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1 – 10 of over 95000Using the next-day and next-week returns of stocks in the Korean market, we examine the association of option volume ratios – i.e. the option-to-stock (O/S) ratio, which is the…
Abstract
Using the next-day and next-week returns of stocks in the Korean market, we examine the association of option volume ratios – i.e. the option-to-stock (O/S) ratio, which is the total volume of put options and call options scaled by total underlying equity volume, and the put-call (P/C) ratio, which is the put volume scaled by total put and call volume – with future returns. We find that O/S ratios are positively related to future returns, but P/C ratios have no significant association with returns. We calculate individual, institutional, and foreign investors’ option ratios to determine which ratios are significantly related to future returns and find that, for all investors, higher O/S ratios predict higher future returns. The predictability of P/C depends on the investors: institutional and individual investors’ P/C ratios are not related to returns, but foreign P/C predicts negative next-day returns. For net-buying O/S ratios, institutional net-buying put-to-stock ratios consistently predict negative future returns. Institutions’ buying and selling put ratios also predict returns. In short, institutional put-to-share ratios predict future returns when we use various option ratios, but individual option ratios do not.
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Shailesh Rastogi, Vikas Tripathi and Sunaina Kuknor
The paper aims to explore the informational role of futures volume in the simultaneous relationship between option volume and spot volatility to forecast the volatility of the…
Abstract
Purpose
The paper aims to explore the informational role of futures volume in the simultaneous relationship between option volume and spot volatility to forecast the volatility of the underlying asset.
Design/methodology/approach
The generalized method of moments is used to estimate the simultaneous equations of endogeneity between spot volatility and option volume. Futures volume is specified as an exogenous variable in both legs of the estimation of simultaneous equations. However, the future volume is also tested as a dependent variable to prove preference for investment by informed investors in futures along with options.
Findings
The result indicates that futures volume has a significant association with the bi-directional simultaneous equation estimation between spot volatility and option volume. Moreover, the result of this paper proves that informed investors also prefer futures markets over the spot market. However, there is no change observed in the relationship between option volume and spot volatility due to either call or put options or moneyness.
Originality/value
The possible role of futures volume in the simultaneous equations between spot volatility and option volume has not yet been researched. This paper pioneers in demonstrating that futures volume is an exogenous variable in the simultaneous equation modeling between spot volatility and option volume. Moreover, in the contemporaneous as well as predictive relationships between spot volatility and option volume, futures volume as an exogenous variable is significant in forecasting spot volatility. In addition to this, the current paper uniquely provides evidence of investment in futures also over the spot market by informed investors.
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Sol Kim, In Joon Kim and Seung Oh Nam
The purpose of this paper is to examine the price discovery role of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200 (KOSPI 200) stock index options market in contrast to other developed…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the price discovery role of the Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200 (KOSPI 200) stock index options market in contrast to other developed options markets.
Design/methodology/approach
The price discovery roles of the stock and options markets using the error‐correction model derived from the co‐integration relationship are examined. Various analyses are conducted. First, Heston's stochastic volatility option pricing model is employed to confirm its usefulness, and compare the results with the Black and Scholes (BS) model. Second, whether the out of the money (OTM) options purchased by individual investors have a stronger price discovery role than options with other moneyness is examined. Finally, whether options have a stronger price discovery role in bullish or bearish markets than in normal markets is tested.
Findings
It is found that stock index prices lead implied index prices estimated from option prices using both BS and Heston models. In regards to the OTM options, the lead‐effect of real stock index to implied index prices holds. Also it is shown that there is a weak rise in the lead effect of the options to the stock index, but the lead effect of stock index market rules over that of the options market.
Originality/value
The paper examines the price discovery role of the KOSPI 200 stock index options market in contrast to other developed options markets and the results indicate that the consensus on the Korean financial markets may be incorrect.
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M. Ariff, P.K. Chan and L.W. Johnson
Three years after the introduction of exchange‐traded options on the American scene, a call options market was made with ten popular common stocks in Singapore in early 1977. Only…
Abstract
Three years after the introduction of exchange‐traded options on the American scene, a call options market was made with ten popular common stocks in Singapore in early 1977. Only calls were traded and no puts were introduced. After six months of trading actively, volume dwindled, and the market was withdrawn in early 1980. Three currency options markets introduced in 1987 continues to thrive at the time of this study. The reason for the demise of the call options market is mainly the significant mispricing of the contracts as most contracts were systematically above the theoretical fair prices. Low volatility in the spot market after the calls were introduced, availability of alternative speculative instrument for traders, high transaction costs and the lack of knowledge about the complexity of options trades are suggested as reasons for the failure of the market. As a new options market has been introduced again in March, 1993, it is worthwhile to learn from the past.
The purpose of this paper is to examine the lead‐lag relationships between the National Stock Exchange (NSE) Nifty stock market index (in India) and its related futures and options…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the lead‐lag relationships between the National Stock Exchange (NSE) Nifty stock market index (in India) and its related futures and options contracts, and also the interrelation between the derivatives markets.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper uses serial correlation of return series and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model for studying the lead‐lag relationship between hourly returns on the NSE Nifty index and its derivatives contracts like futures, call and put options. Further, the lead‐lag relation between hourly returns of the derivatives contracts among themselves is also studied using ARMA models.
Findings
The ARMA analysis shows that the NSE Nifty derivatives markets tend to lead the underlying stock index. The futures market clearly leads the cash market although this lead appears to be eroding slightly over time. Although the options market leads the cash overall, there is some feedback between the two with the underlying index leading at times. Further, it is found that the index call options lead the index futures more strongly than futures lead calls, while the futures lead puts more strongly than the reverse.
