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1 – 10 of over 193000Philip Booth and George Matysiak
Examines the impact of using “unsmoothing” techniques on real estate data to take pension‐plan asset‐allocation decisions. It is generally believed that valuation‐based real…
Abstract
Examines the impact of using “unsmoothing” techniques on real estate data to take pension‐plan asset‐allocation decisions. It is generally believed that valuation‐based real estate indices give rise to returns figures which are “smoothed” versions of the underlying transaction prices. Unsmoothing techniques can be used to develop real estate return data series that are believed to be a more accurate representation of underlying transaction prices. If this is done, the resulting data reveal greater volatility of real estate returns. When such data are applied to portfolio selection models, they often reveal a reduced allocation to real estate in efficient portfolios. Looks at the impact of unsmoothing data when taking pension‐plan asset‐allocation decisions. Finds here that the unsmoothed data are more closely correlated with pension plan liabilities. As a result, efficient pension plan portfolios sometimes contain more real estate, rather than less. In general, there is little change in the efficient real estate allocation. These results are very important. They reveal that so‐called “valuation smoothing” may distort property investment decisions less than is commonly thought.
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Daniel W. Williams and Shayne C. Kavanagh
This study examines forecast accuracy associated with the forecast of 55 revenue data series of 18 local governments. The last 18 months (6 quarters; or 2 years) of the data are…
Abstract
This study examines forecast accuracy associated with the forecast of 55 revenue data series of 18 local governments. The last 18 months (6 quarters; or 2 years) of the data are held-out for accuracy evaluation. Results show that forecast software, damped trend methods, and simple exponential smoothing methods perform best with monthly and quarterly data; and use of monthly or quarterly data is marginally better than annualized data. For monthly data, there is no advantage to converting dollar values to real dollars before forecasting and reconverting using a forecasted index. With annual data, naïve methods can outperform exponential smoothing methods for some types of data; and real dollar conversion generally outperforms nominal dollars. The study suggests benchmark forecast errors and recommends a process for selecting a forecast method.
Mohamed Abdel-Aty, Qi Shi, Anurag Pande and Rongjie Yu
Purpose – This chapter provides details of research that attempts to relate traffic operational conditions on uninterrupted flow facilities (e.g., freeways and expressways) with…
Abstract
Purpose – This chapter provides details of research that attempts to relate traffic operational conditions on uninterrupted flow facilities (e.g., freeways and expressways) with real-time crash likelihood. Unlike incident detection, the purpose of this line of work is to proactively assess crash likelihood and potentially reduce the likelihood through proactive traffic management techniques, including variable speed limit and ramp metering among others.
Methodology – The chapter distinguishes between the traditional aggregate crash frequency-based approach to safety evaluation and the approach needed for real-time crash risk estimation. Key references from the literature are summarised in terms of the reported effect of different traffic characteristics that can be derived in near real-time, including average speed, temporal variation in speed, volume and lane-occupancy, on crash occurrence.
Findings – Traffic and weather parameters are among the real-time crash-contributing factors. Among the most significant traffic parameters is speed particularly in the form of coefficient of variation of speed.
Research implications – In the traffic safety field, traditional data sources are infrastructure-based traffic detection systems. In the future, if automatic traffic detection systems could provide reliable data at the vehicle level, new variables such as headway could be introduced. Transferability of real-time crash prediction models is also of interest. Also, the potential effects of different management strategies to reduce real-time crash risk could be evaluated in a simulation environment.
Practical implications – This line of research has been at the forefront of bringing data mining and other machine-learning techniques into the traffic management arena. We expect these analysis techniques to play a more important role in real-time traffic management, not just for safety evaluation but also for congestion pricing and alternate routing.
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Chelinka Rafiesta Sahara and Ammar Mohamed Aamer
Creating a real-time data integration when developing an internet-of-things (IoT)-based warehouse is still faced with challenges. It involves a diverse knowledge of novel…
Abstract
Purpose
Creating a real-time data integration when developing an internet-of-things (IoT)-based warehouse is still faced with challenges. It involves a diverse knowledge of novel technology and skills. This study aims to identify the critical components of the real-time data integration processes in IoT-based warehousing. Then, design and apply a data integration framework, adopting the IoT concept to enable real-time data transfer and sharing.
Design/methodology/approach
The study used a pilot experiment to verify the data integration system configuration. Radio-frequency identification (RFID) technology was selected to support the integration process in this study, as it is one of the most recognized products of IoT.
Findings
The experimentations’ results proved that data integration plays a significant role in structuring a combination of assorted data on the IoT-based warehouse from various locations in a real-time manner. This study concluded that real-time data integration processes in IoT-based warehousing could be generated into three significant components: configuration, databasing and transmission.
