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Article
Publication date: 11 October 2019

Wei Qin, Huichun Lv, Chengliang Liu, Datta Nirmalya and Peyman Jahanshahi

With the promotion of lithium-ion battery, it is more and more important to ensure the safety usage of the battery. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the battery operation…

Abstract

Purpose

With the promotion of lithium-ion battery, it is more and more important to ensure the safety usage of the battery. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the battery operation data and estimate the remaining life of the battery, and provide effective information to the user to avoid the risk of battery accidents.

Design/methodology/approach

The particle filter (PF) algorithm is taken as the core, and the double-exponential model is used as the state equation and the artificial neural network is used as the observation equation. After the importance resampling process, the battery degradation curve is obtained after getting the posterior parameter, and then the system could estimate remaining useful life (RUL).

Findings

Experiments were carried out by using the public data set. The results show that the Bayesian-based posterior estimation model has a good predictive effect and fits the degradation curve of the battery well, and the prediction accuracy will increase gradually as the cycle increases.

Originality/value

This paper combines the advantages of the data-driven method and PF algorithm. The proposed method has good prediction accuracy and has an uncertain expression on the RUL of the battery. Besides, the method proposed is relatively easy to implement in the battery management system, which has high practical value and can effectively avoid battery using risk for driver safety.

Details

Industrial Management & Data Systems, vol. 120 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0263-5577

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 3 November 2022

Vinod Nistane

Rolling element bearings (REBs) are commonly used in rotating machinery such as pumps, motors, fans and other machineries. The REBs deteriorate over life cycle time. To know the…

Abstract

Purpose

Rolling element bearings (REBs) are commonly used in rotating machinery such as pumps, motors, fans and other machineries. The REBs deteriorate over life cycle time. To know the amount of deteriorate at any time, this paper aims to present a prognostics approach based on integrating optimize health indicator (OHI) and machine learning algorithm.

Design/methodology/approach

Proposed optimum prediction model would be used to evaluate the remaining useful life (RUL) of REBs. Initially, signal raw data are preprocessing through mother wavelet transform; after that, the primary fault features are extracted. Further, these features process to elevate the clarity of features using the random forest algorithm. Based on variable importance of features, the best representation of fault features is selected. Optimize the selected feature by adjusting weight vector using optimization techniques such as genetic algorithm (GA), sequential quadratic optimization (SQO) and multiobjective optimization (MOO). New OHIs are determined and apply to train the network. Finally, optimum predictive models are developed by integrating OHI and artificial neural network (ANN), K-mean clustering (KMC) (i.e. OHI–GA–ANN, OHI–SQO–ANN, OHI–MOO–ANN, OHI–GA–KMC, OHI–SQO–KMC and OHI–MOO–KMC).

Findings

Optimum prediction models performance are recorded and compared with the actual value. Finally, based on error term values best optimum prediction model is proposed for evaluation of RUL of REBs.

Originality/value

Proposed OHI–GA–KMC model is compared in terms of error values with previously published work. RUL predicted by OHI–GA–KMC model is smaller, giving the advantage of this method.

Article
Publication date: 16 August 2023

Fanshu Zhao, Jin Cui, Mei Yuan and Juanru Zhao

The purpose of this paper is to present a weakly supervised learning method to perform health evaluation and predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to present a weakly supervised learning method to perform health evaluation and predict the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on the principle that bearing health degrades with the increase of service time, a weak label qualitative pairing comparison dataset for bearing health is extracted from the original time series monitoring data of bearing. A bearing health indicator (HI) quantitative evaluation model is obtained by training the delicately designed neural network structure with bearing qualitative comparison data between different health statuses. The remaining useful life is then predicted using the bearing health evaluation model and the degradation tolerance threshold. To validate the feasibility, efficiency and superiority of the proposed method, comparison experiments are designed and carried out on a widely used bearing dataset.

Findings

The method achieves the transformation of bearing health from qualitative comparison to quantitative evaluation via a learning algorithm, which is promising in industrial equipment health evaluation and prediction.

