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Tight US job market will keep monetary policy tight

Location:

UNITED STATES

Despite fears of a recession, the US economy continues to add jobs and employers report difficulties attracting and retaining workers. Wage growth is decelerating fitfully…

Bond and stock trends diverge on 2024 outlook

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INTERNATIONAL

This is driving a rally in government bonds and equities. However, labour markets remain tight, fuelling wage growth and keeping services inflation above central banks’ 2…

India eyes more foreign investment in space industry

Location:

INDIA

In late August, they landed near the lunar south pole. India thereby became the fourth country to achieve a soft landing on the moon, and the first to do so in the lunar south…

Clash between markets and Fed increases risks in 2023

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Fed projections suggest that interest rates will rise by 75 basis points (bp) to 5.00-5.25% by end-2023. Bond markets expect rate cuts from mid-year, in effect betting on a sharp…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

Location:

EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

Unknowns cloud major central banks’ forward guidance

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INT

The Fed insists that subsequent moves will depend on economic developments, but its forecast implies that, although not imminent, another 25-basis-point (bp) increase will happen…

Use of low-cost space launchers could expand globally

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INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for low-cost satellite launchers.

Chile economic outlook will be challenging this year

Location:

CHILE

However, it now anticipates that the contraction will be 1.0%, down from a previous forecast of 1.5%. This is in line with recent Chilean Central Bank forecasts of a…

Erratic policies will increase Turkish economic risks

Location:

TURKEY

The falling lira coincides with signs of policy disagreements and rumours of Deputy Prime Minister Mehmet Simsek's resignation. President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and his Justice and…

Equity markets are more vulnerable than bond markets

Location:

INT

The scope for looser policy remains uncertain given persistent inflationary pressures and the strength of the US labour market, while financial conditions are easier than when the…