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Concerns over rule of law will rise post-pandemic

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Latin America scores poorly on global assessments of both corruption perceptions and judicial independence

China cannot yet challenge US power

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CHINA

China is gaining on the United States on many fronts, but the gap is substantial, sometimes vast

Economic pressures are rising

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TUNISIA

Economic indicators are worsening as President Kais Saied consolidates his grip on power

The intra-Gulf war will be a battle of reputations

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GULF STATES

As Qatar and its foes settle into a long-term enmity, they are increasingly concerned about international appearances

The AfD will make German coalition formation harder

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GERMANY

Uneasy centrist coalitions at the state and federal level will emerge from the AfD’s rise

Cheap oil will weigh long-term on top exporters

Location:

INT

OPEC members have so far failed to agree output cuts to boost prices

Caribbean COVID-19 impacts could be deep and lasting

Location:

CARIBBEAN

The pandemic will affect the region’s economies and societies to different degrees but all look sure to suffer

Population change will have an uneven impact in Europe

Location:

EUROPE

Ageing population dynamics will pose different social, economic and political challenges for European governments