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Powers will fight proxy wars in impoverished Syria

Location:

SYRIA

With the Gaza conflict raging, Syrians face military pressure from all sides, as economic constraints also tighten

Widening wealth disparities will drive populist voting

Location:

INT

Wealth is more unequal than incomes; countries with stable or falling income inequality will increasingly address wealth

Bullish and bearish China growth view is reconcilable

Location:

CHINA

China analysts are diverging between those growing more negative on the long-run prospects and those remaining bullish

Prosperity and sustainability show little correlation

Location:

INT

The mismatch between economic prosperity and environmental sustainability impedes national and global climate action

UK cost of living crisis will cloud the 2020s outlook

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

Higher living costs will erode consumer spending and living standards over the medium term

Internet shutdowns in Africa may become entrenched

Location:

AFRICA

Authoritarian governments are increasingly blocking or restricting internet access to suppress domestic dissent

Poland may treat Afghan asylum claims as special case

Location:

POLAND

Poland’s opposition to illegal migration across its Belarus border will not preclude considering regular asylum claims

Iranian foreign policy will be internally divided

Location:

IRAN

The military priorities of the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps could undercut the foreign ministry’s soft diplomacy

Syria’s complex conflicts show states have the edge

Location:

SYRIA

A resurgent Damascus and increasingly committed foreign interventions are squeezing out non-state actors

Trump’s Iran choice will play into Middle East crises

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

In a framework of heightened confrontation with Iran, national-level controversies across the region could be magnified