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1 – 10 of 80Li Xuemei, Yun Cao, Junjie Wang, Yaoguo Dang and Yin Kedong
Research on grey systems is becoming more sophisticated, and grey relational and prediction analyses are receiving close review worldwide. Particularly, the application of grey…
Abstract
Purpose
Research on grey systems is becoming more sophisticated, and grey relational and prediction analyses are receiving close review worldwide. Particularly, the application of grey systems in marine economics is gaining importance. The purpose of this paper is to summarize and review literature on grey models, providing new directions in their application in the marine economy.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper organized seminal studies on grey systems published by Chinese core journal database – CNKI, Web of Science and Elsevier from 1982 to 2018. After searching the aforementioned database for the said duration, the authors used the CiteSpace visualization tools to analyze them.
Findings
The authors sorted the studies according to their countries/regions, institutions, keywords and categories using the CiteSpace tool; analyzed current research characteristics on grey models; and discussed their possible applications in marine businesses, economy, scientific research and education, marine environment and disasters. Finally, the authors pointed out the development trend of grey models.
Originality/value
Although researches are combining grey theory with fractals, neural networks, fuzzy theory and other methods, the applications, in terms of scope, have still not met the demand. With the increasingly in-depth research in marine economics and management, international marine economic research has entered a new period of development. Grey theory will certainly attract scholars’ attention, and its role in marine economy and management will gain considerable significance.
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Kedong Yin, Jie Xu and Xuemei Li
The purpose of this paper is to study the essential characteristics of grey relational degree of proximity, to analyse the abstract meaning of grey relational degree of similarity…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to study the essential characteristics of grey relational degree of proximity, to analyse the abstract meaning of grey relational degree of similarity and fully consider the two different relational degree models.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper constructed the grey proximity relational degree by using the weighted mean distance. To analyse the motivation of the development of things, this paper constructed the grey similarity degree by using the concept of induced strength. Finally, the two correlation models are weighted by reliability weighting.
Findings
The research finding shows that the distance is the essence of the grey relational degree of proximity, and the induced strength is a good explanation of the similarities in the development of things.
Practical implications
The analyses imply that the total amount of water consumption in China has the greatest correlation with the consumption of agricultural water resources, followed by the consumption of industrial water resources, and the least correlation with the consumption of domestic water resources.
Originality/value
The paper succeeds in realizing the essential characteristics of grey relational degree of proximity and the abstract meaning of grey relational degree of similarity. Besides, the resolution of the correlation degree can be greatly improved by reliability weighting.
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Kedong Yin, Tongtong Xu, Xuemei Li and Yun Cao
This paper aims to deal with the grey relational problem of panel data with an attribute value of interval numbers. The grey relational model of interval number for panel data is…
Abstract
Purpose
This paper aims to deal with the grey relational problem of panel data with an attribute value of interval numbers. The grey relational model of interval number for panel data is constructed in this paper.
Design/methodology/approach
First, three kinds of interval grey relational operators for the behavior sequence of a dimensionless system are proposed. At the same time, the positive treatment method of interval numbers for cost-type and moderate-type indicators is put forward. On this basis, the correlation between the three-dimensional interval numbers of panel data is converted into the correlation between the two-dimensional interval numbers in time series and cross-sectional dimensions. The grey correlation coefficients of each scheme and the ideal scheme matrix are calculated in the two dimensions, respectively. Finally, the correlation degree of panel interval number and scheme ordering are obtained by arithmetic mean.
Findings
This paper proves that the grey relational model of the panel interval number still has the properties of normalization, uniqueness and proximity. It also avoids the problem that the results are not unique due to the different orders of objects in the panel data.
Practical implications
The effectiveness and practicability of the model is verified by taking supplier selection as an example. In fact, this model can also be widely used in agriculture, industry, society and other fields.
Originality/value
The accuracy of the relational results is higher and more accurate compared with the previous studies.
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Xuemei Li, Ya Zhang and Kedong Yin
The traditional grey relational models directly describe the behavioural characteristics of the systems based on the sample point connections. Few grey relational models can…
Abstract
Purpose
The traditional grey relational models directly describe the behavioural characteristics of the systems based on the sample point connections. Few grey relational models can measure the dynamic periodic fluctuation rules of the objects, and most of these models do not have affinities, which results in instabilities of the relational results because of sequence translation. The paper aims to discuss these issues.
