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Article
Publication date: 1 July 2005

Jonathan Dark

This paper provides a critique of minimum variance hedging using futures. The paper develops the conventional minimum variance hedge ratio (MVHR) and discusses its estimation. A…

Abstract

This paper provides a critique of minimum variance hedging using futures. The paper develops the conventional minimum variance hedge ratio (MVHR) and discusses its estimation. A review of the wide variety of alternative methods used to construct MVHRs is then performed. These methods highlight many of the potential limitations in the conventional framework. The paper argues that the literature should focus more on the assumptions underlying the conventional MVHR, rather than improving the techniques used to estimate the conventional MVHR.

Details

Accounting Research Journal, vol. 18 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1030-9616

Keywords

Book part
Publication date: 1 May 2012

Kevin Jones

Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator, Inc. (MISO) is a nonprofit regional transmission organization (RTO) that oversees electricity production and transmission across…

Abstract

Midwest Independent Transmission System Operator, Inc. (MISO) is a nonprofit regional transmission organization (RTO) that oversees electricity production and transmission across 13 states and 1 Canadian province. MISO also operates an electronic exchange for buying and selling electricity for each of its five regional hubs.

MISO oversees two types of markets. The forward market, which is referred to as the day-ahead (DA) market, allows market participants to place demand bids and supply offers on electricity to be delivered at a specified hour the following day. The equilibrium price, known as the locational marginal price (LMP), is determined by MISO after receiving sale offers and purchase bids from market participants. MISO also coordinates a spot market, which is known as the real-time (RT) market. Traders in the RT market must submit bids and offers by 30minutes prior to the hour for which the trade will be executed. After receiving purchase and sale offers for a given hour in the RT market, MISO then determines the LMP for that particular hour.

The existence of the DA and RT markets allows producers and retailers to hedge against the large fluctuations that are common in electricity prices. Hedge ratios on the MISO exchange are estimated using various techniques. No hedge ratio technique examined consistently outperforms the unhedged portfolio in terms of variance reduction. Consequently, none of the hedge ratio methods in this study meet the general interpretation of FASB guidelines for a highly effective hedge.

Details

Research in Finance
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78052-752-9

Article
Publication date: 1 December 2004

David R. Shaffer and Andrea DeMaskey

This paper compares the hedging performance of the minimum‐extended Gini hedge ratio (MEGHR) and the minimumvariance hedge ratio (MVHR) using three emerging market currencies…

Abstract

This paper compares the hedging performance of the minimum‐extended Gini hedge ratio (MEGHR) and the minimumvariance hedge ratio (MVHR) using three emerging market currencies. The MEGHR is consistent with the expected utility hypothesis under very general conditions, unlike the MVHR which requires special distributional assumptions. Our sample violates these conditions, and thus provides a context for contrasting the performance of the MEGHR and MVHR. Our results show that the MVHR and MEGHR are indeed different and in some cases the differences are substantial, both statistically and in order of magnitude. This indicates that the MEGHR should provide superior hedging performance given its theoretical robustness. Our hedging performance results support this conclusion for all currencies.

Details

Managerial Finance, vol. 30 no. 12
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0307-4358

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 19 June 2019

Yihao Lai, Wei-Shih Chung and Jiaming Chen

This paper aims to apply the heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility (HAR-RV) model to minimum-variance hedge ratio estimation and compares the hedging

Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to apply the heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility (HAR-RV) model to minimum-variance hedge ratio estimation and compares the hedging performance of presenting a model with that of a conventional rolling ordinary-least-square (OLS) hedging model. Moreover, this paper empirically analyzes the relationship between hedging performance and the heterogeneity of investors with different trading frequency in forming the expectation for the spot volatility, futures volatility and the covariance in the market.

Design/methodology/approach

Use HAR-RV to form expectations of participants of spots and futures market for the next period volatility based on two parts. One is the current observable realized volatility at the same time scale. The other is the expectation for the next longer time scale horizon volatility. Compare hedging performance with rolling OLS model and HAR-RV model. Present a three-times-scale-length (daily, weekly and monthly) HAR-RV model for the spot and futures returns and volatility to analyze the relationship between the hedging performance and the heterogeneity among participants in each market.

Findings

The empirical results show that HAR-RV model outperforms the rolling OLS in terms of variance reduction and expected utility in the out-of-sample period. The results also indicate that the greater variance reduction occurs when investors with different trading frequency have a less heterogeneous expectation for spot volatility and more heterogeneous expectation for futures volatility and the covariance. In addition, the expected utility increases along with lower heterogeneity in spot volatility and higher in futures volatility and the covariance. Hedging performance improves along with decreasing heterogeneity of investors in spot volatility and increasing heterogeneity in futures volatility and the covariance.

