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Article
Publication date: 22 February 2021

Changhai Lin, Sifeng Liu, Zhigeng Fang and Yingjie Yang

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the spectral characteristics of moving average operator and to propose a novel time-frequency hybrid sequence operator.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to analyze the spectral characteristics of moving average operator and to propose a novel time-frequency hybrid sequence operator.

Design/methodology/approach

Firstly, the complex data is converted into frequency domain data by Fourier transform. An appropriate frequency domain operator is constructed to eliminate the impact of disturbance. Then, the inverse Fourier transform transforms the frequency domain data in which the disturbance is removed, into time domain data. Finally, an appropriate moving average operator of N items is selected based on spectral characteristics to eliminate the influence of periodic factors and noise.

Findings

Through the spectrum analysis of the real-time data sensed and recorded by microwave sensors, the spectral characteristics and the ranges of information, noise and shock disturbance factors in the data can be clarified.

Practical implications

The real-time data analysis results for a drug component monitoring show that the hybrid sequence operator has a good effect on suppressing disturbances, periodic factors and noise implied in the data.

Originality/value

Firstly, the spectral analysis of moving average operator and the novel time-frequency hybrid sequence operator were presented in this paper. For complex data, the ideal effect is difficult to achieve by applying the frequency domain operator or time domain operator alone. The more satisfactory results can be obtained by time-frequency hybrid sequence operator.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 12 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 31 May 2022

Qiang Li, Sifeng Liu and Changhai Lin

The purpose of this paper is to solve the problem of quality prediction in the equipment production process and provide a method to deal with abnormal data and solve the problem…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to solve the problem of quality prediction in the equipment production process and provide a method to deal with abnormal data and solve the problem of data fluctuation.

Design/methodology/approach

The analytic hierarchy process-process failure mode and effect analysis (AHP-PFMEA) structure tree is established based on the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and process failure mode and effect analysis (PFMEA). Through the failure mode analysis table of the production process, the weight of the failure process and stations is determined, and the ranking of risk failure stations is obtained so as to find out the serious failure process and stations. The spectrum analysis method is used to identify the fault data and judge the “abnormal” value in the fault data. Based on the analysis of the impact, an “offset operator” is designed to eliminate the impact. A new moving average denoise operator is constructed to eliminate the “noise” in the original random fluctuation data. Then, DGM (1,1) model is constructed to predict the production process quality.

Findings

It is discovered the “offset operator” can eliminate the impact of specific shocks effectively, moving average denoise operator can eliminate the “noise” in the original random fluctuation data and the practical application of the shown model is very effective for quality predicting in the equipment production process.

Practical implications

The proposed approach can help provide a good guidance and reference for enterprises to strengthen onsite equipment management and product quality management. The application on a real-world case showed that the DGM (1,1) grey discrete model is very effective for quality predicting in the equipment production process.

Originality/value

The offset operators, including an offset operator for a multiplicative effect and an offset operator for an additive effect, are proposed to eliminate the impact of specific shocks, and a new moving average denoise operator is constructed to eliminate the “noise” in the original random fluctuation data. Both the concepts of offset operator and denoise operator with their calculation formulas were first proposed in this paper.

Details

Grey Systems: Theory and Application, vol. 13 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2043-9377

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 24 May 2013

Jose M. Merigo

The purpose of this paper is to develop a new decision making method based on distance measures that uses the probabilistic weighted averaging (PWA) operator. The paper introduces…

422

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to develop a new decision making method based on distance measures that uses the probabilistic weighted averaging (PWA) operator. The paper introduces the PWA distance (PWAD) operator. It is a new aggregation operator that uses probabilities, weighted averages (WAs) and distance measures. Some of its main properties and particular cases are studied such as the arithmetic weighted Hamming distance and the arithmetic probabilistic Hamming distance. An application in a group decision making problem concerning the selection of investment strategies is also presented.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper follows the aggregation operator literature by designing new aggregation operators based on the use of distance measures. Also an application in investment selection is developed.

Findings

The PWAD operator is presented. It permits to use distance measures with probabilities and WAs in the same formulation. Moreover, the paper also finds the PWA norm aggregation and implements them in a group decision making problem.

Practical implications

The PWAD operator can be applied in a wide range of problems including statistics, economics and engineering. The paper focuses on a multi‐person decision making application concerning the selection of the optimal investment strategies.

