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Juba's intractability prevents South Sudan's recovery

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

South Sudan's war-blighted economy is expected to contract by 3.5% in 2017, compared with 13.8% last year, thanks to modest increases in oil prices. Persistent reports of…

2023 will test East European V4 economies’ resilience

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Economic hardship may be increasing support for populism and far-right politics, especially in the more vulnerable Slovakia and Hungary. Proximity to the war, including spending…

Investment in assets seen as inflation-proof will rise

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Traditionally, a balanced portfolio mix of 60% stocks against 40% bonds and cash offered investors some protection against inflation. However, recent periods when equities and…

Election pressures to test Liberia's post-war reforms

Location:

LIBERIA

Political outlook for Liberia.

Food crisis in the Sahel will intensify this year

Location:

SAHEL

The lean season in the Sahel region runs from May to August and is typically the period of greatest food insecurity in an endemically food-insecure area. This year, amid…

Fiscal and external challenges lie ahead for Panama

Location:

PANAMA

Panama has demonstrated resilience and maintained economic momentum, despite challenges such as reduced traffic through the drought-stricken Panama Canal and the closure, after…

Egypt weathers COVID-19 blow but debt risks loom large

Location:

EGYPT

The IMF praised Egypt’s “resilience” to the COVID-19 shock and encouraged Cairo to maintain its focus on fiscal consolidation while broadening structural reforms -- mainly to ease…

Middle East regimes will survive lasting instability

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Regime resilience in the Middle East.

Leadership losses will weaken ISG in Iraq, Syria

Location:

SYRIA/IRAQ

The elimination of top- and mid-level cadres in US-led coalition airstrikes comes at a time when the group is also suffering serious battlefield losses. The strikes raise…

Foreign cyberattacks will make US policy more coercive

Location:

UNITED STATES

These sprints are part of a wider overhaul of national cybersecurity necessitated by the recently uncovered Russia-linked SolarWinds hack and the China-linked Microsoft Exchange…