Originality/value

This paper considers the heterogeneity of participants in spot and futures market, the authors apply HAR-RV model to MVHR estimation and compare the hedging performance of presenting a model with that of conventional rolling OLS hedging model, providing more evidence in hedging literature. This paper analyzes in depth the relationship between hedging performance and the heterogeneity in the market.

Details

Studies in Economics and Finance, vol. 36 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1086-7376

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 7 August 2007

Raimond Maurer and Shohreh Valiani

This study seeks to examine the effectiveness of controlling the currency risk for international diversified mixed‐asset portfolios via two different hedge instruments, currency…

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Abstract

Purpose

This study seeks to examine the effectiveness of controlling the currency risk for international diversified mixed‐asset portfolios via two different hedge instruments, currency forwards and currency options. So far, currency forward has been the most common hedge tool, which will be compared here with currency options to control the foreign currency exposure risk. In this regard, several hedging strategies are evaluated and compared with one another.

Design/methodology/approach

Owing to the highly skewed return distributions of options, the application of the traditional mean‐variance framework for portfolio optimization is doubtful. To account for this problem, a mean lower partial moment model is employed. An in‐the‐sample as well as an out‐of‐the sample context is used. With in‐sample analyses, a block bootstrap test has been used to statistically test the existence of any significant performance improvement. Following that, to investigate the consistency of the results, the out‐of‐sample evaluation has been checked. In addition, currency trends are also taken into account to test the time‐trend dependence of currency movements and, therefore, the relative potential gains of risk‐controlling strategies.

Findings

Results show that European put‐in‐the‐money options have the potential to substitute the optimally forward‐hedged portfolios. Considering the composition of the portfolio in using in‐the‐money options and forwards shows that using any of these hedge tools brings a much more diversified selection of stock and bond markets than no hedging strategy. The optimal option weights imply that a put‐in‐the‐money option strategy is more active than at‐the‐money or out‐of‐the‐money put options, which implies the dependency of put strategies on the level of strike price. A very interesting point is that, just by dedicating a very small part of the investment in options, the same amount of currency risk exposure can be hedged as when one uses the optimal forward hedging. In the out‐of‐sample study, the optimally forward‐hedged strategy generally presents a much better performance than any types of put policies.

Practical implications

The research shows the risk and return implications of different currency hedging strategies. The finding could be of interest for asset managers of internationally diversified portfolios.

Originality/value

Considering the findings in the out‐of‐sample perspective, the optimally forward‐hedged minimum risk portfolio dominates all other strategies, while, in the depreciation of the local currency, this, together with the forward‐hedged tangency portfolio selection, would characterize the dominant portfolio strategies.

Details

Managerial Finance, vol. 33 no. 9
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0307-4358

Keywords

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 30 November 2003

Gyu Hyeon Mun and Jeong Hyo Hong

This paper studies hedging strategies that use the KOSDAQ50 index futures to hedge the price risk of the KOSDAQ50 index spot portfolio. This study uses the minimum variance hedge

12

Abstract

This paper studies hedging strategies that use the KOSDAQ50 index futures to hedge the price risk of the KOSDAQ50 index spot portfolio. This study uses the minimum variance hedge model and bivariate ECT-GARCH (1,1) model as hedging models, and analyzes their hedging performances. The sample period covers from January 31, 2001 to December 31, 2002. The most important findings may be summarized as follows. First, both the risk-minimization and GARCH model exhibit hedge ratios that are substantially lower than one. Hedge ratios of the risk-minimization tend to be higher than those of GARCH model. Second, for the in-sample data, hedging effectiveness of GARCH model is higher than that of the risk-minimization, while for the out-of-sample data, hedging effectiveness of the risk-minimization with constant hedge ratios is not far behind the GARCH model in its hedging performance. Third, the hedging performance of KOSDAQ50 index futures is lower than that of KOSPI200 index futures, but higher than that of KTB futures. In conclusion, in the KOSDAQ50 index market, investors are encouraged to use the simple risk-minimization model to hedge the price risk of KOSDAQ50 spot portfolios.

Details

Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 11 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 February 2003

David R. Shaffer

This study compares minimum‐extended Gini hedge ratios estimated by the rank‐based method of Lerman and Yitzhaki and a nonparametric kernel method. The rankbased method is more…

Abstract

This study compares minimum‐extended Gini hedge ratios estimated by the rank‐based method of Lerman and Yitzhaki and a nonparametric kernel method. The rankbased method is more prevalent in the Gini hedging literature, however, the kernel estimator provides a more powerful approach to estimation. The empirical results show that the hedge ratios calculated using these two methods are different for all levels of risk aversion, and that rank‐based hedge ratios are typically larger than those estimated using the kernel method. Moreover, the differences tend to be larger at moderate and high levels of risk aversion and smaller at lower levels. Statistical evidence shows that the hedge ratios are highly statistically different for three of the five commodities tested. However, despite these differences, we find no differences in hedging performance.