Originality/value

The method achieves the transformation of bearing health from qualitative comparison to quantitative evaluation via a learning algorithm, which is promising in industrial equipment health evaluation and prediction.

Details

Engineering Computations, vol. 40 no. 7/8
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0264-4401

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 16 October 2020

Xiaoyu Yang, Zhigeng Fang, Xiaochuan Li, Yingjie Yang and David Mba

Online health monitoring of large complex equipment has become a trend in the field of equipment diagnostics and prognostics due to the rapid development of sensing and computing…

Abstract

Purpose

Online health monitoring of large complex equipment has become a trend in the field of equipment diagnostics and prognostics due to the rapid development of sensing and computing technologies. The purpose of this paper is to construct a more accurate and stable grey model based on similar information fusion to predict the real-time remaining useful life (RUL) of aircraft engines.

Design/methodology/approach

First, a referential database is created by applying multiple linear regressions on historical samples. Then similarity matching is conducted between the monitored engine and historical samples. After that, an information fusion grey model is applied to predict the future degradation trajectory of the monitored engine considering the latest trend of monitored sensory data and long-term trends of several similar referential samples, and the real-time RUL is obtained correspondingly.

Findings

The results of comparative analysis reveal that the proposed model, which is called similarity-based information fusion grey model (SIFGM), could provide better RUL prediction from the early degradation stage. Furthermore, SIFGM is still able to predict system failures relatively accurately when only partial information of the referential samples is available, making the method a viable choice when the historical whole life cycle data are scarce.

Research limitations/implications

The prediction of SIFGM method is based on a single monotonically changing health indicator (HI) synthesized from monitoring sensory signals, which is assumed to be highly relevant to the degradation processes of the engine.

Practical implications

The SIFGM can be used to predict the degradation trajectories and RULs of those online condition monitoring systems with similar irreversible degradation behaviors before failure occurs, such as aircraft engines and centrifugal pumps.

Originality/value

This paper introduces the similarity information into traditional GM(1,1) model to make it more suitable for long-term RUL prediction and also provide a solution of similarity-based RUL prediction with limited historical whole life cycle data.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 11 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 March 2021

Jie Lin and Minghua Wei

With the rapid development and stable operated application of lithium-ion batteries used in uninterruptible power supply (UPS), the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) for…

Abstract

Purpose

With the rapid development and stable operated application of lithium-ion batteries used in uninterruptible power supply (UPS), the prediction of remaining useful life (RUL) for lithium-ion battery played an important role. More and more researchers paid more attentions on the reliability and safety for lithium-ion batteries based on prediction of RUL. The purpose of this paper is to predict the life of lithium-ion battery based on auto regression and particle filter method.

Design/methodology/approach

In this paper, a simple and effective RUL prediction method based on the combination method of auto-regression (AR) time-series model and particle filter (PF) was proposed for lithium-ion battery. The proposed method deformed the double-exponential empirical degradation model and reduced the number of parameters for such model to improve the efficiency of training. By using the PF algorithm to track the process of lithium-ion battery capacity decline and modified observations of the state space equations, the proposed PF + AR model fully considered the declined process of batteries to meet more accurate prediction of RUL.

Findings

Experiments on CALCE dataset have fully compared the conventional PF algorithm and the AR + PF algorithm both on original exponential empirical degradation model and the deformed double-exponential one. Experimental results have shown that the proposed PF + AR method improved the prediction accuracy, decreases the error rate and reduces the uncertainty ranges of RUL, which was more suitable for the deformed double-exponential empirical degradation model.

Originality/value

In the running of UPS device based on lithium-ion battery, the proposed AR + PF combination algorithm will quickly, accurately and robustly predict the RUL of lithium-ion batteries, which had a strong application value in the stable operation of laboratory and other application scenarios.

Details

International Journal of Intelligent Computing and Cybernetics, vol. 14 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1756-378X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 10 February 2023

Yong Liu, Jiang Zhang, Junjie Cui, Changsong Zheng, Yajun Liu and Jian Shen

In armored vehicles integrated transmissions, residual life prediction based on oil spectrum data is crucial for condition monitoring and reliability assessment. This paper aims…

Abstract

Purpose

In armored vehicles integrated transmissions, residual life prediction based on oil spectrum data is crucial for condition monitoring and reliability assessment. This paper aims to use the advantages of real-time and accurate prediction of binary Wiener process, the residual life prediction of clutch is studied.

