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Article
Publication date: 8 January 2020

An innovative decision support tool for liquefied natural gas supply chain planning

Christos Papaleonidas, Dimitrios V. Lyridis, Alexios Papakostas and Dimitris Antonis Konstantinidis

The purpose of this paper is to improve the tactical planning of the stakeholders of the midstream liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chain, using an optimisation…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to improve the tactical planning of the stakeholders of the midstream liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply chain, using an optimisation approach. The results can contribute to enhance the proactivity on significant investment decisions.

Design/methodology/approach

A decision support tool (DST) is proposed to minimise the operational cost of a fleet of vessels. Mixed integer linear programming (MILP) used to perform contract assignment combined with a genetic algorithm solution are the foundations of the DST. The aforementioned methods present a formulation of the maritime transportation problem from the scope of tramp shipping companies.

Findings

The validation of the DST through a realistic case study illustrates its potential in generating quantitative data about the cost of the midstream LNG supply chain and the annual operations schedule for a fleet of LNG vessels.

Research limitations/implications

The LNG transportation scenarios included assumptions, which were required for resource reasons, such as omission of stochasticity. Notwithstanding the assumptions made, it is to the authors’ belief that the paper meets its objectives as described above.

Practical implications

Potential practitioners may exploit the results to make informed decisions on the operation of LNG vessels, charter rate quotes and/or redeployment of existing fleet.

Originality/value

The research has a novel approach as it combines the creation of practical management tool, with a comprehensive mathematical modelling, for the midstream LNG supply chain. Quantifying future fleet costs is an alternative approach, which may improve the planning procedure of a tramp shipping company.

Details

Maritime Business Review, vol. 5 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/MABR-09-2019-0036
ISSN: 2397-3757

Keywords

  • LNG
  • Contract assignment
  • Decision support tool
  • LNG supply chain
  • MILP
  • Tramp shipping

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Article
Publication date: 24 April 2013

Optimization, risk assessment and resilience in LNG transportation systems

Øyvind Berle, Inge Norstad and Bjorn E. Asbjørnslett

This paper aims to address how to systematically address vulnerability in a maritime transportation system using a formal vulnerability assessment approach, create…

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Abstract

Purpose

This paper aims to address how to systematically address vulnerability in a maritime transportation system using a formal vulnerability assessment approach, create quantitative measures of disruption risk and test the effect of mitigating measures. These quantitative data are prerequisites for cost efficiency calculations, and may be obtained without requiring excessive resources.

Design/methodology/approach

Supply chain simulation using heuristics‐based planning tools offers an approach to quantify the impact of disruption scenarios and mitigating measures. This is used to enrich a risk‐based approach to maritime supply chain vulnerability assessment. Monte Carlo simulation is used to simulate a stochastic nature of disruptions.

Findings

The exemplary assessment of a maritime liquefied natural gas (LNG) transportation system illustrates the potential for providing quantitative data about the cost of disruptions and the effects of mitigating measures, which are foundations for more precise cost efficiency estimates.

Research limitations/implications

This simulation was done on a simplified version of a real transportation system. For resource reasons, several simplifications were made, both with regards to modeling the transportation system and with the implementation of the formal vulnerability assessment framework. Nevertheless, the authors believe the paper serves to illustrate the approach and potential outcome.

Practical implications

Practitioners are provided with an approach to get more precise quantitative data on disruption costs and cost/efficiency of mitigating measures, providing background data for decisions on investing in reduction of supply chain vulnerability.

Originality/value

The combination of risk assessment methods and inventory routing simulation of maritime supply chain problems is a novelty. Quantifying vulnerability, effects of disruptions and effects of mitigating measures in maritime transportation systems contributes to a little‐researched area.

Details

Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, vol. 18 no. 3
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/SCM-03-2012-0109
ISSN: 1359-8546

Keywords

  • Supply chain risk
  • Maritime transportation
  • LNG
  • Fleet routing and scheduling
  • Monte Carlo simulation
  • Supply chain management
  • Marine transport

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Article
Publication date: 27 February 2007

Liquefied Natural Gas: The Law and Business of LNG

Subhes C. Bhattacharyya

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Abstract

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 1 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17506220710761618
ISSN: 1750-6220

Content available
Article
Publication date: 16 March 2020

Guest Editorial

Branislav Dragović, Zhongzhen Yang and Stratos Papadimitriou

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Abstract

Details

Maritime Business Review, vol. 5 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/MABR-03-2020-052
ISSN: 2397-3757

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 January 2020

Greece will rely more on gas as transition fuel

Location:
GREECE

Over the past few months, the new Greek government under the leadership of Kyriakos Mitsotakis has demonstrated both its commitment to reforming the domestic energy market…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB250258

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Greece
EUR
EU
Cyprus
Israel
Russia
Turkey
Topical
economy
industry
politics
climate
energy
gas
reform
transport
coal
corporate
electricity
environment
foreign trade
growth
infrastructure
investment
natural resources
privatisation
shipping
tourism
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 June 2016

Coal is set for growth in Japan despite solar boom

Location:
JAPAN

The outlook for Japan's energy sector.

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB211678

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Japan
AP
East Asia
Topical
economy
industry
coal
energy
environment
nuclear energy
utilities
electricity
renewable energy
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Article
Publication date: 2 August 2013

Multi‐product maritime inventory routing with optional cargoes : An application to outbound automotive logistics

Saurabh Chandra, Rajiv K. Srivastava and Yogesh Agarwal

The ocean transportation of automobiles is carried out by specialized Roll‐on/Roll‐off ships, which are designed to carry a large number of automobiles at a time. Many of…

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Abstract

Purpose

The ocean transportation of automobiles is carried out by specialized Roll‐on/Roll‐off ships, which are designed to carry a large number of automobiles at a time. Many of these shipping companies have vertically integrated or collaborated with other logistics services providers to offer integrated maritime logistics solution to car manufacturers. The purpose of this study is to develop an optimization model to address the tactical level maritime logistics planning for such a company.