Details

Managerial Finance, vol. 29 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0307-4358

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 8 December 2020

Yun Feng and Yan Cui

The purpose of this paper is to deeply study and compare the dual and single hedging strategy, from the direct and cross hedging perspective.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to deeply study and compare the dual and single hedging strategy, from the direct and cross hedging perspective.

Design/methodology/approach

The authors not only first consider the dual hedge of integrated risks in this oil prices and foreign exchange rates setting but also make a novel comparison between the dual and single hedging strategy from a direct and cross hedging perspective. In total, six econometric models (to conduct one-step-ahead out-of-sample rolling estimation of the optimal hedge ratio) and two hedging performance criteria are employed in two different hedging backgrounds (direct and cross hedging).

Findings

Results show that in the direct hedging background, a dual hedge cannot outperform the single hedge. But in the cross dual hedging setting, a dual hedge performs much better, possibly because the dual hedge brings different levels of advantages and disadvantages in the two different settings and the superiority of the dual hedge is more obvious in the cross dual hedging setting.

Originality/value

The existing literature that deals with oil prices and foreign exchange rates mostly concentrates on their relationship and comovements, while the dual hedge of integrated risks in this setting remains underresearched. Besides, the existing literature that deals with dual hedge gets its conclusions only based on a single specific background (direct or cross hedging) and lacks deeper investigation. In this paper, the authors expand the width and depth of the existing literature. Results and implications are revealing.

Details

China Finance Review International, vol. 12 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2044-1398

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 1 July 2014

Hernan Tejeda and Dillon Feuz

The purpose of this paper is to determine and contrast the risk mitigating effectiveness from optimal multiproduct time-varying hedge ratios, applied to the margin of a cattle…

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to determine and contrast the risk mitigating effectiveness from optimal multiproduct time-varying hedge ratios, applied to the margin of a cattle feedlot operation, over single commodity time-varying and naive hedge ratios.

Design/methodology/approach

A parsimonious regime-switching dynamic correlations (RSDC) model is estimated in two-stages, where the dynamic correlations among prices of numerous commodities vary proportionally between two different regimes/levels. This property simplifies estimation methods for a large number of parameters involved.

Findings

There is significant evidence that resulting simultaneous correlations among the prices (spot and futures) for each commodity attain different levels along the time-series. Second, for in and out-of-sample data there is a substantial reduction in the operation's margin variance provided from both multiproduct and single time-varying optimal hedge ratios over naive hedge ratios. Lastly, risk mitigation is attained at a lower cost given that average optimal multiproduct and single time-varying hedge ratios obtained for corn, feeder cattle and live cattle are significantly below the naive full hedge ratio.

Research limitations/implications

The application studied is limited in that once a hedge position has been set at a particular period, it is not possible to modify or update at a subsequent period.

Practical implications

Agricultural producers, specifically cattle feeders, may profit from a tool using improved techniques to determine hedge ratios by considering a larger amount of up-to-date information. Moreover, these agents may apply hedge ratios significantly lower than one and thus mitigate risk at lower costs.

Originality/value

Feedlot operators will benefit from the potential implementation of this parsimonious RSDC model for their hedging operations, as it provides average optimal hedge ratios significantly lower than one and sizeable advantages in margin risk mitigation.

Details

Agricultural Finance Review, vol. 74 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0002-1466

Keywords

Open Access
Article
Publication date: 31 May 2007

Won Cheol Yun

This study empirically compares the hedging performances of the newly listed Japanese yen (JPY) and European euro (EUR) currency futures in the KRX relative to that of the us…

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Abstract

This study empirically compares the hedging performances of the newly listed Japanese yen (JPY) and European euro (EUR) currency futures in the KRX relative to that of the us dollar (USD) currency futures. For this purpose, assuming the situation of foreign-asset investment the minimum variance hedging models based on OLS and ECM are compared with a simple 1: 1 hedge. The difference between previous studies and this one is in that the latter uses various kinds of hedging performance measures and analyzes the hedging performances by different hedging horizon. According to the empirical results, the USD currency futures outperforms the JPY and EUR currency futures when considering the risk only.

However, the results are reversed wilen incorporating the return as well as the risk. With respect to the comparative advantages among hedging types, the ECM-hedge turns out to be better than the others for evaluating the risk only, and the 1: 1 hedge proves to be superior to the others when considering both of the return and risk aspects. Based on the risk-reduction aspect. the hedging performances are gradually improving as the length of hedging period increases, while they deteriorate for considering both the return and risk aspects.

Details

Journal of Derivatives and Quantitative Studies, vol. 15 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 2713-6647

Keywords

1 – 10 of over 1000