Practical implications
The results imply that the derivative contracts on NSE Nifty lead the underlying cash market. Thus, the derivative markets are indicative of futures price movements and this will certainly be helpful to potential investors to design their risk‐return portfolio while investing in stocks and derivatives contracts.
Originality/value
This paper is an original piece of work towards exploring the lead‐lag relation between NSE Nifty and the derivative contracts. The issue of price discovery on futures and spot markets and the lead‐lag relationship are topics of interest to traders, financial economists, and analysts.
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Maria Chiara Amadori, Lamia Bekkour and Thorsten Lehnert
This paper aims to investigate informational efficiency of stock, options and credit default swap (CDS) markets. Previous research suggests that informed traders prefer equity…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to investigate informational efficiency of stock, options and credit default swap (CDS) markets. Previous research suggests that informed traders prefer equity option and CDS markets over stock markets to exploit their informational advantage. As a result, equity and credit derivative markets contribute more to price discovery compared to stock markets.
Design/methodology/approach
In this study, the authors investigate the dynamics behind informed investors’ trading decisions in European stock, options and CDS markets. This allows to identify the predictive explanatory power of the unique information contained in each market with respect to future stock, CDS and option market movements.
Findings
A lead-lag relation is found between the CDS market and the other markets, in which changes in CDS spreads are able to consistently forecast changes in stock prices and equity options’ implied volatilities, indicating how the fast-growing CDS market seems to play a special role in the price discovery process. Moreover, in contrast to results of US studies, the stock market is found to forecast changes in the other two markets, suggesting that investors also prefer stock market involvement to exploit their information advantages before moving to CDS and option markets. Interestingly, these patterns have only emerged during the recent financial crisis, while before the crisis, the option market was found to be of major importance in the price discovery process.
Originality/value
The authors are the first to study the lead-lag relationship among European stock, option and CDS markets for a large sample period covering the financial crisis.
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Sees the objective of teaching financial management to be to helpmanagers and potential managers to make sensible investment andfinancing decisions. Acknowledges that financial…
Abstract
Sees the objective of teaching financial management to be to help managers and potential managers to make sensible investment and financing decisions. Acknowledges that financial theory teaches that investment and financing decisions should be based on cash flow and risk. Provides information on payback period; return on capital employed, earnings per share effect, working capital, profit planning, standard costing, financial statement planning and ratio analysis. Seeks to combine the practical rules of thumb of the traditionalists with the ideas of the financial theorists to form a balanced approach to practical financial management for MBA students, financial managers and undergraduates.
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Di Mo, Neda Todorova and Rakesh Gupta
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between option’s implied volatility smirk (IVS) and excess returns in the Germany’s leading stock index…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between option’s implied volatility smirk (IVS) and excess returns in the Germany’s leading stock index Deutscher-Aktien Index (DAX) 30.
Design/methodology/approach
The study defines the IVS as the difference in implied volatility derived from out-of-the-money put options and at-the-money call options. This study employs the ordinary least square regression with Newey-West correction to analyse the relationship between IVS and excess DAX 30 index returns in Germany.
Findings
The authors find that the German market adjusts information in an efficient way. Consequently, there is no information linkage between option volatility smirk and market index returns over the nine years sample period after considering the control variables, global financial crisis dummies, and the subsample test.
Research limitations/implications
This study finds that the option market and the DAX 30 index are informationally efficient. Implications of the findings are that the investors cannot profit from the information contained in the IVS since the information is simultaneously incorporated into option prices and the stock index prices. The findings of this study are applicable to other markets with European options and for market participants who seek to exploit short-term market divergence from efficiency.
Originality/value
The relationship between IVS and stock price changes has not been investigated sufficiently in academic literature. This study looks at this relationship in the context of European options using high-frequency transactions data. Prior studies look at this relationship for only American options using daily data. Pricing efficiency of the European option market using high-frequency data have not been studied in the prior literature. The authors find different results for the German market based on this high-frequency data set.
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The KOSPI 200 options at its initial stage generated a significant number of violations in no-arbitrage conditions which involve both options and the underlying index. However…
Abstract
The KOSPI 200 options at its initial stage generated a significant number of violations in no-arbitrage conditions which involve both options and the underlying index. However, when the arbitrage conditions are formed independent of the underlying index, the average size of violation is not large and few arbitrage opportunities exist. There are more frequent violations on near-maturity days, with in-the-money options and larger violation sizes during opening and closing hours. The arbitrage opportunities remain intact even after realistic transaction costs are taken into account and index futures prices are used instead of the stock index in an alternative specification.
Shin‐Yun Wang and Chih‐Chiang Hwang
The purpose of this paper is to apply options to the pharmaceutical markets to solute the corruption and counterfeit drugs in emerging markets.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to apply options to the pharmaceutical markets to solute the corruption and counterfeit drugs in emerging markets.
Design/methodology/approach
This article proposes a framework for using pharmaceutical options. The application of options to pharmaceuticals will enable a freer and more competitive pharmaceutical market, and assist medicine producers and hospitals using pharmaceutical options market to hedge price risk.
Findings
The paper finds that it is possible, for example, to apply the theoretical framework to case studies in pharmaceutical markets.
Research limitations/implications
The present study provides a starting‐point for further research in the pharmaceutical markets sector. The environment of the existing pharmaceutical markets, the implementation of pharmaceutical options, and the potential benefit of such implementation are discussed in details.
Originality/value
This framework has proven to be useful in improving the pharmaceutical markets of the medical industry.
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