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1 – 10 of over 16000Amal Ben Soussia, Chahrazed Labba, Azim Roussanaly and Anne Boyer
The goal is to assess performance prediction systems (PPS) that are used to assist at-risk learners.
Abstract
Purpose
The goal is to assess performance prediction systems (PPS) that are used to assist at-risk learners.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors propose time-dependent metrics including earliness and stability. The authors investigate the relationships between the various temporal metrics and the precision metrics in order to identify the key earliness points in the prediction process. Authors propose an algorithm for computing earliness. Furthermore, the authors propose using an earliness-stability score (ESS) to investigate the relationship between the earliness of a classifier and its stability. The ESS is used to examine the trade-off between only time-dependent metrics. The aim is to compare its use to the earliness-accuracy score (EAS).
Findings
Stability and accuracy are proportional when the system's accuracy increases or decreases over time. However, when the accuracy stagnates or varies slightly, the system's stability is decreasing rather than stagnating. As a result, the use of ESS and EAS is complementary and allows for a better definition of the point of earliness in time by studying the relation-ship between earliness and accuracy on the one hand and earliness and stability on the other.
Originality/value
When evaluating the performance of PPS, the temporal dimension is an important factor that is overlooked by traditional measures current metrics are not well suited to assessing PPS’s ability to predict correctly at the earliest, as well as monitoring predictions stability and evolution over time. Thus, in this work, the authors propose time-dependent metrics, including earliness, stability and the trade-offs, with objective to assess PPS over time.
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Alexis Barrientos-Orellana, Pablo Ballesteros-Pérez, Daniel Mora-Melia, Maria Carmen González-Cruz and Mario Vanhoucke
Earned Value Management (EVM) is a project monitoring and control technique that enables the forecasting of a project's duration. Many EVM metrics and project duration forecasting…
Abstract
Purpose
Earned Value Management (EVM) is a project monitoring and control technique that enables the forecasting of a project's duration. Many EVM metrics and project duration forecasting methods have been proposed. However, very few studies have compared their accuracy and stability.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper presents an exhaustive stability and accuracy analysis of 27 deterministic EVM project duration forecasting methods. Stability is measured via Pearson's, Spearman's and Kendall's correlation coefficients while accuracy is measured by Mean Squared and Mean Absolute Percentage Errors. These parameters are determined at ten percentile intervals to track a given project's progress across 4,100 artificial project networks with varied topologies.
Findings
Findings support that stability and accuracy are inversely correlated for most forecasting methods, and also suggest that both significantly worsen as project networks become increasingly parallel. However, the AT + PD-ESmin forecasting method stands out as being the most accurate and reliable.
Practical implications
Implications of this study will allow construction project managers to resort to the simplest, most accurate and most stable EVM metrics when forecasting project duration. They will also be able to anticipate how the project topology (i.e., the network of activity predecessors) and the stage of project progress can condition their accuracy and stability.
Originality/value
Unlike previous research comparing EVM forecasting methods, this one includes all deterministic methods (classical and recent alike) and measures their performance in accordance with several parameters. Activity durations and costs are also modelled akin to those of construction projects.
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M. Rezaiee‐Pajand and J. Alamatian
This paper aims to provide a simple and accurate higher order predictor‐corrector integration which can be used in dynamic analysis and to compare it with the previous works.
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to provide a simple and accurate higher order predictor‐corrector integration which can be used in dynamic analysis and to compare it with the previous works.
Design/methodology/approach
The predictor‐corrector integration is defined by combining the higher order explicit and implicit integrations in which displacement and velocity are assumed to be functions of accelerations of several previous time steps. By studying the accuracy and stability conditions, the weighted factors and acceptable time step are determined.
Findings
Simplicity and vector operations plus accuracy and stability are the main specifications of the new predictor‐corrector method. This procedure can be used in linear and nonlinear dynamic analysis.
Research limitations/implications
In the proposed integration, time step is assumed to be constant.
Practical implications
The numerical integration is the heart of a dynamic analysis. The result's accuracy is strongly influenced by the accuracy and stability of the numerical integration.
Originality/value
This paper presents simple and accurate predictor‐corrector integration based on accelerations of several previous time steps. This may be used as a routine in any dynamic analysis software to enhance accuracy and reduce computational time.
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This paper aims to deal with the trade-off of the stability and the accuracy in learning human control strategy from demonstrations. With the stability conditions and the…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to deal with the trade-off of the stability and the accuracy in learning human control strategy from demonstrations. With the stability conditions and the estimated stability region, this paper aims to conveniently get rid of the unstable controller or controller with relatively small stability region. With this evaluation, the learning human strategy controller becomes much more robust to perturbations.
Design/methodology/approach
In this paper, the criterion to verify the stability and a method to estimate the domain of attraction are provided for the learning controllers trained with support vector machines (SVMs). Conditions are formulated based on the discrete-time system Lyapunov theory to ensure that a closed-form of the learning control system is strongly stable under perturbations (SSUP). Then a Chebychev point based approach is proposed to estimate its domain of attraction.
