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Sanctions retaliation rules add to China’s deterrence

Location:

CHINA

Crucially, they cover the China subsidiaries of multinational companies. They have taken effect immediately, but their application requires the identification of specific…

Russia wants to avoid worse ties after US sanctions

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RUSSIA

Russia's demand that Washington scale down its diplomatic mission staffing is dramatic in tone yet limited in effect. Despite the large number of posts to be cut, this retaliation…

Israel-Iran escalation is possible before end-2020

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ISRAEL/IRAN

The killing is widely attributed to Israel's intelligence agency, Mossad. Amir-Abdollahian also suggested that Israel could not have been acting alone, pointing the finger at…

US Xinjiang sanctions would prompt Chinese retaliation

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CHINA

'Re-education' camps in the Xinjiang region.

Russia threat exposes Europe’s infrastructure risks

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EU

Critical infrastructure is an attractive target, given the difficulty of attributing such attacks and the lack of immediate fatalities, which reduces the likelihood of escalation…

Israel will carefully calibrate its Iran retaliation

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ISRAEL

The assault caused almost no damage after a combined air defence including the United States and other allies intercepted nearly all the projectiles. Nonetheless, it was Iran’s…

Ships’ safety off Yemen will depend on US-UK air power

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INTERNATIONAL

A US-led coalition has struck targets in Yemen in response to uncrewed aerial vehicle (UAV) and missile attacks on ships in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden, targeting both commercial…

North Korea may goad South Korea into limited conflict

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NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

Pyongyang claims to have tested a new nuclear-capable underwater drone -- Seoul is sceptical -- and North Korea’s foreign minister has visited Moscow. South Korean President Yoon…

Kurds will try to keep Iraq out of the Gaza conflict

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IRAQ

The Gaza conflict has led to a resurgence of attacks by Iran-backed armed groups on US forces, breaking the earlier unofficial truce. Some of those attacks have targeted bases in…

The EU risks international retaliation over CBAM

Location:

EU

The scheme will require non-EU producers to pay a fee on the iron and steel, cement, fertilisers, aluminium and electricity they export to the EU from 2026. This will aim to…