Design/methodology/approach
Fourier transform functions are used to fit the system behaviour curves, redefine the area difference between the curves and construct a grey relational model based on discrete Fourier transform (DFTGRA).
Findings
To verify its validity, feasibility and superiority, DFTGRA is applied to research on the correlation between macroeconomic growth and marine economic growth in China coastal areas. It is proved that DFTGRA has the superior properties of affinity, symmetry, uniqueness, etc., and wide applicability.
Originality/value
DFTGRA can not only be applied to equidistant and equal time sequences but also be adopted for non-equidistant and unequal time sequences. DFTGRA can measure both the global relational degree and the dynamic correlation of the variable cyclical fluctuation between sequences.
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Xuemei Li, Shiwei Zhou, Kedong Yin and Huichao Liu
The purpose of this paper is to measure the high-quality development level of China's marine economy and analyze corresponding spatial and temporal distribution characteristic.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to measure the high-quality development level of China's marine economy and analyze corresponding spatial and temporal distribution characteristic.
Design/methodology/approach
Design and optimize the index system of high-quality development level of marine economy and use entropy and TOPSIS method for comprehensive evaluation.
Findings
The research finds that from 2017 to 2019, the high-quality development tendency of China's marine economy is on the rise, but the overall level is still low. The level of each subsystem has different distribution characteristics in different provinces and cities. Guangdong, Shandong and Shanghai have a high comprehensive level. According to the comprehensive level of high-quality development of marine economy, 11 coastal provinces are divided into three types: leading, general and backward.
Research limitations/implications
This paper clarifies the temporal and spatial distribution law of high-quality development level of China's marine economy, providing basis for promoting comprehensive and coordinated improvement of coastal provinces and cities.
Originality/value
An indicator system for the high-quality development level of the marine economy has been established, including social development guarantee, marine economic foundation, marine science and technology drive and green marine sustainability.
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Yin Kedong and Li Xuemei
Since 2000, China, along with the USA, UK, France, Japan and many other developed countries have drawn up new blueprints for the development of a marine economy. At present…
Abstract
Purpose
Since 2000, China, along with the USA, UK, France, Japan and many other developed countries have drawn up new blueprints for the development of a marine economy. At present, international marine economics research has entered into a new period of development, and the research methods of ocean econometrics are becoming more complex and mature. The purpose of this paper is to review the progress of international marine econometrics research and gives the development direction of marine econometrics.
Design/methodology/approach
The Web of Science core collection database was utilized, harvesting data from 1996 to May 2018, measuring the marine economy research from 1,489 articles as its sample, using CiteSpace visualization analysis tools.
Findings
Mapping the knowledge map from annual international marine economic metrology, literature identification, keywords, involving disciplines and related journals, countries (regions) and research and analyzing the research status of reveals the research frontiers of international marine economy measurement (learning) by using CiteSpace.
Originality/value
The conceptions and characteristics of marine econometrics are defined and analyzed, and the theoretical method of marine econometrics is sorted out. Mapping the knowledge diagram of marine econometrics and discussing the research status of international marine economics, and clarifying the existing problems, future opportunities and challenges of international marine econometrics research.
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Xue Jin, Kedong Yin and Xuemei Li
On the basis of the time series of the land area economy and marine economy data during 1996-2015, the authors study the relationship between land area economy and marine economy…
Abstract
Purpose
On the basis of the time series of the land area economy and marine economy data during 1996-2015, the authors study the relationship between land area economy and marine economy, and divides the relational schema of the land-sea economy by doing causality test of land-sea economy, grey correlation degree analysis and relational schema analysis of the land-sea economy in coastal provinces and cities. The paper aims to discuss these issues.
Design/methodology/approach
The paper uses methods such as Granger causality test and grey correlation degree analysis to preliminarily demonstrate the relationship of land-sea economy.
Findings
With Granger causality test, we can draw that there is a causal relationship between the land area economy and marine economy. Further with the relational schema analysis, we can draw that the relationship between marine economy and land economy in 11 coastal provinces and cities can be summed up into four kinds of patterns such as land-sea weak type, land-sea strong type, sea strong land weak type and land strong sea weak type.
Practical implications
For the government and related disaster management departments, when policies are made and relevant measures are taken in the process of planning economic layout of land-sea economy, similar policies or measures may be taken for the same type of provinces, in order to improve administrative efficiency.