Findings
Some of such learning controllers have been implemented in the vertical balance control of a dynamically stable, statically unstable wheel mobile robot.
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Xiaoyu Liu, Suchuan Dong and Zhi Xie
This paper aims to present an unconditionally energy-stable scheme for approximating the convective heat transfer equation.
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to present an unconditionally energy-stable scheme for approximating the convective heat transfer equation.
Design/methodology/approach
The scheme stems from the generalized positive auxiliary variable (gPAV) idea and exploits a special treatment for the convection term. The original convection term is replaced by its linear approximation plus a correction term, which is under the control of an auxiliary variable. The scheme entails the computation of two temperature fields within each time step, and the linear algebraic system resulting from the discretization involves a coefficient matrix that is updated periodically. This auxiliary variable is given by a well-defined explicit formula that guarantees the positivity of its computed value.
Findings
Compared with the semi-implicit scheme and the gPAV-based scheme without the treatment on the convection term, the current scheme can provide an expanded accuracy range and achieve more accurate simulations at large (or fairly large) time step sizes. Extensive numerical experiments have been presented to demonstrate the accuracy and stability performance of the scheme developed herein.
Originality/value
This study shows the unconditional discrete energy stability property of the current scheme, irrespective of the time step sizes.
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Shutao Li, Xin Bao, Jingbo Liu, Fei Wang and Dong Wang
When explicit integral analysis is performed on a numerical model with viscoelastic artificial boundary elements, an instability phenomenon is likely to occur in the boundary…
Abstract
Purpose
When explicit integral analysis is performed on a numerical model with viscoelastic artificial boundary elements, an instability phenomenon is likely to occur in the boundary area, reducing the computational efficiency of the numerical calculation and limiting the use of viscoelastic artificial boundary elements in the explicit dynamic analysis of large-scale engineering sites. The main purpose of this study is to improve the stability condition of viscoelastic artificial boundary elements.
Design/methodology/approach
A stability analysis method based on local subsystems was adopted to analyze and improve the stability conditions of three-dimensional (3D) viscoelastic artificial boundary elements. Typical boundary subsystems that can represent the localized characteristics of the overall model were established, and their analytical stability conditions were derived with an analysis based on the spectral radius of the transfer matrix. Then, after analyzing the influence of each physical parameter on the analytical-stability conditions, a method for improving the stability condition of the explicit algorithm by increasing the mass density of the artificial boundary elements was proposed.
Findings
Numerical wave propagation simulations in uniform and layered half-space models show that, on the premise of ensuring the accuracy of the viscoelastic artificial boundary, the proposed method can effectively improve the numerical stability and the efficiency of the explicit dynamic calculations for the overall system.
Originality/value
The stability improvement method proposed in this study are significant for improving the applicability of viscoelastic artificial boundary elements in explicit dynamic calculations and the calculation efficiency of wave analysis at large-scale engineering sites.
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Jinglai Wu, Zhen Luo, Nong Zhang and Wei Gao
This paper aims to study the sampling methods (or design of experiments) which have a large influence on the performance of the surrogate model. To improve the adaptability of…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to study the sampling methods (or design of experiments) which have a large influence on the performance of the surrogate model. To improve the adaptability of modelling, a new sequential sampling method termed as sequential Chebyshev sampling method (SCSM) is proposed in this study.
Design/methodology/approach
The high-order polynomials are used to construct the global surrogated model, which retains the advantages of the traditional low-order polynomial models while overcoming their disadvantage in accuracy. First, the zeros of Chebyshev polynomials with the highest allowable order will be used as sampling candidates to improve the stability and accuracy of the high-order polynomial model. In the second step, some initial sampling points will be selected from the candidates by using a coordinate alternation algorithm, which keeps the initial sampling set uniformly distributed. Third, a fast sequential sampling scheme based on the space-filling principle is developed to collect more samples from the candidates, and the order of polynomial model is also updated in this procedure. The final surrogate model will be determined as the polynomial that has the largest adjusted R-square after the sequential sampling is terminated.
Findings
The SCSM has better performance in efficiency, accuracy and stability compared with several popular sequential sampling methods, e.g. LOLA-Voronoi algorithm and global Monte Carlo method from the SED toolbox, and the Halton sequence.
Originality/value
The SCSM has good performance in building the high-order surrogate model, including the high stability and accuracy, which may save a large amount of cost in solving complicated engineering design or optimisation problems.
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Wazzuha Amina and Nosheen Fatima Warraich
This study aims to explore the trustworthiness of Wikipedia information in terms of accuracy, stability, objectivity and validity among university students along with their…
Abstract
Purpose
This study aims to explore the trustworthiness of Wikipedia information in terms of accuracy, stability, objectivity and validity among university students along with their perceptions toward the quality of the information in Wikipedia.
