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1 – 10 of 400Shun-Peng Zhu, Xiaopeng Niu, Behrooz Keshtegar, Changqi Luo and Mansour Bagheri
The multisource uncertainties, including material dispersion, load fluctuation and geometrical tolerance, have crucial effects on fatigue performance of turbine bladed disks. In…
Abstract
Purpose
The multisource uncertainties, including material dispersion, load fluctuation and geometrical tolerance, have crucial effects on fatigue performance of turbine bladed disks. In view of the aim of this paper, it is essential to develop an advanced approach to efficiently quantify their influences and evaluate the fatigue life of turbine bladed disks.
Design/methodology/approach
In this study, a novel combined machine learning strategy is performed to fatigue assessment of turbine bladed disks. Proposed model consists of two modeling phases in terms of response surface method (RSM) and support vector regression (SVR), namely RSM-SVR. Two different input sets obtained from basic variables were used as the inputs of RSM, then the predicted results by RSM in first phase is used as inputs of SVR model by using a group data-handling strategy. By this way, the nonlinear flexibility of SVR inputs is improved and RSM-SVR model presents the high-tendency and efficiency characteristics.
Findings
The accuracy and tendency of the RSM-SVR model, applied to the fatigue life estimation of turbine bladed disks, are validated. The results indicate that the proposed model is capable of accurately simulating the nonlinear response of turbine bladed disks under multisource uncertainties, and SVR-RSM model provides an accurate prediction strategy compared to RSM and SVR for fatigue analysis of complex structures.
Originality/value
The results indicate that the proposed model is capable of accurately simulate the nonlinear response of turbine bladed disks under multisource uncertainties, and SVR-RSM model provides an accurate prediction compared to RSM and SVRE for fatigue analysis of turbine bladed disk.
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Weiqing Wang, Zengbin Zhang, Liukai Wang, Xiaobo Zhang and Zhenyu Zhang
The purpose of this study is to forecast the development performance of important economies in a smart city using mixed-frequency data.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this study is to forecast the development performance of important economies in a smart city using mixed-frequency data.
Design/methodology/approach
This study introduces reverse unrestricted mixed-data sampling (RUMIDAS) to support vector regression (SVR) to develop a novel RUMIDAS-SVR model. The RUMIDAS-SVR model was estimated using a quadratic programming problem. The authors then use the novel RUMIDAS-SVR model to forecast the development performance of all high-tech listed companies, an important sector of the economy reflecting the potential and dynamism of urban economic development in Shanghai using the mixed-frequency consumer price index (CPI) producer price index (PPI), and consumer confidence index (CCI) as predictors.
Findings
The empirical results show that the established RUMIDAS-SVR is superior to the competing models with regard to mean absolute error (MAE) and root-mean-squared error (RMSE) and multi-source macroeconomic predictors contribute to the development performance forecast of important economies.
Practical implications
Smart city policy makers should create a favourable macroeconomic environment, such as controlling inflation or stabilising prices for companies within the city, and companies within the important city economic sectors should take initiative to shoulder their responsibility to support the construction of the smart city.
Originality/value
This study contributes to smart city monitoring by proposing and developing a new model, RUMIDAS-SVR, to help the construction of smart cities. It also empirically provides strategic insights for smart city stakeholders.
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Given the effects of natural and social factors, data on both the supply and demand sides of electricity will produce obvious seasonal fluctuations. The purpose of this article is…
Abstract
Purpose
Given the effects of natural and social factors, data on both the supply and demand sides of electricity will produce obvious seasonal fluctuations. The purpose of this article is to propose a new dynamic seasonal grey model based on PSO-SVR to forecast the production and consumption of electric energy.
Design/methodology/approach
In the model design, firstly, the parameters of the SVR are initially optimized by the PSO algorithm for the estimation of the dynamic seasonal operator. Then, the seasonal fluctuations in the electricity demand data are eliminated using the dynamic seasonal operator. After that, the time series after eliminating of the seasonal fluctuations are used as the training set of the DSGM(1, 1) model, and the corresponding fitted, and predicted values are calculated. Finally, the seasonal reduction is performed to obtain the final prediction results.
Findings
This study found that the electricity supply and demand data have obvious seasonal and nonlinear characteristics. The dynamic seasonal grey model based on PSO-SVR performs significantly better than the comparative model for hourly and monthly data as well as for different time durations, indicating that the model is more accurate and robust in seasonal electricity forecasting.
Originality/value
Considering the seasonal and nonlinear fluctuation characteristics of electricity data. In this paper, a dynamic seasonal grey model based on PSO-SVR is established to predict the consumption and production of electric energy.
