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Publication date: 29 February 2016

Sang Hoon Kang and Seong-Min Yoon

This paper investigates the impact of structural breaks on volatility spillovers between Asian stock markets (China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Singapore, and…

11

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of structural breaks on volatility spillovers between Asian stock markets (China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Singapore, and Taiwan) and the oil futures market. To this end, we apply the bivariate DCC-GARCH model to weekly spot indices during the period 1998-2015. The results reveal significant volatility transmission for the pairs between the Asian stock and oil futures markets. Moreover, we find a significant variability in the time-varying conditional correlations between the considered markets during both bullish and bearish markets, particularly from early 2007 to the summer of 2008. Using the modified ICSS algorithm, we find several sudden changes in these markets with a common break date centred on September 15, 2008. This date corresponds to the collapse of Lehman Brothers which is considered as our breakpoint to define the global financial crisis. Also, we analyse the optimal portfolio weights and time-varying hedge ratios based on the estimates of the multivariate DCC-GARCH model. The results emphasize the importance of overweighting optimal portfolios between Asian stock and the oil futures markets.

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Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 24 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

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Open Access
Article
Publication date: 29 February 2012

Hong-Bae Kim, Yeonjeong Lee, Sang Hoon Kang and Seong-Min Yoon

This study investigates the influence of theoretical determinants on the Korea sovereign CDS spreads from January 2007 to September 2009 based on structural credit risk model. For…

19

Abstract

This study investigates the influence of theoretical determinants on the Korea sovereign CDS spreads from January 2007 to September 2009 based on structural credit risk model. For the analysis of determinants on the sovereign CDS spread, this study adopts interest swap rate as reference interest rate, and decomposes yields curve into two components, ie, interest level and slope. Considering multivariate regression in level and difference variables, Stock returns and Interest rates have a significant effect on the CDS spreads among the theoretical determinants of structural credit risk models. CDS spreads may behave quite differently during volatile regime compared with their behavior in tranquil regime. We therefore apply Markov switching model to investigate the possibility that the influence of theoretical determinants of CDS spread has a regime dependent behavior. In all regimes Korean sovereign CDS spreads are highly sensitive to stock market returns, whereas in tranquil regime interest rates also have influence on CDS spreads. We conclude that for the efficient hedging of CDS exposure trader should adjust equity hedge ratio to the relevant regime.

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Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 20 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

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Open Access
Article
Publication date: 31 August 2011

Sang Hoon Kang and Seong-Min Yoon

This paper investigates the price discovery, volatility spillover, and asymmetric volatility spillover effects between the KOSPI 200 market and its futures contracts market. The…

73

Abstract

This paper investigates the price discovery, volatility spillover, and asymmetric volatility spillover effects between the KOSPI 200 market and its futures contracts market. The investigation was performed using the VECM-DCC-GARCH approach. In the case of returns, we found a significant unidirectional information flow from the futures market to the spot market; this implies that the KOSPI 200 futures market plays an important role on the price discovery in the spot market. In addition, we found a strong bi-directional casualty involving the volatility interaction between the spot and futures markets; this implies that market volatility originating in the spot market will influence the volatility of the futures market and vice versa. We also found strong asymmetric volatility spillover effects between the two markets.

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Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 19 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

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