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Violence may evolve but not end in Russia's Chechnya

Location:

RUSSIA

Kadyrov said he helped plan the operation in which Byutukayev and his five remaining followers died. It may be premature to declare an end to violence: attacks on security forces…

Belarusian economy will depend on Russian support

Location:

BELARUS

The economy has been unexpectedly resilient under comprehensive economic sanctions imposed by the West. Russia could only provide limited support as its economy had to adjust to…

Erdogan may emerge from pandemic even stronger

Location:

TURKEY

Official figures give Turkey a case fatality rate of 2.7% or 49 deaths per million, well below Western European figures and by no means the catastrophe predicted by outside…

South African judiciary will face more attacks

Location:

SOUTH AFRICA

As outgoing Chief Justice Mogoeng Mogoeng’s term ended in October, Ramaphosa named four candidates to be assessed by the Judicial Services Commission (JSC) in February 2022 before…

Popular ire may upset ZANU-PF's Zimbabwe election plan

Location:

ZIMBABWE

The ruling ZANU-PF party appears to be trying to control the campaign and outcome to a much greater extent than in 2018. However, this effort is being complicated by record levels…

Cameroon political rivalries may lead to instability

Location:

CAMEROON

Although many factors explain his political longevity, one key element is his consistent ability to maintain rivalries among powerful subordinates. In part, this is expressed by…

Political divisions muted but not dead in Ukraine

Location:

UKRAINE

The authorities are clamping down on political parties seen as pro-Russian, although they took a month to do so. The invasion has focused the political class's attention on…

Medina win may foster complacency in Dominican Republc

Location:

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC

Full results are expected later today. Medina's party, the centre-left Dominican Liberation Party (PLD), is also likely to get a majority in Congress and in the Senate, and…

Southern Yemen deal will require added Saudi pressure

Location:

YEMEN

The government was ejected from the city in clashes with the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) in August. Earlier this month, the sides signed a Saudi-brokered peace…

Washington will target Canada’s dairy support system

Location:

CANADA/US

Trump has attacked Canada’s system of supply management and imposed a 20% tariff on Canadian softwood lumber in his first major trade action. This signals the opening moves in a…