risks

Location:

INT

The German and US external balances have worsened while China, Russia and Saudi Arabia’s surpluses have improved

US auto autarky ambition could cut world trade and GDP

Location:

INT

The EU taxes US cars at 10%, firing an auto surplus; the US taxes EU cars at 2.5%, firing a deficit and troubling Trump

China-US intellectual property tension will intensify

Location:

INT

The United States and China are at opposite ends of the intellectual property spectrum -- setting the scene for friction

High food and metals prices will outlast the conflict

Location:

INT

Russia accounts for 1.7% of world GDP but a sizeable share of supplies of fertiliser, fuels and some foods and metals

Tariffs will test not reconfigure global supply chains

Location:

UNITED STATES-CHINA

The United States and China are imposing tariffs on over 50 billion dollars of the other’s imports -- and threaten more

The semiconductor demand/supply imbalance will persist

Location:

INT

Semiconductor supply is failing to keep pace with surging demand for use in electronic devices, telecoms and automobiles