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Ivanovic killing may slow EU path of Kosovo and Serbia

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KOSOVO/SERBIA

The prominent ethnic Serb politician’s assassination has shaken Kosovo. It is unclear which of Ivanovic’s many enemies ordered the killing. His death complicates Kosovo’s…

Namibia's SWAPO faces further damaging poll losses

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NAMIBIA

SWAPO lost its two-thirds majority in the main house of parliament last year and could also see its dominance in the second parliamentary chamber diminished. SWAPO's decline in…

Aid dynamics may entrench South Sudan's challenges

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SOUTH SUDAN

However, conventional development aid remains extremely limited, which has significant implications for the prospects for domestic change.

South Sudan's oil sector faces entrenched stagnation

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SOUTH SUDAN

Oil remains the mainstay of South Sudan’s economy and is highly lucrative for those sections of the government and associated networks that control it. However, it delivers…

South Sudan peace deal faces legitimacy gap

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SOUTH SUDAN

Although the ‘transition’ foreseen under that agreement was intended to end with national elections in 2022, the signatories recently agreed to extend the transition by two years…

Tunisian labour union is moving towards opposition

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TUNISIA

Tunis has been in negotiations with the IMF for a new package all year. The government needs the UGTT’s support to implement any IMF deal, but relations between government and…

Macron's Cameroon visit will bolster Biya

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CAMEROON

Macron’s choice of Cameroon marks a shift in his African approach compared to his first term in which he was highly critical of Cameroonian President Paul Biya’s treatment of…

South Sudan will get a larger budget but not reforms

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SOUTH SUDAN

South Sudan's budget and reform outlook.

Institutional rivalry hinders Tunisian security

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TUNISIA

The agreement is a signal of deepening military ties between Tunisia and Western governments. Foreign military assistance has been vital in improving Tunisia’s counterterrorism…

Uganda campaign clashes presage post-election unrest

Location:

UGANDA

Wine’s arrest on November 18 sparked two days of protests and a heavy-handed security response that killed at least 54 people. Tensions remain high, and recurrent standoffs…