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Informality crimps Latin American options

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The large informal sector reduces fiscal revenues and with them options to improve services and competitiveness

Belarus borrowing options will shrink inexorably

Location:

BELARUS

Belarus has relied heavily on Russian and Chinese loans, and its political behaviour is shutting down other options

Taiwanese society will resist unification with China

Location:

TAIWAN

Polls indicate that fewer Taiwanese residents see joining China as a desirable long-term option

Few options for post-Soviet 'shadow governance' zones

Location:

CIS

Attempts to win recognition have failed and annexation by 'patron states' would present large challenges

Geography limits China's options for Taiwan invasion

Location:

CHINA

It is often assumed that China could attack Taiwan at a time and place of its choosing; this is by no means the case

Russian leader weighs options against costs and gains

Location:

RUSSIA

President Putin’s plans are a secret but his demands can be measured against how far various actions will satisfy them

Arab desire to migrate will remain high

Location:

MENA

Political instability and poor economies keep open migration as an option for many Arabs

Marginalisation will sustain smuggling in Libyan south

Location:

LIBYA

Smuggling fuel and people is the only economic option for many in the southern deserts

Gulf states' food imports will rise

Location:

GULF STATES

Water constraints mean that Gulf countries have no option but to buy in food

The UK’s trade bill will rise sharply outside the EU

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The likelihood of hard Brexit has risen and if WTO rules are adopted, the cost of UK goods and services trade will rise