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Demography will impact Arab world employment

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Demographic trends will test the ability of governments to bring down youth unemployment rates

Acute and chronic risks threaten China’s stability

Location:

CHINA

Temporary circumstances, inexorable trends and systemic factors put China’s stability and prosperity at risk

Latin America tax evasion will strain state funds

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

VAT evasion alone amounted to some 2.4% of Latin America’s GDP in 2015 -- roughly the region’s estimated growth for 2017

Demographic change will put pressure on Europe

Location:

EUROPE

Societies are growing older, creating challenges for welfare systems and economies

Republicans face deeper divisions than Trump candidacy

Location:

UNITED STATES

Splits on foreign policy, trade, immigration and social issues wrong-foot the party and risk a pre-election rift

Religious shifts may alter Arab politics and society

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Attitude surveys in the Middle East indicate a gradual decline in religious observance, mostly driven by young people

Risks and opportunities, 2017: Part 1

Location:

INT

Geopolitical stress will be widespread as the world re-orders

Caribbean COVID-19 impacts could be deep and lasting

Location:

CARIBBEAN

The pandemic will affect the region’s economies and societies to different degrees but all look sure to suffer

Clampdowns boost appeal of secessionism in Africa

Location:

AFRICA

But actual independence is difficult to accomplish

Decline in media freedom imperils democracy

Location:

INT

Media and internet freedoms are declining in major democracies