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COVID-19 crisis will test South African social fabric

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

The worsening COVID-19 outbreak is being exacerbated by poor capacity and alleged graft

East Africa struggles to capitalise on cheap oil

Location:

AF

Expectations of benefits from a lower oil price are being tested

Vulnerability deepens East African food crisis risks

Location:

EAST AFRICA

Increasingly frequent droughts combine with conflict and market disruptions to heighten the risk of regional food crises

Trump will face a more precarious global nuclear order

Location:

UNITED STATES

The president-elect's first term will require deft management of regional disputes weighted with nuclear risks

COVID-19 crisis will worsen poverty in Central America

Location:

CENTRAL AMERICA

Accuracy of death figures will vary dramatically depending on testing; economic impacts will be substantial regionwide

COVID-19 rises inexorably in Russia and neighbours

Location:

CIS

The disease’s spread may have been delayed but sound contagion control policies are needed just as elsewhere

Battle for Sana'a will test anti-Huthi coalition

Location:

YEMEN

For Saudi Arabia, defeating the Huthis is critical to its internal security as well as its rivalry with Iran

Conflict will mire outlook for East and Central Africa

Location:

EAST-CENTRAL AFRICA

Political conflict across the region is widespread and escalating, with the effects felt across borders

Demography will impact Arab world employment

Location:

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

Demographic trends will test the ability of governments to bring down youth unemployment rates

Saudi instability risk will rise if reforms fail

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

The kingdom's eroding public finances raise questions over its long-term resilience