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Article
Publication date: 22 June 2010

Bangladesh trade potential: a dynamic gravity approach

Mohammad Masudur Rahman and Laila Arjuman Ara

The main purpose of this paper is to identify the major determining factors of Bangladesh trade and to investigate whether the gravity model correctly explains…

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Abstract

Purpose

The main purpose of this paper is to identify the major determining factors of Bangladesh trade and to investigate whether the gravity model correctly explains Bangladesh's trade patterns and then estimate the global trade potential of Bangladesh using an augmented gravity model.

Design/methodology/approach

Based on a panel data, a dynamic gravity model has used to estimate Bangladesh's trade potential with her major trading partners.

Findings

One of the major findings of the paper is that a large part of Bangladesh's potential trade has remained unrealized. The estimated results indicate Bangladesh tends to trade more with larger economies in general and for import developing economies in particular. The rising trade transaction cost is one of the major trading barriers causing high unrealization of trade potential in Bangladesh.

Practical implications

The paper concludes that liberalization of non‐policy barriers will spur Bangladesh's trade, particularly in time of ongoing global economic and financial crisis. Improvement in infrastructure that leads to reduce trade transportation costs should be a necessary step in order to unleash Bangladesh's trade potential.

Originality/value

This paper is the first‐ever attempt to estimate the trade potential of Bangladesh using dynamic gravity model in the pre‐ and post‐global economic and financial crisis period.

Details

Journal of International Trade Law and Policy, vol. 9 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/14770021011054296
ISSN: 1477-0024

Keywords

  • Bangladesh
  • International trade
  • Trade barriers

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Article
Publication date: 29 July 2014

Economic impact of the proposed Bangladesh–India FTA: potentials and realities

Chanwahn Kim, Mohammad Masudur Rahman and Laila Arjuman Ara

– The purpose of this paper is to investigate the potential economic effects of the proposed Bangladesh-India free trade agreement (FTA).

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the potential economic effects of the proposed Bangladesh-India free trade agreement (FTA).

Design/methodology/approach

The authors have used the computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) database. The analysis highlights the possible costs and benefits of the two nations within three different scenarios. Under Scenario I all bilateral import tariffs between Bangladesh and India are removed; Scenario II represents the setting where Bangladesh cuts its all tariffs by 75 and in Scenario III Bangladesh cuts tariffs by 50 percent. India cuts all their tariffs by 100 percent in all three scenarios.

Findings

The findings indicate that India may gain more in terms of welfare and real GDP via the improved terms of trade while Bangladesh is going to have welfare loss, but if Bangladesh is able to make a preferential FTA like Scenario III with India its welfare, real GDP and exports will be increased substantially.

Originality/value

This paper is the first-ever attempt to estimate the effect of the proposed Bangladesh-India FTA using CGE analysis of GTAP database version 7.

Details

South Asian Journal of Global Business Research, vol. 3 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/SAJGBR-04-2012-0049
ISSN: 2045-4457

Keywords

  • India
  • Bangladesh
  • International trade
  • CGE

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Article
Publication date: 15 June 2012

Trade and investment potential among BCIM countries: prospects for a dynamic growth quadrangle

Mohammad Masudur Rahman and Chanwahn Kim

The purpose of this paper is to explore the trade and investment potential under the ambit of sub‐regional cooperation comprising the four contiguous countries of…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to explore the trade and investment potential under the ambit of sub‐regional cooperation comprising the four contiguous countries of Bangladesh, China, India and Myanmar (BCIM).

Design/methodology/approach

The study addressed both intra‐regional and intra‐industrial trade, applying a dynamic gravity model of bilateral trade flows by product group of BEC's 1‐digit product classification, to set a panel data for the period of 1992‐2009.

Findings

The analysis reveals that higher trade transaction costs and tariff between each pair of countries reduce the trade flow. One of the major findings of the paper is that a large part of BCIM's trade has remained unrealized and the trade transaction cost is one of the major trading barriers prohibiting the growth of BCIM intra‐regional trade. The paper concludes that liberalization of non‐policy barriers will spur BCIM's trade, particularly in a time of ongoing global economic and financial crisis.

Practical implications

The study reinforces that improvement in infrastructure that leads to less trade transportation costs should be a necessary step in order to realize BCIM's trade potential. The paper concludes that liberalization of non‐policy barriers will spur BCIM's trade and economic cooperation, particularly in time of ongoing global economic and financial crisis.

Originality/value

This paper is the first‐ever attempt to estimate the trade potential of BCIM countries using dynamic gravity model.

Details

Journal of International Trade Law and Policy, vol. 11 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/14770021211239677
ISSN: 1477-0024

Keywords

  • Bangladesh
  • China
  • India
  • Myanmar
  • Trade
  • Investment
  • Costs
  • Tariffs
  • Gravity model

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Article
Publication date: 19 June 2009

Trade in financial services in developing countries: a case of the Bangladesh financial sector

Mohammad Masudur Rahman and Laila Arjuman Ara

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the opportunities and challenging prospects for liberalizing financial services in various ways under the General Agreement on…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the opportunities and challenging prospects for liberalizing financial services in various ways under the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), in view of Bangladesh's interests and concerns.

Design/methodology/approach

Different tabular and graphical approaches and critical investigation are conducted to analyze the impact of financial liberalization to explore challenges and opportunities of liberalizing financial sector under GATS framework.

Findings

This paper finds that although Bangladesh does not make any commitment under GATS, the rate of liberalization in the financial sector has been quite rapid. As one of the least developed countries (LDCs), Bangladesh should have the flexibility to make commitments as well. From the present status of financial sector liberalization, this paper recommends that Bangladesh should adopt commitments because any non‐commitment sends the wrong signal to the global market and may reduce foreign direct investment.

Practical implications

The recommendation of this paper is very practical for trade policy for liberalizing financial sector in Bangladesh as well as other developing countries which already made great liberalization of this sector but did not make any commitments under GATS.

Originality/value

This paper is the first attempt to analyze the financial sector liberalization under GATS framework in the LDCs particularly in Bangladesh financial sector.

Details

Journal of International Trade Law and Policy, vol. 8 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/14770020910981461
ISSN: 1477-0024

Keywords

  • Trade
  • Financial services
  • Bangladesh
  • Agreements

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