Research limitations/implications
While the framework in this research was carried out in one of the developing counties, this study’s findings could be used as a foundation for future research in a smart warehouse, IoT and related topics. The study provides guidelines for practitioners to design a low-cost IoT-based smart warehouse system to obtain more accurate and timely data to support the quick decision-making process.
Originality/value
The research at hand provides the groundwork for researchers to explore the proposed theoretical framework and develop it further to increase inventory management efficiency of warehouse operations. Besides, this study offers an economical alternate for an organization to implement the integration software reasonably.
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Information and communication technology (ICT) support of corporate accommodation processes with real estate data is not a simple subject. Insight is required into the primary…
Abstract
Information and communication technology (ICT) support of corporate accommodation processes with real estate data is not a simple subject. Insight is required into the primary processes of very different organisations, and inclusion of many aspects of portfolio management is necessary. This paper highlights possibilities for ICT support of these complex processes, although it does not explore in detail the different technology products available on the market. Instead, an overview of considerations focused at possible functionalities is provided which may contribute to sound decision making on actual development, purchase and implementation of supporting systems. To an increasing degree business support systems function in a network or are ‘webenabled’. Also transactions are frequently effected using new infrastructures (e‐commerce, business‐to‐business [B2B], etc). New technologies are also rapidly gaining ground in demand and supply chains regarding corporate accommodation, real estate and portfolio management. In many cases, though, the need for an overall and ‘future proof’ vision when applying them in a corporate real estate (CRE) environment is not thoroughly recognised. With regard to the Government Buildings Agency (GBA) in the Netherlands, it is important to bear in mind that this is not a commercial organisation. It functions in the public domain, and therefore there are aspects that must be specially treated. The paper presents a survey of important matters in GBA’s primary (and partially secondary) processes, and establishes connections with possibilities (and implications) that state‐of‐the‐art ICT support may provide. A conceptual outline of the primary processes of a CRE organisation is used as a starting point, and an overview of the data needs in these processes is given. By explicitly applying an approach aimed at (potential) data customers, who will decide for themselves what data has informative value, functional boundaries in internal processes are easily crossed. From this approach, many possibilities for added value, marketing and B2B communication become more obvious and manageable. Although this paper focuses on the primary process of the GBA in the Netherlands, many subjects may be applicable in other CRE organisations.
Irina Farquhar and Alan Sorkin
This study proposes targeted modernization of the Department of Defense (DoD's) Joint Forces Ammunition Logistics information system by implementing the optimized innovative…
Abstract
This study proposes targeted modernization of the Department of Defense (DoD's) Joint Forces Ammunition Logistics information system by implementing the optimized innovative information technology open architecture design and integrating Radio Frequency Identification Device data technologies and real-time optimization and control mechanisms as the critical technology components of the solution. The innovative information technology, which pursues the focused logistics, will be deployed in 36 months at the estimated cost of $568 million in constant dollars. We estimate that the Systems, Applications, Products (SAP)-based enterprise integration solution that the Army currently pursues will cost another $1.5 billion through the year 2014; however, it is unlikely to deliver the intended technical capabilities.
Eugene Yujun Fu, Hong Va Leong, Grace Ngai and Stephen C.F. Chan
Social signal processing under affective computing aims at recognizing and extracting useful human social interaction patterns. Fight is a common social interaction in real life…
Abstract
Purpose
Social signal processing under affective computing aims at recognizing and extracting useful human social interaction patterns. Fight is a common social interaction in real life. A fight detection system finds wide applications. This paper aims to detect fights in a natural and low-cost manner.
Design/methodology/approach
Research works on fight detection are often based on visual features, demanding substantive computation and good video quality. In this paper, the authors propose an approach to detect fight events through motion analysis. Most existing works evaluated their algorithms on public data sets manifesting simulated fights, where the fights are acted out by actors. To evaluate real fights, the authors collected videos involving real fights to form a data set. Based on the two types of data sets, the authors evaluated the performance of their motion signal analysis algorithm, which was then compared with the state-of-the-art approach based on MoSIFT descriptors with Bag-of-Words mechanism, and basic motion signal analysis with Bag-of-Words.
Findings
The experimental results indicate that the proposed approach accurately detects fights in real scenarios and performs better than the MoSIFT approach.
Originality/value
By collecting and annotating real surveillance videos containing real fight events and augmenting with well-known data sets, the authors proposed, implemented and evaluated a low computation approach, comparing it with the state-of-the-art approach. The authors uncovered some fundamental differences between real and simulated fights and initiated a new study in discriminating real against simulated fight events, with very good performance.