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Zhiyuan Huang, Haobo Qiu, Ming Zhao, Xiwen Cai and Liang Gao
Popular regression methodologies are inapplicable to obtain accurate metamodels for high dimensional practical problems since the computational time increases exponentially as the…
Abstract
Purpose
Popular regression methodologies are inapplicable to obtain accurate metamodels for high dimensional practical problems since the computational time increases exponentially as the number of dimensions rises. The purpose of this paper is to use support vector regression with high dimensional model representation (SVR-HDMR) model to obtain accurate metamodels for high dimensional problems with a few sampling points.
Design/methodology/approach
High-dimensional model representation (HDMR) is a general set of quantitative model assessment and analysis tools for improving the efficiency of deducing high dimensional input-output system behavior. Support vector regression (SVR) method can approximate the underlying functions with a small subset of sample points. Dividing Rectangles (DIRECT) algorithm is a deterministic sampling method.
Findings
This paper proposes a new form of HDMR by integrating the SVR, termed as SVR-HDMR. And an intelligent sampling strategy, namely, DIRECT method, is adopted to improve the efficiency of SVR-HDMR.
Originality/value
Compared to other metamodeling techniques, the accuracy and efficiency of SVR-HDMR were significantly improved. The SVR-HDMR helped engineers understand the essence of underlying problems visually.
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Yanmei Huang, Changrui Deng, Xiaoyuan Zhang and Yukun Bao
Despite the widespread use of univariate empirical mode decomposition (EMD) in financial market forecasting, the application of multivariate empirical mode decomposition (MEMD…
Abstract
Purpose
Despite the widespread use of univariate empirical mode decomposition (EMD) in financial market forecasting, the application of multivariate empirical mode decomposition (MEMD) has not been fully investigated. The purpose of this study is to forecast the stock price index more accurately, relying on the capability of MEMD in modeling the dependency between relevant variables.
Design/methodology/approach
Quantitative and comprehensive assessments were carried out to compare the performance of some selected models. Data for the assessments were collected from three major stock exchanges, namely, the standard and poor 500 index from the USA, the Hang Seng index from Hong Kong and the Shanghai Stock Exchange composite index from China. MEMD-based support vector regression (SVR) was used as the modeling framework, where MEMD was first introduced to simultaneously decompose the relevant covariates, including the opening price, the highest price, the lowest price, the closing price and the trading volume of a stock price index. Then, SVR was used to set up forecasting models for each component decomposed and another SVR model was used to generate the final forecast based on the forecasts of each component. This paper named this the MEMD-SVR-SVR model.
Findings
The results show that the MEMD-based modeling framework outperforms other selected competing models. As per the models using MEMD, the MEMD-SVR-SVR model excels in terms of prediction accuracy across the various data sets.
Originality/value
This research extends the literature of EMD-based univariate models by considering the scenario of multiple variables for improving forecasting accuracy and simplifying computability, which contributes to the analytics pool for the financial analysis community.
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Dharyll Prince Mariscal Abellana, Donna Marie Canizares Rivero, Ma. Elena Aparente and Aries Rivero
This paper aims to propose a hybrid-forecasting model for long-term tourism demand forecasting. As such, it attempts to model the tourism demand in the Philippines, which is a…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to propose a hybrid-forecasting model for long-term tourism demand forecasting. As such, it attempts to model the tourism demand in the Philippines, which is a relatively underrepresented area in the literature, despite its tourism sector’s growing economic progress.
Design/methodology/approach
A hybrid support vector regression (SVR) – seasonal autoregressive integrated moving averages (SARIMA) model is proposed to model the seasonal, linear and nonlinear components of the tourism demand in a destination country. The paper further proposes the use of multiple criteria decision-making (MCDM) approaches in selecting the best forecasting model among a set of considered models. As such, a preference ranking organization method for enrichment of evaluations (PROMETHEE) II is used to rank the considered forecasting models.
Findings
The proposed hybrid SVR-SARIMA model is the best performing model among a set of considered models in this paper using performance criteria that evaluate the errors of magnitude, directionality and trend change, of a forecasting model. Moreover, the use of the MCDM approach is found to be a relevant and prospective approach in selecting the best forecasting model among a set of models.
Originality/value
The novelty of this paper lies in several aspects. First, this paper pioneers the demonstration of the SVR-SARIMA model’s capability in forecasting long-term tourism demand. Second, this paper is the first to have proposed and demonstrated the use of an MCDM approach for performing model selection in forecasting. Finally, this paper is one of the very few papers to provide lenses on the current status of Philippine tourism demand.