Originality/value

New aggregation operators by using distance measures are presented. Their main advantage is that they unify the WA with the probability. Thus, the paper considers distance measures that include subjective and objective information in the same formulation.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 42 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 20 February 2020

Ricardo Felicio Souza, Peter Wanke and Henrique Correa

This study aims to analyze the performance of four different fuzzy inference system-based forecasting tools using a real case company.

577

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to analyze the performance of four different fuzzy inference system-based forecasting tools using a real case company.

Design/methodology/approach

The forecasting tools were tested using 27 products of the nail polish line of a multinational beauty company and the performance of said tools was compared to those of the company’s previous forecasting methods that were basically qualitative (informal and intuition-based).

Findings

The performance of the methods analyzed was compared by using mean absolute percentage error. It was possible to determine the characteristics and conditions that make each model the best for each situation. The main takeaways were that low kurtosis, negatively skewed demand time-series and longer horizon forecasts that favor the fuzzy inference system-based models. Besides, the results suggest that the fuzzy forecasting tools should be preferred for longer horizon forecasts over informal qualitative methods.

Originality/value

Notwithstanding the proposed hybrid modeling approach based on fuzzy inference systems, our research offers a relevant contribution to theory and practice by shedding light on the segmentation and selection of forecasting models, both in terms of time-series characteristics and forecasting horizon. The proposed fuzzy inference systems showed to be particularly useful not only when time-series distributions present no clear central tendency (that is, they are platykurtic or dispersed around a large plateau around the median, which is the characteristic of negative kurtosis), but also when mode values are greater than median values, which in turn are greater than mean values. This large tail to the left (negative skewness) is typical of successful products whose sales are ramping up in early stages of their life cycle. For these, fuzzy inference systems may help managers screen out forecast bias and, therefore, lower forecast errors. This behavior also occurs when managers deal with forecasts of longer horizons. The results suggest that further research on fuzzy inference systems hybrid approaches for forecasting should emphasize short-term forecasting by trying to better capture the “tribal” managerial knowledge instead of focusing on less dispersed and slower moving products, where the purely qualitative forecasting methods used by managers tend to perform better in terms of their accuracy.

Details

Journal of Modelling in Management, vol. 15 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1746-5664

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 11 February 2019

Sidra Asad Ali and Muhammad Shariq Shaikh

With recent advances in laboratory hematology automation, emphasis is now on quality assurance processes as they are indispensable for generating reliable and accurate test…

Abstract

Purpose

With recent advances in laboratory hematology automation, emphasis is now on quality assurance processes as they are indispensable for generating reliable and accurate test results. It is therefore imperative to acquire efficient measures for recognizing laboratory malfunctions and errors to improve patient safety. The paper aims to discuss these issues.

Design/methodology/approach

Moving algorithm is a quality control process that monitors analyzer performance from historical records through a continuous process, which does not require additional expenditure, and can serve as an additional support to the laboratory quality control program.

Findings

The authors describe an important quality assurance tool, which can be easily applied in any laboratory setting, especially in cost-constrained areas where running commercial controls throughout every shift may not be a feasible option.

Originality/value

The authors focus on clinical laboratory quality control measures for providing reliable test results. The moving average appears to be a reasonable and applicable choice for vigilantly monitoring each result.

Details

International Journal of Health Care Quality Assurance, vol. 32 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0952-6862

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 January 1984

TURAN GÖNEN

This paper discusses the use of stochastic models based on the Box‐Jenkins modeling methodology to determine the future electrical loads. The developed forecasting models have…

Abstract

This paper discusses the use of stochastic models based on the Box‐Jenkins modeling methodology to determine the future electrical loads. The developed forecasting models have been applied successfully by using the electrical load data provided by the Oklahoma Gas and Electric Company.

Details

COMPEL - The international journal for computation and mathematics in electrical and electronic engineering, vol. 3 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0332-1649

Article
Publication date: 30 July 2019

Marlenne G. Velazquez-Cazares, Ernesto Leon-Castro, Fabio Blanco-Mesa and Segio Alvarado-Altamirano

The purpose of this paper is to identify new formulations for evaluating corporate social responsibility using different aggregation information operators.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to identify new formulations for evaluating corporate social responsibility using different aggregation information operators.

Design/methodology/approach

The ordered weighted average (OWA) operator and its extensions, the induced OWA (IOWA) and prioritized OWA (POWA) operators are used to generate a new score for a Mexican enterprise with the corporate social responsibility (CSR) distinction.

