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Libya foreign fighters will pose lasting regional risk

Location:

LIBYA

Individuals from a variety of African states arrived in Libya between 2011-17 to engage in jihad

Persistently high food prices may spark social unrest

Location:

INT

Cereal grains such as wheat provide essential sustenance to humans and animals; price surges raise risks of food crises

Shadow governance to deepen weak African state control

Location:

AFRICA

The preponderance of weak states in sub-Saharan Africa provides ample scope for non-state actors to seize territory

Regional governor dismissals centralise Russian power

Location:

RUSSIA

The Kremlin faces a constant tension between controlling its 85 regional leaders and allowing them to govern

Iranian foreign policy will be internally divided

Location:

IRAN

The military priorities of the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps could undercut the foreign ministry’s soft diplomacy

Local lockdowns will be key in COVID-19 management

Location:

INT

Europe’s largest COVID-19 study shows that only 5% of Spaniards have had COVID-19; one-third of them were asymptomatic

Congo’s siege tactics may fail to bring stability

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

Two of the country’s conflict-affected eastern provinces have been placed under military control

COVID-19 spread halts developing nations' GDP catch-up

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Amid fears of another COVID-19 wave in high-income nations, developing nations are struggling to control the first wave

Political deal may reshape Libyan militia landscape

Location:

LIBYA

The push for a political agreement is exposing rifts among the factions comprising the two political blocs

Infrastructure will shape African internet trends

Location:

AFRICA

Internet use is expanding rapidly but infrastructure constraints will drive Africa along different paths to global peers