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Temidayo Oluwasola Osunsanmi, Timothy O. Olawumi, Andrew Smith, Suha Jaradat, Clinton Aigbavboa, John Aliu, Ayodeji Oke, Oluwaseyi Ajayi and Opeyemi Oyeyipo
The study aims to develop a model that supports the application of data science techniques for real estate professionals in the fourth industrial revolution (4IR) era. The present…
Abstract
Purpose
The study aims to develop a model that supports the application of data science techniques for real estate professionals in the fourth industrial revolution (4IR) era. The present 4IR era gave birth to big data sets and is beyond real estate professionals' analysis techniques. This has led to a situation where most real estate professionals rely on their intuition while neglecting a rigorous analysis for real estate investment appraisals. The heavy reliance on their intuition has been responsible for the under-performance of real estate investment, especially in Africa.
Design/methodology/approach
This study utilised a survey questionnaire to randomly source data from real estate professionals. The questionnaire was analysed using a combination of Statistical package for social science (SPSS) V24 and Analysis of a Moment Structures (AMOS) graphics V27 software. Exploratory factor analysis was employed to break down the variables (drivers) into meaningful dimensions helpful in developing the conceptual framework. The framework was validated using covariance-based structural equation modelling. The model was validated using fit indices like discriminant validity, standardised root mean square (SRMR), comparative fit index (CFI), Normed Fit Index (NFI), etc.
Findings
The model revealed that an inclusive educational system, decentralised real estate market and data management system are the major drivers for applying data science techniques to real estate professionals. Also, real estate professionals' application of the drivers will guarantee an effective data analysis of real estate investments.
Originality/value
Numerous studies have clamoured for adopting data science techniques for real estate professionals. There is a lack of studies on the drivers that will guarantee the successful adoption of data science techniques. A modern form of data analysis for real estate professionals was also proposed in the study.
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Marcos Paulo Valadares de Oliveira and Robert Handfield
The study objective was to understand what components of organizational culture and capability combined with analytic skillsets are needed to allow organizations to exploit real…
Abstract
Purpose
The study objective was to understand what components of organizational culture and capability combined with analytic skillsets are needed to allow organizations to exploit real-time analytic technologies to create supply chain performance improvements.
Design/methodology/approach
The authors relied on information processing theory to support a hypothesized model, which is empirically tested using an ordinary least squares equation model, and survey data from a sample of 208 supply chain executives across multiple industries.
Findings
The authors found strong support for the concept that real-time analytics will require specialized analytical skills for the managers who use them in their daily work, as well as an analytics-focused organizational culture that promotes data visibility and fact-based decision-making.
Practical implications
Based on the study model, the authors found that a cultural bias to embrace analytics and a strong background in statistical fluency can produce decision-makers who can make sense of a sea of data, and derive significant supply chain performance improvements.
Originality/value
The research was initiated through five workshops and presentations with supply chain executives leading real-time analytics initiatives within their organizations, which were then mapped onto survey items and tested. The authors complement our findings with direct observations from managers that lend unique insights into the field.
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Motivated by recent research indicating that the operational performance of an enterprise can be enhanced by building a supporting data-driven environment in which to operate…
Abstract
Purpose
Motivated by recent research indicating that the operational performance of an enterprise can be enhanced by building a supporting data-driven environment in which to operate, this paper presents a simulation framework that enables an examination of the effects of applying smart manufacturing principles to conventional production systems, intending to transition to digital platforms.
Design/methodology/approach
To investigate the extent to which conventional production systems can be transformed into novel data-driven environments, the well-known constant work-in-process (CONWIP) production systems and considered production sequencing assignments in flowshops were studied. As a result, a novel data-driven priority heuristic, Net-CONWIP was designed and studied, based on the ability to collect real-time information about customer demand and work-in-process inventory, which was applied as part of a distributed and decentralised production sequencing analysis. Application of heuristics like the Net-CONWIP is only possible through the ability to collect and use real-time data offered by a data-driven system. A four-stage application framework to assist practitioners in applying the proposed model was created.
Findings
To assess the robustness of the Net-CONWIP heuristic under the simultaneous effects of different levels of demand, its different levels of variability and the presence of bottlenecks, the performance of Net-CONWIP with conventional CONWIP systems that use first come, first served priority rule was compared. The results show that the Net-CONWIP priority rule significantly reduced customer wait time in all cases relative to FCFS.
Originality/value
Previous research suggests there is considerable value in creating data-driven environments. This study provides a simulation framework that guides the construction of a digital transformation environment. The suggested framework facilitates the inclusion and analysis of relevant smart manufacturing principles in production systems and enables the design and testing of new heuristics that employ real-time data to improve operational performance. An approach that can guide the structuring of data-driven environments in production systems is currently lacking. This paper bridges this gap by proposing a framework to facilitate the design of digital transformation activities, explore their impact on production systems and improve their operational performance.
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