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Article
Publication date: 8 February 2021

Yuanzhuo Zhu, Zhihua Zhang and M. James C. Crabbe

Climatic extreme events are predicted to occur more frequently and intensely and will significantly threat the living of residents in arid and semi-arid regions. Therefore, this…

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Abstract

Purpose

Climatic extreme events are predicted to occur more frequently and intensely and will significantly threat the living of residents in arid and semi-arid regions. Therefore, this study aims to assess climatic extremes’ response to the emerging climate change mitigation strategy using a marine cloud brightening (MCB) scheme.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 2-Earth System model simulations of a MCB scheme, this study used six climatic extreme indices [i.e. the hottest days (TXx), the coolest nights (TNn), the warm spell duration (WSDI), the cold spell duration (CSDI), the consecutive dry days (CDD) and wettest consecutive five days (RX5day)] to analyze spatiotemporal evolution of climate extreme events in the arid Sahara-Sahel-Arabian Peninsula Zone with and without MCB implementation.

Findings

Compared with a Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 scenario, from 2030 to 2059, implementation of MCB is predicted to decrease the mean annual TXx and TNn indices by 0.4–1.7 and 0.3–2.1°C, respectively, for most of the Sahara-Sahel-Arabian Peninsula zone. It would also shorten the mean annual WSDI index by 118–183 days and the mean annual CSDI index by only 1–3 days, especially in the southern Sahara-Sahel-Arabian Peninsula zone. In terms of extreme precipitation, MCB could also decrease the mean annual CDD index by 5–25 days in the whole Sahara and Sahel belt and increase the mean annual RX5day index by approximately 10 mm in the east part of the Sahel belt during 2030–2059.

Originality/value

The results provide the first insights into the impacts of MCB on extreme climate in the arid Sahara-Sahel-Arabian Peninsula zone.

Details

International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, vol. 13 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1756-8692

Keywords

Expert briefing
Publication date: 21 August 2018

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Publication date: 25 February 2019

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Although France officially highlights the multilateral, multidimensional aspects of its operations in the Sahel, in practice the emphasis is on 'kinetic' operations and body…

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Publication date: 16 January 2020

The event, held in the French town of Pau, highlighted the six leaders’ alarm over jihadist violence in the Sahel, particularly recent large-scale attacks by the Islamic State in…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 9 April 2021

There were suggestions in February that France might reduce the size of its military commitment in the run-up to a Sahel summit in the Chadian capital N’Djamena. However, at the…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB260716

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Topical
Expert briefing
Publication date: 29 January 2020

Smuggling in the Sahel.

Expert briefing
Publication date: 1 March 2017

The militancy phenomenon.

Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 December 2020

The conference raised approximately USD1bn for 2020, and USD725mn for 2021. This met the organisers’ target for the conference itself, but fell short of the USD2.4bn the UN says…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 January 2023

Tebboune argues that Mali's money would be better spent on economic development and initiatives to integrate northern Malians better into state institutions. Algeria is concerned…

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB275006

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Topical
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