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Libya foreign fighters will pose lasting regional risk

Location:

LIBYA

Individuals from a variety of African states arrived in Libya between 2011-17 to engage in jihad

Israel’s Gaza war aims will founder on contradictions

Location:

ISRAEL

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu is playing a short-term tactical game, at home and abroad

Congo’s siege tactics may fail to bring stability

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

Two of the country’s conflict-affected eastern provinces have been placed under military control

Internet shutdowns raise risks across Global South

Location:

INT

Governments across the developing world are regularly shutting down online communication to restore political control

A world of walls may also see a rise in interventions

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INT

Grandiose barrier-building plans are a new global fashion; the reality is more complicated

Latin American air traffic follows the money

Location:

LATAM

Finance and transport hubs pick up air traffic even as some major cities lag

Persistently high food prices may spark social unrest

Location:

INT

Cereal grains such as wheat provide essential sustenance to humans and animals; price surges raise risks of food crises

Georgia US Senate run-offs will be crucial for policy

Location:

UNITED STATES

If the Republicans win at least one of Georgia’s US Senate seats, they will be able to frustrate Democrats’ aims

Russian trade ties limit scope for Belarus ‘divorce’

Location:

BELARUS

Bilateral tensions boil over into vocal recriminations, but economic bonds remain firm

Instability flashpoints ring China's periphery

Location:

EAST ASIA

East Asia has a number of flashpoints for instability that could flare up in the coming year