Design/methodology/approach
This study used to use a quantitative research design based on the survey method. The questionnaire was designed with the help of literature followed by a pilot study to check its validity and reliability before data collection. A proportionate stratified sampling technique was used to collect data from students in the graduate program.
Findings
Data showed that the majority of the respondents used Wikipedia information regularly for both academic and leisure purposes. It is also noted that they usually did not edit/add content in Wikipedia entries, though they observed incomplete content in it. Findings revealed that among the four constructs of trustworthiness (accuracy, stability, validity and objectivity), respondents had certain reservations about the accuracy of Wikipedia information. They opined that content from Wikipedia is not stable and is susceptible to alternation. Nevertheless, they believed in the objectivity of Wikipedia information as the contents are verified by an editor/expert and this information is considered unbiased and impartial.
Practical implications
These findings may be helpful to fill the knowledge gap in the body of literature and to understand the accuracy.
Originality/value
The current study is the first one to analyze the trustworthiness of information in Wikipedia entries among university students in the context of a developing country.
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This paper aims to propose a semi-analytical benchmarking framework for enthalpy-based methods used in problems involving phase change with latent heat. The benchmark is based on…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to propose a semi-analytical benchmarking framework for enthalpy-based methods used in problems involving phase change with latent heat. The benchmark is based on a class of semi-analytical solutions of spatially symmetric Stefan problems in an arbitrary spatial dimension. Via a public repository this study provides a finite element numerical code based on the FEniCS computational platform, which can be used to test and compare any method of choice with the (semi-)analytical solutions. As a particular demonstration, this paper uses the benchmark to test several standard temperature-based implementations of the enthalpy method and assesses their accuracy and stability with respect to the discretization parameters.
Design/methodology/approach
The class of spatially symmetric semi-analytical self-similar solutions to the Stefan problem is found for an arbitrary spatial dimension, connecting some of the known results in a unified manner, while providing the solutions’ existence and uniqueness. For two chosen standard semi-implicit temperature-based enthalpy methods, the numerical error assessment of the implementations is carried out in the finite element formulation of the problem. This paper compares the numerical approximations to the semi-analytical solutions and analyzes the influence of discretization parameters, as well as their interdependence. This study also compares accuracy of these methods with other traditional approach based on time-explicit treatment of the effective heat capacity with and without iterative correction.
Findings
This study shows that the quantitative comparison between the semi-analytical and numerical solutions of the symmetric Stefan problems can serve as a robust tool for identifying the optimal values of discretization parameters, both in terms of accuracy and stability. Moreover, this study concludes that, from the performance point of view, both of the semi-implicit implementations studied are equivalent, for optimal choice of discretization parameters, they outperform the effective heat capacity method with iterative correction in terms of accuracy, but, by contrast, they lose stability for subcritical thickness of the mushy region.
Practical implications
The proposed benchmark provides a versatile, accessible test bed for computational methods approximating multidimensional phase change problems. The supplemented numerical code can be directly used to test any method of choice against the semi-analytical solutions.
Originality/value
While the solutions of the symmetric Stefan problems for individual spatial dimensions can be found scattered across the literature, the unifying perspective on their derivation presented here has, to the best of the authors’ knowledge, been missing. The unified formulation in a general dimension can be used for the systematic construction of well-posed, reliable and genuinely multidimensional benchmark experiments.
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Abstract
Purpose
The finite element method (FEM) is used to calculate the two-dimensional anti-plane dynamic response of structure embedded in D’Alembert viscoelastic multilayered soil on the rigid bedrock. This paper aims to research a time-domain absorbing boundary condition (ABC), which should be imposed on the truncation boundary of the finite domain to represent the dynamic interaction between the truncated infinite domain and the finite domain.
Design/methodology/approach
A high-order ABC for scalar wave propagation in the D’Alembert viscoelastic multilayered media is proposed. A new operator separation method and the mode reduction are adopted to construct the time-domain ABC.
Findings
The derivation of the ABC is accurate for the single layer but less accurate for the multilayer. To achieve high accuracy, therefore, the distance from the truncation boundary to the region of interest can be zero for the single layer but need to be about 0.5 times of the total layer height of the infinite domain for the multilayer. Both single-layered and multilayered numerical examples verify that the accuracy of the ABC is almost the same for both cases of only using the modal number excited by dynamic load and using the full modal number of infinite domain. Using the ABC with reduced modes can not only reduce the computation cost but also be more friendly to the stability. Numerical examples demonstrate the superior properties of the proposed ABC with stability, high accuracy and remarkable coupling with the FEM.
Originality/value
A high-order time-domain ABC for scalar wave propagation in the D’Alembert viscoelastic multilayered media is proposed. The proposed ABC is suitable for both linear elastic and D’Alembert viscoelastic media, and it can be coupled seamlessly with the FEM. A new operator separation method combining mode reduction is presented with better stability than the existing methods.
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