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The purpose is to analyze and discuss the sustainable development (SD) and financing risk assessment (FRA) of resource-based industrial clusters under the Internet of Things (IoT…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose is to analyze and discuss the sustainable development (SD) and financing risk assessment (FRA) of resource-based industrial clusters under the Internet of Things (IoT) economy and promote the application of Machine Learning methods and intelligent optimization algorithms in FRA.
Design/methodology/approach
This study used the Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm that is analyzed together with the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and Ant Colony Optimization (ACO) algorithm. First, Yulin City in Shaanxi Province is selected for case analysis. Then, resource-based industrial clusters are studied, and an SD early-warning model is implemented. Then, the financing Risk Assessment Index System is established from the perspective of construction-operation-transfer. Finally, the risk assessment results of Support Vector Regression (SVR) and ACO-based SVR (ACO-SVR) are analyzed.
Findings
The results show that the overall sustainability of resource-based industrial clusters and IoT industrial clusters is good in the Yulin City of Shaanxi Province, and the early warning model of GA-based SVR (GA-SVR) has been achieved good results. Yulin City shows an excellent SD momentum in the resource-based industrial cluster, but there are still some risks. Therefore, it is necessary to promote the industrial structure of SD and improve the stability of the resource-based industrial cluster for Yulin City.
Originality/value
The results can provide a direction for the research on the early warning and evaluation of the SD-oriented resource-based industrial clusters and the IoT industrial clusters, promoting the application of SVM technology in the engineering field.
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Julie Arendt and Stephanie J. Graves
As virtual reference and online discovery tools evolve, so do interactions with patrons. This study aims to describe how synchronous virtual reference transactions changed over a…
Abstract
Purpose
As virtual reference and online discovery tools evolve, so do interactions with patrons. This study aims to describe how synchronous virtual reference transactions changed over a six‐year period at a university library.
Design/methodology/approach
Transcripts from October and February from October 2004 to February 2010 were coded for question type, interlibrary loan discussions, and referrals. Subcategories for holding types and referrals were also recorded.
Findings
The number and types of questions changed with the virtual reference platform used, both increasing and decreasing. The number of questions more than doubled from the beginning to the end of the six‐year study period. The number of holdings questions at the end of the study period was six times higher than the number at the beginning. Patterns relating to interlibrary loan discussions and referrals were noted.
Research limitations/implications
The study examined transcripts from one university library. Findings cannot be generalized but provide examples that may be similar in other libraries.
Practical implications
The number and type of online reference questions that a library receives can change dramatically in a short time. Libraries should monitor question transactions, especially after software changes. Libraries also should consider how the placement of chat widgets changes the quantity and nature of questions and train staff appropriately.
Originality/value
This study examines transcripts across a longer time span than previous studies. It is unique in its examination of virtual reference widgets embedded in proprietary databases and link resolvers.
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Zhen Yang, Kangning Song, Xingsheng Gu, Zhi Wang and Xiaoyi Liang
Nitrogen oxides (NOx) have been considered as primarily responsible for many serious environmental problems. Removing NO is the key task to remove NOx hazards. To clarify, NO…
Abstract
Purpose
Nitrogen oxides (NOx) have been considered as primarily responsible for many serious environmental problems. Removing NO is the key task to remove NOx hazards. To clarify, NO removal process for pitch-based spherical-activated carbons (PSACs), an online prediction and optimization technique in real-time based on support vector machine algorithm in regression (support vector regression [SVR]) is discussed. The purpose of this paper is to develop a predictor and optimizer system on selective catalytic reduction of NO (SCRN) using experimental data and data-driven SVR intelligence methods.
Design/methodology/approach
Predictor and optimizer using developed SVR have been proposed. To modify the training efficiency of SVR, the authors especially customize batch normalization and k-fold cross-validation techniques according to the unique characteristics of PSACs model.
Findings
The results present that SVR provides a property regression model since it can linkage linear and non-linear process and property relationships in few experimental data sets. Also, the integrated normalization and k-fold cross-validation show a satisfying improvement and results for SVR optimization. The predicted results of predictor and optimizer in single and double factor systems are in excellent agreement with the experimental data.
Originality/value
SCRN-PO for predicting and optimization SCRN problems is developed by data-driven methods. The outperformed SCRN-PO system is used to predict multiple-factors property parameters and obtain optimum technological parameters in real-time. Also, experiment duration is greatly shortened.
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Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service.