Design/methodology/approach

First, combined with the wet clutch life test, the indicator elements Cu and Pb and the failure threshold of the residual life prediction of the clutch are extracted through the oil replacement correction of the spectral data of the whole life cycle; second, the correlation characteristics of indicating elements are analyzed by MATLAB Copula function, then the correlation function of residual life will be derived; third, according to the inverse Gaussian principle, the performance degradation mathematical models of the unary and binary Wiener processes of the above two indicator elements are established; finally, the maximum likelihood estimation method is used to estimate the parameters, and the monadic and binary performance degradation mathematical models are used to predict the residual life of the tested clutch.

Findings

By comparing the prediction results with the test results, with the passage of time, 81.25% of the predicted value error of the residual life prediction method based on the binary Wiener process is controlled within 20%, while 56.25% of the predicted value error of the residual life prediction method based on the unitary Wiener process is controlled within 20%. At the same time, the prediction accuracy of the binary prediction model is 2%–16.7% higher than that of the unitary prediction model.

Originality/value

This paper studies the residual life prediction theory of wet clutch, which can develop the theory and method of comprehensive transmission health monitoring, and provide theoretical and technical support for the construction of a reliable health management system for high-speed tracked vehicles.

Details

Industrial Lubrication and Tribology, vol. 75 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0036-8792

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 9 September 2021

Yue Yuan, Kuanhai Deng, Jiangjiang Zhang, Wenguang Zeng, Xiangwei Kong and Yuanhua Lin

This study aims to provide a theoretical basis to evaluate the suitability and integrity of corrosion pipes.

170

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to provide a theoretical basis to evaluate the suitability and integrity of corrosion pipes.

Design/methodology/approach

The three-dimensional models of the P110S oil pipe with local corrosion damage, general corrosion damage, pitting corrosion damage are established based on the API 579 standard using the nonlinear finite element analysis method for parametric research.

Findings

The reliability of the model is verified based on the experimental data from the existing literature. The effects of the oil pipe’s size and the corrosion damage’s type on the residual internal pressure strength are simulated and obtained. What’s more, a basic method for predicting the remaining life of corrosion damaged pipes is proposed.

Originality/value

The authors evaluated the residual strength of various corroded tubing, compared the tubing with different corrosion types and proposed a basic method for predicting the remaining life of the corroded tubing from the corrosion depth.

Article
Publication date: 13 May 2022

Qiang Zhang, Zijian Ye, Siyu Shao, Tianlin Niu and Yuwei Zhao

The current studies on remaining useful life (RUL) prediction mainly rely on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and long short-term memories (LSTMs) and do not take full…

Abstract

Purpose

The current studies on remaining useful life (RUL) prediction mainly rely on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and long short-term memories (LSTMs) and do not take full advantage of the attention mechanism, resulting in lack of prediction accuracy. To further improve the performance of the above models, this study aims to propose a novel end-to-end RUL prediction framework, called convolutional recurrent attention network (CRAN) to achieve high accuracy.

Design/methodology/approach

The proposed CRAN is a CNN-LSTM-based model that effectively combines the powerful feature extraction ability of CNN and sequential processing capability of LSTM. The channel attention mechanism, spatial attention mechanism and LSTM attention mechanism are incorporated in CRAN, assigning different attention coefficients to CNN and LSTM. First, features of the bearing vibration data are extracted from both time and frequency domain. Next, the training and testing set are constructed. Then, the CRAN is trained offline using the training set. Finally, online RUL estimation is performed by applying data from the testing set to the trained CRAN.

