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Elections will produce uncertain outlook in Chile

Location:

CHILE

Neither of the two coalitions that have governed since the restoration of democracy in 1990 seems likely to form the next government, marking the beginning of a new and probably…

The Fed will be very cautious about policy tightening

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Fed targets an average annual inflation rate of 2% but, under its 2020 monetary policy framework, will tolerate a moderate overshoot to make up for past low inflation. The Fed…

West Africa faces a future of recurring intense heat

Location:

WEST AFRICA

The researchers found that the heatwave would likely not have occurred if global temperatures remained at pre-industrial levels. Several factors worsened the heatwave’s impact and…

Climate change could intensify Sahel conflicts

Location:

SAHEL

It will increase rainfall variability and extreme events such as droughts and floods, as well as raising temperatures. These effects may trigger cascading risks to economic…

Parties hold key to Africa stability, reform prospects

Location:

AFRICA

Effect of political parties on reform and stability in Africa.

Putin will seek to ensure stability ahead of elections

Location:

RUSSIA

The elections prepared the electoral administrative system prior to next year’s presidential polls. They also strengthened the hand of the United Russia party, which supports…

Central banks will be slow to drop targeting prices

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Inflation targeting.

Weaker finance context would test all emerging markets

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

These markets are benefitting from the softer US dollar and improved investor perceptions of central bank credibility. However, destabilising factors loom on the horizon.

Rwanda's structure of power will sustain Kagame

Location:

RWANDA

Basis of power in Rwanda.

Favourable conditions will help global banks transform

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for the globally systemically important banks.