Findings

The use of these operators allows for generation of different scenarios highlighting the relative importance of the elements. This information is useful for the government and companies to generate different evaluations depending on the specific characteristics of the region, state or municipality.

Originality/value

The use of aggregation operators in the traditional CSR formulation is presented. Likewise, the application of these new strategies to evaluate CSR is presented in a Mexican enterprise case to understand the steps that should be followed if the OWA operator and its extensions are to be used.

Details

Kybernetes, vol. 50 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0368-492X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 February 1988

Yash P. Gupta, Toni M. Somers and Lea Grau

The emergence of advanced manufacturing technologies such as Flexible Manufacturing Systems (FMS) is forcing organisations to re‐examine their manufacturing strategies. CNC…

Abstract

The emergence of advanced manufacturing technologies such as Flexible Manufacturing Systems (FMS) is forcing organisations to re‐examine their manufacturing strategies. CNC machines are an integral part of FMS. The literature dealing with the downtime behaviour of these machines is sparse. The purpose of this article is to analyse the behaviour and forecast downtimes of these machines using Box‐Jenkins time series analysis. It is concluded that the models fitted to the data are appropriate, and the results of this study can be used in production planning.

Details

International Journal of Quality & Reliability Management, vol. 5 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0265-671X

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 September 2005

Lawrence Chin and Gang‐Zhi Fan

The purpose of this paper is to examine the nature of Singapore's private housing market with respect to its price movement using time series models.

1626

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to examine the nature of Singapore's private housing market with respect to its price movement using time series models.

Design/methodology/approach

This paper analyses the price dynamics in the Singapore private housing market using the integrated autoregressive‐moving average modeling coupled with outlier detection and autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity modeling techniques.

Findings

The paper finds that private house prices are better modeled as an ARIMA (1, 1, 0) model with corresponding dummy variables. This suggests that housing prices may be characterized as the combination of a stationary cyclical component and a non‐stationary stochastic growth component over the past almost three decades. This affirms that the Singapore's private housing market is characterised by the weak‐form inefficiency.

Research limitations/implications

The results show that even though ARIMA with dummy variables performs better to ARIMA with ARCH in dynamic performance, there is only marginal improvement on the original model. This suggests that the method for selecting intervention variables in the ARIMA modeling is worth further research with the aim of improving its predictive ability.

Originality/value

This paper incorporates the detection of outliers and intervention procedure in the modeling in order to analyse the impacts of extraordinary events such the recent Asian financial crisis and excessive market speculation on property prices and take them into consideration in forecasting price changes.

Details

Property Management, vol. 23 no. 4
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0263-7472

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 31 October 2018

Chung-Han Ho, Ping-Teng Chang, Kuo-Chen Hung and Kuo-Ping Lin

The purpose of this paper is to develop a novel intuitionistic fuzzy seasonality regression (IFSR) with particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms to accurately forecast air…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to develop a novel intuitionistic fuzzy seasonality regression (IFSR) with particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms to accurately forecast air pollutions, which are typical seasonal time series data. Seasonal time series prediction is a critical topic, and some time series data contain uncertain or unpredictable factors. To handle such seasonal factors and uncertain forecasting seasonal time series data, the proposed IFSR with the PSO method effectively extends the intuitionistic fuzzy linear regression (IFLR).

Design/methodology/approach

The prediction model sets up IFLR with spreads unrestricted so as to correctly approach the trend of seasonal time series data when the decomposition method is used. PSO algorithms were simultaneously employed to select the parameters of the IFSR model. In this study, IFSR with the PSO method was first compared with fuzzy seasonality regression, providing evidence that the concept of the intuitionistic fuzzy set can improve performance in forecasting the daily concentration of carbon monoxide (CO). Furthermore, the risk management system also implemented is based on the forecasting results for decision-maker.

Findings

Seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average and deep belief network were then employed as comparative models for forecasting the daily concentration of CO. The empirical results of the proposed IFSR with PSO model revealed improved performance regarding forecasting accuracy, compared with the other methods.

Originality/value

This study presents IFSR with PSO to accurately forecast air pollutions. The proposed IFSR with PSO model can efficiently provide credible values of prediction for seasonal time series data in uncertain environments.

Details

Industrial Management & Data Systems, vol. 119 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0263-5577

Keywords

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