Originality/value
The development and utilization between land economy and marine economy has a certain contradiction, which must be balanced to realize the balanced development of land economy and marine economy. Therefore, it is necessary to comprehensively assess the grey relational analysis of land-sea economy, in order to provide the basis for reasonable policies.
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Yuling Ran, Wei Bai, Lingwei Kong, Henghui Fan, Xiujuan Yang and Xuemei Li
The purpose of this paper is to develop an appropriate machine learning model for predicting soil compaction degree while also examining the contribution rates of three…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to develop an appropriate machine learning model for predicting soil compaction degree while also examining the contribution rates of three influential factors: moisture content, electrical conductivity and temperature, towards the prediction of soil compaction degree.
Design/methodology/approach
Taking fine-grained soil A and B as the research object, this paper utilized the laboratory test data, including compaction parameter (moisture content), electrical parameter (electrical conductivity) and temperature, to predict soil degree of compaction based on five types of commonly used machine learning models (19 models in total). According to the prediction results, these models were preliminarily compared and further evaluated.
Findings
The Gaussian process regression model has a good effect on the prediction of degree of compaction of the two kinds of soils: the error rates of the prediction of degree of compaction for fine-grained soil A and B are within 6 and 8%, respectively. As per the order, the contribution rates manifest as: moisture content > electrical conductivity >> temperature.
Originality/value
By using moisture content, electrical conductivity, temperature to predict the compaction degree directly, the predicted value of the compaction degree can be obtained with higher accuracy and the detection efficiency of the compaction degree can be improved.
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Li Xuemei, Benshuo Yang, Yun Cao, Liyan Zhang, Han Liu, Pengcheng Wang and Xiaomei Qu
China's marine economy occupies an important position within the national economy, and its contribution thereto is constantly improving. The overall operation of the marine…
Abstract
Purpose
China's marine economy occupies an important position within the national economy, and its contribution thereto is constantly improving. The overall operation of the marine economy shows positive developmental trends with potential for further growth. The purpose of this research is to analyse the prosperity of China's marine economy, reveal trends therein and forecast the likely turning point in its operation.
Design/methodology/approach
Based on the periodicity and fluctuation of China's marine economy development, China's marine economic prosperity indicator system is established from five perspectives. On this basis, China's marine economic operation prosperity index can be synthesised and calculated, then a dynamic factor model is constructed. Using the filtering method to calculate China's marine economic operational Stock–Watson index, Markov switching has been used to determine the trend to transition. Furthermore, China's current marine economic prosperity is evaluated through analysis of influencing factors and correlation analysis.
Findings
The analysis shows that, from 2017 to 2019, the operation of the marine economy is relatively stable, and the prosperity index supports this finding; meanwhile it also exposes problems in China's marine economy, such as an unbalanced industrial structure, low marine economic benefits and insufficient capacity for sustainable development.
Originality/value
Through the analysis of the prosperity of China's marine economy, the authors reveal the trends in China's marine economy and forecast its likely future turning point.
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Zhaosu Meng, Xiaotong Liu, Kedong Yin, Xuemei Li and Xinchang Guo
The purpose of this paper is to examine the effectiveness of an improved dummy variables control grey model (DVCGM) considering the hysteresis effect of government policies in…
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to examine the effectiveness of an improved dummy variables control grey model (DVCGM) considering the hysteresis effect of government policies in China's energy intensity (EI) forecasting.
Design/methodology/approach
Energy consumption is considered as an important driver of economic development. China has introduced policies those aim at the optimization of energy structure and EI. In this study, EI is forecasted by an improved DVCGM, considering the hysteresis effect of energy-saving policies of the government. A nonlinear optimization method based on particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm is constructed to calculate the hysteresis parameter. A one-step rolling mechanism is applied to provide input data of the prediction model. Grey model (GM) (1, N), DVCGM (1, N) and ARIMA model are applied to test the accuracy of the improved DVCGM (1, N) model prediction.
Findings
The results show that the improved DVCGM provides reliable results and works well in simulation and predictions using multivariable data in small sample size and time-lag virtual variable. Accordingly, the improved DVCGM notes the hysteresis effect of government policies and significantly improves the prediction accuracy of China's EI than the other three models.
Originality/value
This study estimates the EI considering the hysteresis effect of energy-saving policies in China by using an improved DVCGM. The main contribution of this paper is to propose a model to estimate EI, considering the hysteresis effect of energy-saving policies and improve forecasting accuracy.
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