Design/methodology/approach

The problem is formulated as a mixed integer linear program and we propose an iterative combined Ant colony and linear programming‐based solution technique for the same.

Findings

This paper can integrate the maritime transportation planning of internally managed cargoes with the inventory management at the loading and discharging ports to minimize supply‐chain cost and also maximize additional revenue through optional cargoes using same fleet of ships.

Research limitations/implications

The mathematical model does not consider the variability in production and consumption of products across various locations, travel times between different nodes, etc.

Practical implications

The suggested mathematical model to the supply‐chain planning problem and solution technique can be considered in the development of decision support system for operations planning.

Originality/value

This paper extends the maritime inventory routing model by considering simultaneous planning of optional cargoes with internally managed cargoes.

Details

Journal of Advances in Management Research, vol. 10 no. 2
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JAMR-05-2013-0035
ISSN: 0972-7981

Keywords

  • Maritime logistics
  • Inventory routing
  • Optional cargoes
  • Outbound automotive logistics
  • Ant colony algorithm
  • Inventory management
  • Optimization techniques

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Article
Publication date: 22 November 2011

A stochastic optimisation framework for analysing economic returns and risk distribution in the LNG business

Haydn I. Furlonge

The liquefied natural gas (LNG) business comprises a number of economic activities with inherent risks. The purpose of this paper is to propose an integrated modelling…

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Abstract

Purpose

The liquefied natural gas (LNG) business comprises a number of economic activities with inherent risks. The purpose of this paper is to propose an integrated modelling approach, as part of the investment decision‐making process, for optimising economic returns from LNG whilst taking into account uncertainty in various key input parameters.

Design/methodology/approach

Inter‐linked cash flow and pricing models of the LNG chain were constructed. Net present value was maximised based on selection of netback pricing variables and level of investment shareholding. Constraints were placed on the minimum acceptable returns. The risk affinity of the decision maker was captured in the form of a chance‐constrained optimisation problem. A genetic algorithm was applied for numerical optimisation, in combination with Monte Carlo simulations to account for the stochastic nature of the problem.

Findings

Based on the results of a case study, the deterministic solution, having no consideration to uncertainty, was found to be both sub‐optimal and provided an unsatisfactory risk outcome. The stochastic approach yielded an optimal solution with due consideration to risk. Various scenarios show that the choice of the decision variables significantly impacts the trade‐off between risk and returns along the LNG chain to government and investor.

Research limitations/implications

The suitability of the methodology to the operational phase of the LNG business which incorporates different elements of risk, such as market dynamics and logistics, is as yet untested.

Originality/value

This framework may be useful in the formulation of optimal commercial structure of firms, investment portfolio and gas/LNG pricing arrangements for host governments involved in the LNG business.

Details

International Journal of Energy Sector Management, vol. 5 no. 4
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/17506221111186332
ISSN: 1750-6220

Keywords

  • Natural gas
  • Energy industry
  • Profit maximization
  • Liquefied natural gas
  • Decision making
  • Risk analysis
  • Modelling
  • Optimization techniques

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Article
Publication date: 7 January 2014

The resilience of energy supply chains: a multiple case study approach on oil and gas supply chains to Europe

Luca Urciuoli, Sangeeta Mohanty, Juha Hintsa and Else Gerine Boekesteijn

The purpose of this paper is to enhance the understanding about how energy supply chains work to build resilience against exogenous security threats and thereafter what…

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Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to enhance the understanding about how energy supply chains work to build resilience against exogenous security threats and thereafter what support mechanisms should be introduced or improved by the European Union.

Design/methodology/approach

Five case studies and data collection from multiple sources is used to understand what exogenous security threats could lead to the disruption of oil and gas flows to Europe, how energy companies, from a supply chain perspective, are working to manage these threats and finally, how the EU may coordinate the security of the energy sector in collaboration with supply chain companies.

Findings

Results show that today, oil and gas supply chains have in place a good combination of disruption strategies, including portfolio diversification, flexible contracts, transport capacity planning and safety stocks. The most relevant security threats the companies fear, include hijacking of vessels (sea piracy), but also terrorism, and wars. Finally, the study highlights that the European Union has built a comprehensive portfolio of strategies to deal with scarcity of oil and gas resources. However, these approaches are not often synchronized with supply chain strategies.

Practical implications

The paper provides guidance for supply chain managers dealing with critical suppliers located in conflict environments. The paper recommends that supply chain managers fine tune their strategies in coordination with governmental actions in foreign politics, dependence reduction and crisis management. This may be achieved by closer communication with governments and potentially through the creation of a pan-European sector alliance.

Originality/value

Previous research discusses the topic of supply chain resilience and supply chain risk management. However, none of these studies report on exogenous security threats and disruption strategies of oil and gas supply chains. At the same time, previous research lacks detailed studies describing the interaction between governments and energy supply chains.

Details

Supply Chain Management: An International Journal, vol. 19 no. 1
Type: Research Article
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/SCM-09-2012-0307
ISSN: 1359-8546

Keywords

  • Supply chain risk management
  • Supply chain resilience
  • Supply chain security
  • Critical supplies
  • Energy security
  • Supply chain strategies

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Book part
Publication date: 20 May 2005

The Drive Toward Non-Commodity Segments

Dr. h.c. Peter Lorange

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Abstract

Details

Shipping Company Strategies
Type: Book
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/9780080458069-003
ISBN: 978-0-08-045806-9

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