Findings

CNN-LSTM-based models have higher RUL prediction accuracy than CNN-based and LSTM-based models. Using a combination of max pooling and average pooling can reduce the loss of feature information, and in addition, the structure of the serial attention mechanism is superior to the parallel attention structure. Comparing the proposed CRAN with six different state-of-the-art methods, for the predicted results of two testing bearings, the proposed CRAN has an average reduction in the root mean square error of 57.07/80.25%, an average reduction in the mean absolute error of 62.27/85.87% and an average improvement in score of 12.65/6.57%.

Originality/value

This article provides a novel end-to-end rolling bearing RUL prediction framework, which can provide a reference for the formulation of bearing maintenance programs in the industry.

Details

Assembly Automation, vol. 42 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0144-5154

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 6 July 2023

Mengda Xing, Weilong Ding, Tianpu Zhang and Han Li

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction for power transformer maintenance is a challenging task on heterogeneous data. Monitoring data of power transformers are not always…

Abstract

Purpose

Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction for power transformer maintenance is a challenging task on heterogeneous data. Monitoring data of power transformers are not always compatible or in an identical format; therefore, RUL predictions traditionally work separately on different data. Moreover, chemical molecules used in RUL prediction can be transformed into each other under different conditions, thus forming a complete graph with uncertain adjacency matrix (UAM). This study aims to find and evaluate a new model to achieve better results of RUL prediction than the other baselines.

Design/methodology/approach

In this work, the authors propose a spatiotemporal complete graph convolutional network (STCGCN) for RUL prediction in two branches, in which daily and hourly features are extracted from correlated heterogeneous data separately. This study provides a thorough evaluation of the proposed model on real-world data and compare the proposed model with state-of-the-art RUL prediction models.

Findings

By using the multibranch structure and EucCos similarity aggregation, STCGCN was able to capture the dynamic spatiotemporal patterns on a variety of heterogeneous data and obtain more accurate prediction results, compared to other time series prediction methods.

Originality/value

In this work, the authors propose a novel multibranch structure to compute feature maps from two heterogeneous data sources efficiently and a novel similarity aggregation method to compute the spatial UAM within the complete graph. Compared with traditional time series prediction models, the model pays attention to the spatial relationships in time series data.

Details

International Journal of Web Information Systems, vol. 19 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1744-0084

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 4 January 2022

Satish Kumar, Tushar Kolekar, Ketan Kotecha, Shruti Patil and Arunkumar Bongale

Excessive tool wear is responsible for damage or breakage of the tool, workpiece, or machining center. Thus, it is crucial to examine tool conditions during the machining process…

Abstract

Purpose

Excessive tool wear is responsible for damage or breakage of the tool, workpiece, or machining center. Thus, it is crucial to examine tool conditions during the machining process to improve its useful functional life and the surface quality of the final product. AI-based tool wear prediction techniques have proven to be effective in estimating the Remaining Useful Life (RUL) of the cutting tool. However, the model prediction needs improvement in terms of accuracy.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper represents a methodology of fusing a feature selection technique along with state-of-the-art deep learning models. The authors have used NASA milling data sets along with vibration signals for tool wear prediction and performance analysis in 15 different fault scenarios. Multiple steps are used for the feature selection and ranking. Different Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) approaches are used to improve the overall prediction accuracy of the model for tool wear prediction. LSTM models' performance is evaluated using R-square, Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) parameters.

Findings

The R-square accuracy of the hybrid model is consistently high and has low MAE, MAPE and RMSE values. The average R-square score values for LSTM, Bidirection, Encoder–Decoder and Hybrid LSTM are 80.43, 84.74, 94.20 and 97.85%, respectively, and corresponding average MAPE values are 23.46, 22.200, 9.5739 and 6.2124%. The hybrid model shows high accuracy as compared to the remaining LSTM models.

Originality/value

The low variance, Spearman Correlation Coefficient and Random Forest Regression methods are used to select the most significant feature vectors for training the miscellaneous LSTM model versions and highlight the best approach. The selected features pass to different LSTM models like Bidirectional, Encoder–Decoder and Hybrid LSTM for tool wear prediction. The Hybrid LSTM approach shows a significant improvement in tool wear prediction.

Details

International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, vol. 39 no. 7
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0265-671X

Keywords

1 – 10 of over 23000