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Rising Lebanese chaos may hinder elites and protesters

Location:

LEBANON

COVID-19 cases have spiked in the wake of the devastating August 4 explosion that destroyed parts of Beirut, causing mass casualties and forcing the resignation of Prime Minister…

Paris attacks boost Russia's Syria stance

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INTERNATIONAL

The Paris attacks may mark the metamorphosis of Islamic State group (ISG) into a terrorist network with global reach, capable of mobilising local-born radicals in Western Europe…

China's push for restrictions on military AI will fail

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CHINA

This extends its previous efforts to limit autonomous weapons to cover the whole range of AI. The specific role that AI might play in conflict remains speculative, as does the…

Sudan faces complex political stalemate

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SUDAN

Although the military claims it wants to hand power back to civilians, it has found few willing partners, and there have been no formal talks to resolve the political impasse, at…

Bomb attacks expose multiple threats to Thai security

Location:

THAILAND

This complicates government efforts to identify and apprehend perpetrators of the August 17 bombing of the Erawan shrine, whose death toll now stands at 22. Schools in Bangkok are…

Al-Shabaab will entrench its gains in Somalia

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SOMALIA

Already on the rise, al-Shabaab now also benefits from rising distraction among its domestic and international opponents, which may prolong efforts to defeat it by many years.

Gun regulation in Canada is becoming more contentious

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CANADA

Trudeau has introduced a number of measures since Canada’s worst mass shooting in 2020, when 22 people were killed in Nova Scotia. His latest move, which freezes the sale…

US intercession may help Russia-Ukraine de-escalation

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RUSSIA/UKRAINE

An emergency NATO-Ukraine meeting the same day condemned Moscow's activities in terms similar to earlier robust statements from NATO members. The Russian military build-up…

North-east Syria’s frozen conflict will erode security

Location:

SYRIA

North-east Syria is divided into three zones: Damascus-controlled areas backed by Russia and Iran, SDF-held areas backed by the United States and territory dominated by the Syrian…

Syria may spur global rise in unilateral intervention

Location:

SYRIA/INT

Syria and international norms of war.