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Brazil's China ties will be crucial but fractious

Location:

BRAZIL

Following an election campaign marked by anti-Chinese rhetoric, the Bolsonaro administration appears to be softening its tone and embracing the prospect of continued close…

Pakistan likely to avoid direct involvement in Yemen

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PAKISTAN

The Pakistani armed forces are reportedly already involved in the campaign: some troops have been deployed in Saudi Arabia and a naval ship is stationed off the Yemeni coast…

US Supreme Court's role is shifting

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UNITED STATES

At a time when political polarisation at the federal and state level makes the role of the Supreme Court as a neutral arbiter more important, the Court’s standing with the public…

Risks arising from gold price volatility will rise

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INTERNATIONAL

Gold increases in attractiveness when interest rates are low, as the opportunity cost of leaving money in the metal -- which yields no inherent investment return -- is low…

Azerbaijan needs diversification despite gas growth

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AZERBAIJAN

The slump was caused by low oil prices and left a legacy of higher debt and banking fragility. The slowdown pushed the government into reviewing the fiscal framework and placing…

Inflation adds to Brazil’s multiple economic woes

Location:

BRAZIL

This is close to the ceiling of the target band of 2.25-5.25% set for this year. In response, the Central Bank last week raised its benchmark interest rate from a record low of…

Shrinking market imbalances will help cut US inflation

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UNITED STATES

An embedded wage-price spiral took hold in the late 1970s; the price of breaking it was almost a decade of high unemployment. Today's situation more closely resembles 1946-48…

Investor response to vaccine signposts sectoral shifts

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INTERNATIONAL

Millions of people and companies predict the future every microsecond through their equity investments. Investors’ behaviour following the news of the vaccine success offers an…

Energy systems and economies will be mineral-intensive

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INTERNATIONAL

Exploration, substitution and component minimisation will adapt supply to demand over time, but new supply chain risks will emerge, owing to narrow supply bases and long lead…

Brazil banks foresee renewed lending growth this year

Location:

BRAZIL

The Brazilian financial system, which is still dominated by five state and private banks, saw slower loan growth and worsening asset quality in 2023 due to high inflation and…